private equity investor running a long/short PA on the side, hunting the best businesses in the world

Joined February 2025
Went risk off on 10/2 after running my book up ~30% in Q3 trading high beta names like a maniac. Parked in $SHY to catch my breath. So yeah, I'm now rooting for a complete meltdown.
121
Hard for me to take $META seriously after this interview. I respect the brass balls on Zuck to roll the dice though.
I know the stock is up, but I’d rather they not admit that the capex strategy was “we hope it’s gonna work”
216
Went risk off on 10/2 after running my book up ~30% in Q3 trading high beta names like a maniac. Parked in $SHY to catch my breath. So yeah, I'm now rooting for a complete meltdown.
1
3
375
Waterport retweeted
👀Nvidia $NVDA Non Deal Roadshow (29 slides) s201.q4cdn.com/141608511/fil…
1
4
22
2,830
Feels bad missing the $SNPS move. Have spent so much time on this and $CDNS over the years but always struggle with the fcf profiles. So much of earnings is still sbc at these names. Current ntm fcf yields are like ~3.3% and ~2.3% respetively
1
11
1,500
Doesn't the $FICO fiasco make you stop and think about $SPGI and $MCO, even if just for a minute? I know they are very different but it does bring regulatory risk top of mind in an already dicey tape. Feels like they are going lower
16
1
2
74
22,261
Super intelligence press conference perhaps the greatest of all time 🇺🇸
245
Put on a new position in $STM as a beneficiary of starlink and orbital compute build out. Think starlink/LEO revenue surprises to upside and is gross margin accretive, driving upside to current cons FY27 eps estimates. New to the name so feel free to straighten me out
405
Started buying $TDG and $SYK but worry I'm falling into the trap of bottom picking 'cheap' compounders when the right move into year end is to pour on more semicap/AI/data center exposure. Compounder complex feels like one big rates trade and potential tax loss harvest victims
12
45
6,487
Watching this launch with a big position in $SPCX going green to red to green pre-market is electric!
335
Racks in space $SPCX
Can our TPUs survive and operate in space? Well, we're going to find out. Project Suncatcher is hitching a ride aboard @SpaceX's Transporter-18 mission, testing a prototype satellite built in partnership with @planet One small step for TPUs....
701
Rollins $ROL is amazing because for 10 years it trades 40-50x p/e and you admire it as a great business and then it drops like a stone to 25x and you wonder why would I pay 25x for a pest control business
23
22
6
417
33,363
Basket of AI / data center infra names I bought last week during the "pacing the frontier" selloff: $ALAB $COHR $NVT $TTMI $VIAV Also had some $CRWV in there but immediately puked it on the convert news
438
Ltm price action of -27% at $SYK while eps estimates have barely budged. Now trading at ~13.5x ntm3 p/e... Seems too easy. Why won't this rerate back to 20-25x?
3
11
2,956
Hypothetical $SYK eps upside to 2029 if revenue growth returns to 10% rather than consensus decel and margins outperform. Don't have a strong view on this but not exactly heroic assumptions and you have a 12x p/e handle on 2029 eps
1
409
Software names looking ugly. I think $INTU is going to see new lows. $CRM looks like it wants to retrace the big move up back to ~200-210 neighborhood. Makes sense imo, software has changed forever. CNBC declaring that SaaSpocalypse was over should have been a tell
3
1
16
3,026
Some classic quality/def names looking interesting: $OTIS - 16x p/e, 34% drawdown $SYK - 17x p/e, 31% drawdown $TDG - 24x p/e, 28% drawdown (going to 20x?) $VMC - 20x p/e, 25% drawdown $WM - 24x p/e, 15% drawdown
4
1
111
13,537
Should have just bought the common 🤦‍♂️
Added some META sep 18 calls this morning. $700 strike.
1
988
Been on a bit of a heater lately. Probably about to get rugged
2
336
Is anyone even doing the math on $SPCX orbital compute ambitions? At 100 GW/yr launched into space by 2030, exclusive to $NVDA at say $40B / GW, that's $4T of NVDA revenue. That is 4x consensus just from SPCX. Take the under obviously, but worth considering what is priced in
1
4
514