Wealth Lab Club

The Fed held rates and stayed hawkish, and Bitcoin barely reacted. It’s currently sitting around $81.2k, basically flat on the day. The market already expected the tone, so a hold that didn’t break anything is just a hold. What’s more useful is where price is sitting right now. Bitcoin tagged $87k earlier this month, cooled off to the low $80ks, and is now hanging right around the average spot ETF buyer’s cost. That’s usually the area where the bigger money steps in, not where it tends to bail. I personally believe $87k is still the real wall. A lot of buyers from the last couple of years break even there. Once that supply clears, the path higher gets a lot cleaner. Retail is still skeptical, and that’s fine. When most people are doubtful and price is holding the levels that matter, that’s usually better than the opposite. I’m still buying Bitcoin and the quality alts that stay bullish on the weekly. The Fed being hawkish doesn’t change that. The market already priced it in and closed green. Have a nice day!

GM Traders! Bitcoin logged its third consecutive red weekly close after sweeping the prior low down to $79,209 and closing weakly at $80,154. This is setting up a pivotal week where price either prints a liquidity wick toward $77,000 before bouncing, or breaks $77,000 to confirm a macro bear phase below the 50-Week SMA. Catch up on today’s newsletter: realerose.substack.com/p/thr…

Total Wealth of Bottom 50% of US Households 1989: $317.8 billion 2026: $313 billion Total Wealth of Top 0.00001% (only 20 families) 1989: $88.6 billion 2026: $4 trillion The people at the top own the things that go up when money is easy to create. Stocks, Businesses, Hard assets. The bottom half mostly has cash and debts. Cash doesn’t keep up with inflation. Even though Bitcoin doesn’t automatically close the gap, It does give regular people something the top already uses, an asset nobody can print more of when the next bill comes due. You don’t need to be one of the 20. You just need to stop leaving everything in the thing that’s been losing ground for decades.

Gm Traders, Today is September CPI Day (8:30 AM NY / 13:30 WAT), and while headline inflation is expected to tick higher on energy prices, core CPI (expected near 0.2% MoM) will dictate how Treasury yields and risk assets react. We expect two-sided volatility and initial fake out wicks before the market settles into its true higher-timeframe path. realerose.substack.com/p/bit…

I continue my heavy accumulation of Bitcoin, which is 90% of my portfolio. I also continue to accumulate the top alts such as BNB, SOL, SUI. As well as other mid to small caps that I’ve shared before. Alts make up 5% and stablecoins make up the remaining 5%. Folks, it’s the early stages of the bull run. Stay strong and hang in there!

Happy UPtober! Bitcoin secured a bullish monthly close above key supply to keep the macro trend intact. But lower timeframes are flashing short-term weakness ahead of tomorrow's critical Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Today’s letter breaks down our multi-timeframe level maps, SOL swing management, and Zcash’s observation plan. 👇🏾 realerose.substack.com/p/upt…

Here’s what I’m holding. • 1 year or longer: $BTC $ETH (staked) $BNB $SOL (staked) USDT (staked) I always keep some cash for the big corrections. That’s the point of stables. • 3 to 6 months: $ONDO $SUI $FLOKI $PENGU • Max 3 months: $CPOOL $CHEX • Rotated into Bitcoin: avalanche-2:native $ARB ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38 • On my radar, not in the bag yet: $GVRT ethereum:0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e solana:4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R solana:JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN $PLUME $PHALA $AERO $RENDER $CASHCAT Are your bags here? 👀

The dip a lot of people were waiting for isn’t showing up. Bitcoin and Solana are holding above their imbalances. Zcash flipped local supply into demand and that opens the next leg if it sticks. Today’s letter covers the active longs, those flips, and how we’re actually executing them. realerose.substack.com/p/ski…

GM FOMC week is underway. Bitcoin is sitting between stacked liquidation pools, while Solana and Zcash printed clean structural retests after the weekend bounce. Today’s letter covers: • Our dual-scenario roadmap for BTC • Solana’s double-retest confirmation • Zcash holding higher-timeframe demand realerose.substack.com/p/the…

We now have: $5,000 “dividend” checks being promised to every American adult. Oil back above $100. US debt over $40 trillion. Inflation above 2% for more than 60 months straight. The biggest tech boom in a generation. And a Fed getting leaned on to cut rates while prices are still running hot. This is not a coincidence. This is the system doing what it always does. When free money is thrown around like that, prices don’t go back. They find a new floor. Sure, The cheque helps for a month. Until diesel and groceries take it back. So what should you do? You can’t vote the oil price down. You can’t make $40 trillion disappear. And if those checks go out, a chunk of that money will chase the same assets the last rounds of stimulus did. That’s why Bitcoin matters here. Not as a lottery ticket. As a savings tool for an environment where the currency keeps getting stretched. Fixed supply. No central bank. No emergency print when debt service gets ugly. If you already hold some, this is a reminder for you to stay patient. If you don’t, start small. You don’t need to go all in one day one. The people who come out of setups like this in better shape are usually the ones who moved before the check hit their account.

JUST IN: JPMorgan is also warning a global food-supply shock could form over the next year. NOAA now puts the chance of a “very strong” El Niño above 90% through fall and winter. For October–December, that rises to 95%. There is also a 69% chance it becomes historic, which means it’ll possibly be stronger than every El Niño measured since 1950. El Niño is a warming of Pacific waters that rearranges weather worldwide. It raises drought risk across parts of Asia and Australia, flood risk across parts of the Americas, and can hit crops, hydropower, and shipping at the same time. The last El Niño helped push Panama into one of its driest stretches on record. And it could happen again. The Panama Canal is already cutting daily ship traffic again. This same canal moves about 5% of world trade. More than 70% of its cargo starts or ends in the US. Meanwhile, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted and far below normal. This affects more than just oil. Roughly a third of the world’s nitrogen fertilizer moves through that chokepoint. The key point is what happens when all these situations are happening at once. A weather shock, fertilizer shortage, and a shipping block. Food inflation could rise toward a 5% annualized pace in the first half of 2027, nearly double this year’s pace. COVID has already shown what happens when supply shocks hit a system with no preparation. The next inflation shock is already forming. This is me giving a heads up.

August has been unbelievably bullish. So much so that half of crypto is already calling this the “Big Rotation.” “There’s no stopping this train,” as Lyn Alden likes to say. Influencers lost their minds over last week’s pump. I get the excitement. I also think some caution still needs to be heeded. A rotation starting is not the same thing as Bitcoin going to the moon from here.