Chief of Staff is the single most important position in the administration. He acts as the gatekeeper to the president determining who gets access and even what information he is shown. Monumental decision and I'm hopeful for great things to come
You see, we're all 'dissenters' at some point.
Even Death Penalty opponents dissent from Francis' magisterium when they support life-in-prison
Everyone dissents, it just matters who lines up with immemorial tradition. DP proponents do. DP opponents do not.
Wesley H retweeted
Dude, we lost Mississippi. Nobody's been importing migrants to Mississippi.
"We mass imported a population from cultures that are diametrically opposed to the United States."
@JohnDoyle, @NickJFreitas, and @AuronMacintyre break down the impact that demographic changes and immigration have on the outcome of elections:
Wesley H retweeted
Even in this wipeout, democrats lost the White vote. They haven't won Whites in a presidential year since 1964, yet have won the popular vote in 7 of the last 9 presidential elections
Americans have been effectively disenfranchised by post-1965 immigration
Wesley H retweeted
It was the narrative about tariffs and the yo-yoing of tariff numbers that did more to spread uncertainty and hurt the Republicans than the tariffs themselves did to cause inflation
No doubt tariffs did some real damage to Republicans tonight, but it's also worth revisiting this analysis from the St. Louis Fed in August. Pay particular attention to Feb 2026: "Our estimates show that the effect of tariffs on inflation appears to have leveled off in the last few months or even declined slightly stlouisfed.org/on-the-econom…
Even after this massive wipeout I'm actually pretty hopeful
From Vance to DeSantis, it appears the actual Republican leadership is making a measured, accurate reaction to events
I'm sure Mike Johnson & John Thune will cuck out but I'm hopeful for who will lead the party in 2028
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Wesley H retweeted
This is maybe the most thorough and honest diagnosis of an election defeat that we’ve ever seen from a politician at Vance’s level. And he’s right.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Wesley H retweeted
St Thomas Aquinas states that we should not go to the Mass of a priest whose sin is notorious, even if he has not yet been suspended. This would apply to a bishop who calls into doubt a point of faith, e.g. by saying that he hopes that women will one day be ordained priests.
1/2
This is actually helpful. I've wondered this when thinking about what Catholics should do under the Bishop of Stockton, Bishop Stowe of Lexington, etc.
That's EXACTLY what I would expect.
A GOP post-mortem that says that tariffs and immigration enforcement cost them the election. The solution will be free trade, open borders, and corporate tax cuts to 'boost' the economy.
Wesley H retweeted
This is quantifiable. Trump slipped after Liberation day to about 40, where he stabilized for about a year until the strikes. The decline also tracked with thermostatic reaction to immigration enforcement. He then plummeted to 33 percent by August of this year.
CPI was 2.4 percent in February and up 3.8 percent in April. August headline CPI was 3.4 percent against core at 2.4 with energy accounting for most of the gap.
Republicans’ approval of the economy was at 79 percent in February, but dropped to 64 percent by May. Tariff opinion has been stable since April 2025. The late drop was the war. 74 percent of voters in exits said the war was a major or crucial factor in their vote.
Sean is really, really, really hoping nobody notices how far Trump slid in public approval before the war amidst unpopular tariffs. Also, by "neocons" he means anyone who thought nominating Donald Trump in 2024 was a good idea. This is what Trump leadership looks like. Trump could have gone to Congress. He could have defined war aims. He did none of what some of us Iran hawks urged him from Day One to do. And yes, I wrote all that publicly from the very start. Unlike Sean, I don't have to delete my past writings to cover my tracks.
Wesley H retweeted
Exit polls are showing the GOPs perceived strict immigration enforcement was one of their few winning issues.
The Iran war was a massive losing issue.
It wasn't just 2024 and it wasn't just his supporters.
5 days before the War, DeSantis was saying that Trump shouldn't negotiate with the Iranians and that he should "follow through" on toppling the "tottering" regime
Well, he’s running in 2028 - his angle against Vance or Rubio is he didn’t do the war, his hands are clean.
There is an irony in that some of his supporters back in 2024 are loud proponents of the Iran thing. They probably thought DeSantis would do it. Now he’s using it as a political tool in his favor.
The same poll they are citing says 34% list "cost of living/inflation" as their main issue and 14% as "the economy/jobs" far outweighing any other issue
These two Jews will get up and say the war we launched on behalf of the Jewish state has nothing whatsoever to do with this




























