Hello
Hello
Joined August 2011
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Thunder fans, it's okay. Come join us in regression paradise.🏝️
SGA and Jokic can reminisce about the middies they once had.
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OKC fans have been barking in my mentions for days. Calling SGA a glorified Acuff was a bit mean, but on-off stats spanning multiple years rarely lie.
I said, let's wait for their first test in Portland.
SGA is an amazing player, a two-way talent when he wants to be, but he's never been the "carry the team" player OKC fans propagandize him to be.
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37-year-old Dame is tearing OKC a new asshole and averaging 20+ PPG this season after coming back from an ACL injury.
Aaron Gordon and Cameron Johnson, take a long, hard look at yourselves in the mirror.
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Cam has the weirdest anomalies. He goes from being a great defensive playmaker and scorer in Q1 to a total decline, with both him and AG looking like shells of themselves in the 4th.
Jokić averaging 2 assists per 36 in the 4th? Straaaaaaaaange.
We have a lot of bench depth at forward. At this point, you have to play to win games, Adelman. Don’t be afraid to bench one or both of AG and Cam during the closing minutes of the 4th quarter.
Nuggets starters rank 1st in offensive rating in Q1.
Defensively, they look better by the eye test, but have the actual results improved? Not yet..
Jamal did say his defensive mindset has helped his offense.
I believe the defense will improve as they continue to buy into the process and build those habits. But things go haywire after the 1st quarter.
Jokic’s inefficiency being due to fatigue, age, injury, or increased defensive playmaking doesn’t make sense to me at all. His TS% is actually increasing quarter by quarter. It’s all in his head.
Aaron Gordon has all the hallmarks of a player who isn’t mentally or physically there. Almost every stat declines as the game progresses: stocks, rebounds, TS%, and points all decrease, while turnovers increase. Frankly, it’s been a disaster so far.
Cam seems to be running on a low motor, which I partly blame Adelman for.
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Nuggets starters rank 1st in offensive rating in Q1.
Defensively, they look better by the eye test, but have the actual results improved? Not yet..
Jamal did say his defensive mindset has helped his offense.
I believe the defense will improve as they continue to buy into the process and build those habits. But things go haywire after the 1st quarter.
The Nuggets have two top-7 players in the league. If we play our cards right over the next 3–5 years, we can still become a dynasty.
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I know he was promised guaranteed minutes over the phone with AG, Jokić, and Mal, but we just can't have this happening anymore. TURN IT OFF NOW!
[Per 100]
My ratings:
@BeMore27 is a fringe MVP candidate, top 3 guard itl.
Jokić is trending up, but his efficiency is still a question mark, which is a big thing because he’s literally the GOAT of efficiency.
AG’s issues are physical, but I think they’re more mental.
I’ve lost hope in Tyus and DeMar, and I’m absolutely terrified we’ll keep them for the playoffs. Another “Bruce Brown situation.”
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I still can't believe the FO went out and got two non-shooting, 1-way players in DeMar and Tyus, thinking that's what we needed... Great scouting on draft night, though.
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(Troll post, relax)
Joel Embiid finally gets to play in Denver, and Jokic gets to compete for a ring in an easier conference.
WIN/WIN.
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SHOCKING!!
The Nuggets bench is attempting just 6.9 threes per game. The SECOND-LOWEST 3p Attempting bench in the league attempts 10.5?!?!?
NOT ONLY THAT, WE'RE SHOOTING JUST 29% FROM THREE.
Second-apron team, btw.
We jokingly compared ourselfs with Spurs Duncan era, well they actually invested in their 2nd unit and had a HOF player as their 6th man
No more Perkins calling MVP voters racist now that Jokić has regressed offensively.
Fighting for a play-in spot is chill.
Fantasizing about deadline trades that will save the team (they won't happen).
Watching Jamal cook with zero repercussions.
Refs giving us more FTs because even they feel sorry for us.
Adelman's inevitable firing won't change much, but it'll feel good.
Jokić's defensive reputation is improving.
[RANT]
Jamal drops 38+, Denver plays good defense, and we still lose by double digits.
Welcome to the Depressed Nuggets Era.
5-4, with a net-neutral rating. Jokić is clearly nowhere near the BITW right now, maybe not even top 5. Which, in itself, is a blessing in disguise because it exposes the glaring holes in this team.
DeMar would need to average 8+ assists on 120% TS to offset his bad defense and slow pace. We literally added anti-Nuggets offense to our team.
Tyus goes from looking decent to looking like a G League player.
CB is insecure. His entire offensive mentality during comebacks is "I don't want to fuck this up," which ironically leads to even more mistakes.
I kinda knew that 7-second violation was coming when CB was inbounding to AG. Literally the two least confident players on the team right now.
This team genuinely feels depressed, almost in the clinical sense. There's a black cloud hanging over them, and I don't know what or who is causing it.
I made fun of teams bonding over the summer, but hey, it seems to have worked out for them. The Slovenia Lakers, Minnesota in Paris, the Spurs, etc.
Meanwhile, our guys just collect their checks. Jamal watches UFC, Jokić plays with his horses, AG visits catwalks in Paris, and CB tries to befriend rappers who don't want to befriend him.
It's just a sad team right now.
And Adelman feels like a "rotations on paper" kind of coach rather than someone who instills confidence in his second unit.
Instead of giving them clear roles and direction:
"You're our main scorer. You're responsible for this. Here's our offensive identity, and here's Plan B if things aren't working."
Nah. Just throw five guys out there and hope they figure it out.
There's no identity, no confidence, no chemistry. Just a team going through the motions.
Jokic's total rebounds don't seem to affect his +/−, while Cam's personal fouls are a major swing factor.
In games where CB had above average rebounds saw a 130% increase in +/- averages.
I analyzed every statistical category to see which ones have the biggest impact on each player's +/−
For example, if Jokic averages 4 three-point attempts per game, what's his average +/− in games where he attempts more than 4 compared to games where he attempts fewer than 4?
I did this for every stat and every player to identify the biggest differences.
I'll also post the results for each stat in text format in the comments.
DATA start date: Jokic/Jamal/AG from 2023-24 season
CB from 24-25
CJ From 25-26
Jokic: Don't force his minutes. Trust the bench, keep turnovers low, and preferably limit his 3PA.
Jamal: Three-point volume is important. Keeping turnovers low is crucial, even if it means sacrificing some assists.
AG: The least volatile player, but getting him involved as a playmaker offensively and defensively is highly beneficial.
CB: Crash the boards, intercept passing lanes, and generate steals.
Cam: Feed him three-point attempts and overall scoring opportunities. His points per game have the biggest impact on his +/− of any statistical category. Keep his foul rate down, too.
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