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Bro did every receiving back cash today????
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โ€œTe DaY iS RiGgEdโ€๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐ŸŽฏ
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FREE SQUARE
Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ ๐Ÿšจ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐Ÿšจ The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER. Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This" ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s ๐ŸŽฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ€” 2nd MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ€” 8th MOST DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED: ๐Ÿšจ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s ๐Ÿšจ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT Kraft's 2026 alignment: ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 54% of Routes 87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions 172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target 2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS. ๐Ÿšจ 37 Targets โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 29 Receptions โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ€” 2nd MOST ๐Ÿšจ 6 Receiving TDs โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 2nd MOST THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP. Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3 ๐ŸŽฏ 51 Routes ๐ŸŽฏ 15 Targets ๐Ÿ”ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route ๐Ÿ”ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route ๐ŸŽฏ 80% Catch Rate KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them. ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTES 40 Routes | 12 Targets 23.7% of Kraft's Routes 30% Targets/Route 83% Catch Rate Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ€” 17th most ๐ŸŽฏ HITCH ROUTES 29 Routes | 6 Targets 17.2% of Kraft's Routes 7.3 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ€” 4th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ GO ROUTES 27 Routes | 4 Targets 16.0% of Kraft's Routes ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ€” 3rd MOST THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP ๐ŸŽฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit. ๐Ÿ”ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year. ๐ŸŽฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season ๐Ÿšจ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team. THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐Ÿšจ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE. And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY. Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup. I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE. RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it. BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK. TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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if you dont follow and read the writeups idk i fucked up by not playing it myself tho smh ez reads tho
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Winning Playbook retweeted
๐Ÿˆ XAVIER HUTCHINSON OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS (+163) ๐Ÿšจ Xavier Hutchinsonโ€™s reception trends make this an interesting plus-money prop against the New York Giants. The combination of recent consistency and a low 1.5-reception line stands out, but his target volume and the defensive matchup need to be considered. ๐Ÿ“Š RECEPTION TRENDS โ€ข Last 5 games: 5/5 hit (100%) โ€ข Last 10 games: 10/10 hit (100%) โ€ข Last 20 games: 15/20 hit (75%) โ€ข 2025โ€“26 season: 13/18 hit (72%) โ€ข 2026โ€“27 sample: 6/6 hit (100%) โ€ข Displayed graph average: 3.1 receptions โ€ข Average targets: 6.3 per game (18.7%) ๐ŸŽฏ THE LINE: OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS Hutchinson needs just two catches to cash. Heโ€™s recorded at least two receptions in each of the last 10 games shown, and his displayed average of 3.1 receptions sits 1.6 above the line. At +163, the implied break-even probability is approximately 38.0%. The recent results are encouraging, although historical hit rates do not guarantee future results or establish the true probability at these odds. ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ MATCHUP: NEW YORK GIANTS DEFENSE VS WRs Using the supplied 2026 full-season data: โ€ข Targets allowed: 18.2 per game โ€” Rank #18 โ€ข Red-zone targets allowed: 3.3 per game โ€” Rank #4 โ€ข Receptions allowed: 10.8 per game โ€” Rank #19 โ€ข Receiving yards allowed: 132.3 per game โ€” Rank #27 โ€ข Receiving TDs allowed: 1.2 per game โ€” Rank #3 โ€ข Catchable passes allowed: 1.8 โ€” Rank #1 โ€ข Drops: 1.8 โ€” Rank #32 The Giantsโ€™ #1 ranking in catchable passes allowed and #3 ranking in receiving touchdowns allowed are favorable signals for receivers. However, the #32 ranking in drops is a warning: those opportunities do not always turn into catches. Their #19 ranking in receptions allowed also suggests this isnโ€™t automatically an elite matchup for catch volume. ๐Ÿ“ˆ WHY THIS PROP STANDS OUT The strongest argument is the combination of a low line and Hutchinsonโ€™s recent results. Going 10/10 over the last 10 games while averaging 3.1 receptions gives the over a solid historical case. The defensive data adds potential support through catchable passes allowed, but the overall matchup is mixed. His 6.3 average targets are encouraging, although targets alone donโ€™t guarantee receptions. โš ๏ธ THE RISK โ€ข The last-10 streak is a historical sample, not a guarantee. โ€ข The Giantsโ€™ reception-allowed ranking is relatively average. โ€ข Plus-money odds can be attractive without necessarily representing value. ๐Ÿ FINAL TAKE Hutchinson over 1.5 receptions is an intriguing plus-money look because he needs only two catches and has cleared the line in all 10 recent games shown. The recent consistency is the main selling point, with the Giantsโ€™ catchable-pass data providing additional context. The angle: recent reception consistency + a low line + plus-money odds. ๐Ÿˆ๐ŸŽฏ
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2/3 TE TDS FROM THE WRITEUPS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ๐Ÿ‘€
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Back To Sleep See Yall 1PM๐Ÿ˜ˆ
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Manifesting The Writeup Sweep ๐Ÿงน @Playbook
Kyle Pitts vs San Francisco 49ers Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ On the surface, San Francisco looks like an AVERAGE matchup for tight ends. BUT ONCE YOU BREAK DOWN THE ROUTES PITTS ACTUALLY RUNS, AND WHERE THIS DEFENSE HAS BEEN GIVING UP YARDS, THERE'S DEFINITELY SOMETHING HERE. ๐Ÿ“Š 49ERS DEFENSE VS TE1s ๐ŸŽฏ 5.5 Targets/G โ€” 11th most ๐ŸŽฏ 3.8 Receptions/G โ€” 12th most ๐Ÿ”ฅ 32.2 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 17th most ๐ŸŽฏ 29 Yard Longest Reception Allowed โ€” 12th most Targets are the weakest spot on the page for San Francisco against TE1s. THE VOLUME IS THERE. Getting 6/7 Targets in the last 2 games and 3 tds in the last 2 games. Now let's look at where it's coming from. ๐ŸŽฏ KYLE PITTS ROUTE TREE VS SAN FRANCISCO ๐ŸŽฏ OUT ROUTES 18 Routes | 5 Targets 16.2% of His Route Tree โ€” HIS MOST RUN ROUTE 27.8% Targets/Route ๐Ÿ”ฅ 49ers Allow 38.3 Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTES 15 Routes | 4 Targets 13.5% of His Route Tree 26.7% Targets/Route ๐Ÿšจ 49ers Allow 44.2 Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL THIS IS THE PART THAT STANDS OUT TO ME. Pitts's number one route is the OUT, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most yards on it. His number two route is the FLAT, and nobody in football allows more yards on flat routes than the 49ers. Together, those two routes make up 29.7% of his route tree. THAT'S THE OVERLAP I WANT TO SEE. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KYLE PITTS ALIGNMENT VS SAN FRANCISCO ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 39% OF ROUTES 44 Routes | 9 Targets | 6 Receptions 74 Receiving Yards | 8.2 Yards/Target ๐ŸŽฏ SLOT โ€” 34% OF ROUTES 38 Routes | 8 Targets | 5 Receptions 63 Receiving Yards | 2 TDs ๐Ÿ“Š 49ERS VS INLINE TE ๐ŸŽฏ 31 Targets Allowed โ€” 6th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 21 Receptions Allowed โ€” 8th MOST ๐Ÿ”ฅ 30.5 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 11th most Pitts lines up inline more than anywhere else, and San Francisco allows the 6th most targets to inline tight ends. THE TARGETS SHOULD BE THERE FROM HIS MAIN ALIGNMENT. I'M INTERESTED IN THE YARDAGE. The out and flat routes are his bread and butter, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most and the MOST on them. I'M DEFINITELY INTERESTED IN KYLE PITTS RECEPTIONS & YARDS HERE. ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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Live On Twitch Researching Sunday NFL Touchdowns & Player Props twitch.tv/stackintv
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lol every time I talk bad about someone they homerun โ€ฆ wow
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Stream 3s Play Iโ€™ll Take It Live In 1 Hr To Cook NFL Plays ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Kyle Pitts vs San Francisco 49ers Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ On the surface, San Francisco looks like an AVERAGE matchup for tight ends. BUT ONCE YOU BREAK DOWN THE ROUTES PITTS ACTUALLY RUNS, AND WHERE THIS DEFENSE HAS BEEN GIVING UP YARDS, THERE'S DEFINITELY SOMETHING HERE. ๐Ÿ“Š 49ERS DEFENSE VS TE1s ๐ŸŽฏ 5.5 Targets/G โ€” 11th most ๐ŸŽฏ 3.8 Receptions/G โ€” 12th most ๐Ÿ”ฅ 32.2 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 17th most ๐ŸŽฏ 29 Yard Longest Reception Allowed โ€” 12th most Targets are the weakest spot on the page for San Francisco against TE1s. THE VOLUME IS THERE. Getting 6/7 Targets in the last 2 games and 3 tds in the last 2 games. Now let's look at where it's coming from. ๐ŸŽฏ KYLE PITTS ROUTE TREE VS SAN FRANCISCO ๐ŸŽฏ OUT ROUTES 18 Routes | 5 Targets 16.2% of His Route Tree โ€” HIS MOST RUN ROUTE 27.8% Targets/Route ๐Ÿ”ฅ 49ers Allow 38.3 Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTES 15 Routes | 4 Targets 13.5% of His Route Tree 26.7% Targets/Route ๐Ÿšจ 49ers Allow 44.2 Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL THIS IS THE PART THAT STANDS OUT TO ME. Pitts's number one route is the OUT, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most yards on it. His number two route is the FLAT, and nobody in football allows more yards on flat routes than the 49ers. Together, those two routes make up 29.7% of his route tree. THAT'S THE OVERLAP I WANT TO SEE. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KYLE PITTS ALIGNMENT VS SAN FRANCISCO ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 39% OF ROUTES 44 Routes | 9 Targets | 6 Receptions 74 Receiving Yards | 8.2 Yards/Target ๐ŸŽฏ SLOT โ€” 34% OF ROUTES 38 Routes | 8 Targets | 5 Receptions 63 Receiving Yards | 2 TDs ๐Ÿ“Š 49ERS VS INLINE TE ๐ŸŽฏ 31 Targets Allowed โ€” 6th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 21 Receptions Allowed โ€” 8th MOST ๐Ÿ”ฅ 30.5 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 11th most Pitts lines up inline more than anywhere else, and San Francisco allows the 6th most targets to inline tight ends. THE TARGETS SHOULD BE THERE FROM HIS MAIN ALIGNMENT. I'M INTERESTED IN THE YARDAGE. The out and flat routes are his bread and butter, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most and the MOST on them. I'M DEFINITELY INTERESTED IN KYLE PITTS RECEPTIONS & YARDS HERE. ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Mike Gesicki vs Baltimore Ravens Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ IT'S TE WEEK AND I THINK MIKE GESICKI MIGHT BE ONE OF THE SNEAKIER TOUCHDOWN SPOTS ON THE BOARD. ๐Ÿ‘€ Now on the surface, this matchup might not look as crazy as some of the other tight end spots this week. BUT WHEN YOU ACTUALLY DIG INTO HIS ALIGNMENT, ROUTE TREE, AND WHERE BALTIMORE HAS BEEN STRUGGLING, THERE'S DEFINITELY VALUE HERE. AND WE'RE GETTING +330 FOR HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN. Gesicki has scored in 3 STRAIGHT WEEKS. WHAT'S ONE MORE WEEK ON TE WEEK? ๐Ÿ˜‚ ๐Ÿ”ฅ MIKE GESICKI ALIGNMENT VS BALTIMORE Because if you're only looking at how Baltimore performs against traditional inline tight ends, you're missing the biggest part of this matchup. Gesicki is NOT being used like a traditional inline tight end. Look at his 2026 alignment. ๐ŸŽฏ SLOT โ€” 85% OF ROUTES 91 Routes | 14 Targets | 11 Receptions 157 Receiving Yards | 11.2 Yards/Target 79% Catch Rate | 3 TDs ๐ŸŽฏ WIDE โ€” 13% OF ROUTES 14 Routes | 2 Targets | 1 Reception 2 Receiving Yards | 1 TD ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 1% OF ROUTES 1 Route | 1 Target | 0 Receptions GESICKI IS BASICALLY OPERATING AS A SLOT RECEIVER. 85% OF HIS ROUTES ARE COMING FROM THE SLOT. AND NOW LOOK AT WHAT BALTIMORE HAS BEEN ALLOWING. ๐Ÿ”ฅ BALTIMORE DEFENSE VS SLOT ALIGNMENT ๐ŸŽฏ 62 Targets Allowed โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 47 Receptions Allowed โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 536 Receiving Yards Allowed โ€” 4th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 75.8% Catch Rate ๐Ÿ”ฅ 89.3 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐Ÿšจ 4 Receiving TDs Allowed Baltimore has allowed more receptions to slot-aligned receivers than any other defense in the league. AND GESICKI RUNS 85% OF HIS ROUTES FROM THAT EXACT ALIGNMENT. Now those defensive slot numbers include all receivers, not just tight ends. But that's exactly why I wanted to look deeper than the traditional TE matchup. Baltimore has actually been pretty strong against inline tight ends. ๐ŸŽฏ Only 93 Receiving Yards Allowed To Inline TEs ๐ŸŽฏ Only 15.5 Receiving Yards/G ๐ŸŽฏ 0 Receiving TDs Allowed BUT GESICKI BARELY PLAYS INLINE. THAT'S WHY HIS ALIGNMENT IS SO IMPORTANT TO THIS WRITEUP. ๐Ÿ”ฅ MIKE GESICKI ROUTE TREE VS BALTIMORE ๐ŸŽฏ HITCH ROUTES 19 Routes | 5 Targets 17.4% of His Route Tree 26.3% Targets/Route 6.4 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 46.0 Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST THIS IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE PARTS OF THE MATCHUP. Hitch routes are Gesicki's second-most-used route, and Baltimore has been one of the more vulnerable defenses against them. ๐ŸŽฏ SLANT ROUTES 12 Routes | 1 Target 11.0% of His Route Tree ๐Ÿšจ Baltimore Allows 26.0 Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ IN ROUTES 7 Routes | 0 Targets 6.4% of His Route Tree ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 48.3 Yards/G โ€” 2nd MOST ๐ŸŽฏ GO ROUTES 27 Routes | 6 Targets 24.8% of His Route Tree 14.2 Yards/Target Baltimore Allows 16.5 Yards/G โ€” 28th most NOW THIS IS IMPORTANT. Baltimore has been MUCH STRONGER against GO routes than some of the shorter and intermediate routes. And GO routes are Gesicki's MOST FREQUENTLY RUN ROUTE. So I'm not going to pretend every part of his route tree is a perfect matchup. BUT THE HITCH, SLANT, AND IN ROUTES ARE THE ONES THAT CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, those three routes account for 34.8% of Gesicki's charted routes. Baltimore ranks among the six most generous defenses in receiving yards allowed against all three. And with Gesicki spending the overwhelming majority of his time in the slot, those are the areas I want to see Cincinnati attack. ๐Ÿ”ฅ NOW LET'S TALK TOUCHDOWNS ๐ŸŽฏ Mike Gesicki Anytime TD โ€” +330 ๐Ÿ”ฅ Scored In 3 Straight Weeks ๐ŸŽฏ 3 Receiving TDs From The Slot This Season ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 0.67 Receiving TD/G From The Slot โ€” 6th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ Baltimore Allows 0.50 TD/G To TE1s โ€” 7th MOST ๐Ÿ“Š PROPFINDER TD MATCHUP ๐ŸŽฏ 3.4 Targets/G ๐ŸŽฏ 0.80 Red Zone Looks/G ๐Ÿ”ฅ 0.49 Observed TD/G ๐Ÿ”ฅ 0.50 Projected TD/G After Matchup Adjustment I'm saying Gesicki's specific usage gives him a different way to attack this defense than a traditional inline TE. The Ravens have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns from the slot, while Gesicki has scored 3 of his touchdowns from that alignment. THAT IS THE TOUCHDOWN CONNECTION I'M INTERESTED IN. I LIKE THIS SPOT BECAUSE IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT THE TIGHT END POSITION. IT'S ABOUT WHERE GESICKI ACTUALLY LINES UP AND HOW CINCINNATI USES HIM. +330 FOR A PLAYER WHO HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AND WHO LINES UP IN ONE OF BALTIMORE'S MORE VULNERABLE ALIGNMENTS? GESICKI HAS SCORED IN THREE STRAIGHT WEEKS. LET'S SEE IF HE CAN MAKE IT FOUR ON TE WEEK. ๐Ÿฆˆ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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Mike Gesicki vs Baltimore Ravens Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ IT'S TE WEEK AND I THINK MIKE GESICKI MIGHT BE ONE OF THE SNEAKIER TOUCHDOWN SPOTS ON THE BOARD. ๐Ÿ‘€ Now on the surface, this matchup might not look as crazy as some of the other tight end spots this week. BUT WHEN YOU ACTUALLY DIG INTO HIS ALIGNMENT, ROUTE TREE, AND WHERE BALTIMORE HAS BEEN STRUGGLING, THERE'S DEFINITELY VALUE HERE. AND WE'RE GETTING +330 FOR HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN. Gesicki has scored in 3 STRAIGHT WEEKS. WHAT'S ONE MORE WEEK ON TE WEEK? ๐Ÿ˜‚ ๐Ÿ”ฅ MIKE GESICKI ALIGNMENT VS BALTIMORE Because if you're only looking at how Baltimore performs against traditional inline tight ends, you're missing the biggest part of this matchup. Gesicki is NOT being used like a traditional inline tight end. Look at his 2026 alignment. ๐ŸŽฏ SLOT โ€” 85% OF ROUTES 91 Routes | 14 Targets | 11 Receptions 157 Receiving Yards | 11.2 Yards/Target 79% Catch Rate | 3 TDs ๐ŸŽฏ WIDE โ€” 13% OF ROUTES 14 Routes | 2 Targets | 1 Reception 2 Receiving Yards | 1 TD ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 1% OF ROUTES 1 Route | 1 Target | 0 Receptions GESICKI IS BASICALLY OPERATING AS A SLOT RECEIVER. 85% OF HIS ROUTES ARE COMING FROM THE SLOT. AND NOW LOOK AT WHAT BALTIMORE HAS BEEN ALLOWING. ๐Ÿ”ฅ BALTIMORE DEFENSE VS SLOT ALIGNMENT ๐ŸŽฏ 62 Targets Allowed โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 47 Receptions Allowed โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 536 Receiving Yards Allowed โ€” 4th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 75.8% Catch Rate ๐Ÿ”ฅ 89.3 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐Ÿšจ 4 Receiving TDs Allowed Baltimore has allowed more receptions to slot-aligned receivers than any other defense in the league. AND GESICKI RUNS 85% OF HIS ROUTES FROM THAT EXACT ALIGNMENT. Now those defensive slot numbers include all receivers, not just tight ends. But that's exactly why I wanted to look deeper than the traditional TE matchup. Baltimore has actually been pretty strong against inline tight ends. ๐ŸŽฏ Only 93 Receiving Yards Allowed To Inline TEs ๐ŸŽฏ Only 15.5 Receiving Yards/G ๐ŸŽฏ 0 Receiving TDs Allowed BUT GESICKI BARELY PLAYS INLINE. THAT'S WHY HIS ALIGNMENT IS SO IMPORTANT TO THIS WRITEUP. ๐Ÿ”ฅ MIKE GESICKI ROUTE TREE VS BALTIMORE ๐ŸŽฏ HITCH ROUTES 19 Routes | 5 Targets 17.4% of His Route Tree 26.3% Targets/Route 6.4 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 46.0 Yards/G โ€” 5th MOST THIS IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE PARTS OF THE MATCHUP. Hitch routes are Gesicki's second-most-used route, and Baltimore has been one of the more vulnerable defenses against them. ๐ŸŽฏ SLANT ROUTES 12 Routes | 1 Target 11.0% of His Route Tree ๐Ÿšจ Baltimore Allows 26.0 Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ IN ROUTES 7 Routes | 0 Targets 6.4% of His Route Tree ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 48.3 Yards/G โ€” 2nd MOST ๐ŸŽฏ GO ROUTES 27 Routes | 6 Targets 24.8% of His Route Tree 14.2 Yards/Target Baltimore Allows 16.5 Yards/G โ€” 28th most NOW THIS IS IMPORTANT. Baltimore has been MUCH STRONGER against GO routes than some of the shorter and intermediate routes. And GO routes are Gesicki's MOST FREQUENTLY RUN ROUTE. So I'm not going to pretend every part of his route tree is a perfect matchup. BUT THE HITCH, SLANT, AND IN ROUTES ARE THE ONES THAT CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, those three routes account for 34.8% of Gesicki's charted routes. Baltimore ranks among the six most generous defenses in receiving yards allowed against all three. And with Gesicki spending the overwhelming majority of his time in the slot, those are the areas I want to see Cincinnati attack. ๐Ÿ”ฅ NOW LET'S TALK TOUCHDOWNS ๐ŸŽฏ Mike Gesicki Anytime TD โ€” +330 ๐Ÿ”ฅ Scored In 3 Straight Weeks ๐ŸŽฏ 3 Receiving TDs From The Slot This Season ๐Ÿ”ฅ Baltimore Allows 0.67 Receiving TD/G From The Slot โ€” 6th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ Baltimore Allows 0.50 TD/G To TE1s โ€” 7th MOST ๐Ÿ“Š PROPFINDER TD MATCHUP ๐ŸŽฏ 3.4 Targets/G ๐ŸŽฏ 0.80 Red Zone Looks/G ๐Ÿ”ฅ 0.49 Observed TD/G ๐Ÿ”ฅ 0.50 Projected TD/G After Matchup Adjustment I'm saying Gesicki's specific usage gives him a different way to attack this defense than a traditional inline TE. The Ravens have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns from the slot, while Gesicki has scored 3 of his touchdowns from that alignment. THAT IS THE TOUCHDOWN CONNECTION I'M INTERESTED IN. I LIKE THIS SPOT BECAUSE IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT THE TIGHT END POSITION. IT'S ABOUT WHERE GESICKI ACTUALLY LINES UP AND HOW CINCINNATI USES HIM. +330 FOR A PLAYER WHO HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AND WHO LINES UP IN ONE OF BALTIMORE'S MORE VULNERABLE ALIGNMENTS? GESICKI HAS SCORED IN THREE STRAIGHT WEEKS. LET'S SEE IF HE CAN MAKE IT FOUR ON TE WEEK. ๐Ÿฆˆ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ ๐Ÿšจ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐Ÿšจ The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER. Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This" ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s ๐ŸŽฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ€” 2nd MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ€” 8th MOST DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED: ๐Ÿšจ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s ๐Ÿšจ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT Kraft's 2026 alignment: ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 54% of Routes 87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions 172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target 2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS. ๐Ÿšจ 37 Targets โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 29 Receptions โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ€” 2nd MOST ๐Ÿšจ 6 Receiving TDs โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 2nd MOST THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP. Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3 ๐ŸŽฏ 51 Routes ๐ŸŽฏ 15 Targets ๐Ÿ”ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route ๐Ÿ”ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route ๐ŸŽฏ 80% Catch Rate KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them. ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTES 40 Routes | 12 Targets 23.7% of Kraft's Routes 30% Targets/Route 83% Catch Rate Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ€” 17th most ๐ŸŽฏ HITCH ROUTES 29 Routes | 6 Targets 17.2% of Kraft's Routes 7.3 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ€” 4th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ GO ROUTES 27 Routes | 4 Targets 16.0% of Kraft's Routes ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ€” 3rd MOST THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP ๐ŸŽฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit. ๐Ÿ”ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year. ๐ŸŽฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season ๐Ÿšจ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team. THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐Ÿšจ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE. And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY. Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup. I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE. RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it. BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK. TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿˆ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ ๐Ÿšจ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐Ÿšจ The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER. Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This" ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s ๐ŸŽฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ€” 2nd MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ€” 5th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ€” 8th MOST DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED: ๐Ÿšจ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs ๐Ÿšจ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s ๐Ÿšจ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT Kraft's 2026 alignment: ๐ŸŽฏ INLINE TE โ€” 54% of Routes 87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions 172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target 2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS. ๐Ÿšจ 37 Targets โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿšจ 29 Receptions โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ€” 2nd MOST ๐Ÿšจ 6 Receiving TDs โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐Ÿ”ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 2nd MOST THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED. ๐Ÿ”ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP. Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3 ๐ŸŽฏ 51 Routes ๐ŸŽฏ 15 Targets ๐Ÿ”ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route ๐Ÿ”ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route ๐ŸŽฏ 80% Catch Rate KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route. ๐Ÿ”ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them. ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTES 40 Routes | 12 Targets 23.7% of Kraft's Routes 30% Targets/Route 83% Catch Rate Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ€” 17th most ๐ŸŽฏ HITCH ROUTES 29 Routes | 6 Targets 17.2% of Kraft's Routes 7.3 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ€” 4th MOST ๐ŸŽฏ GO ROUTES 27 Routes | 4 Targets 16.0% of Kraft's Routes ๐Ÿ”ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ€” 3rd MOST THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes. ๐Ÿ”ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP ๐ŸŽฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit. ๐Ÿ”ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year. ๐ŸŽฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season ๐Ÿšจ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team. THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐Ÿšจ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE. And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY. Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup. I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE. RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it. BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK. TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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Yall Want NFL Writeups Or NBA I already know my favorite nfl plays ๐Ÿ‘€
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Donโ€™t worry this guy will never be on this page again ๐Ÿšฎ
A.J. BROWN vs Bears Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ I'll be honest the recent numbers on AJ are ugly, and that's exactly why I'm looking at him. He practiced in full Wednesday, and he's off the injury report with no designation. He's New England's WR1 by a mile, Doubs and Hollins are both on IR, and the last time he saw this Bears defense, he put up 132 yards. ๐Ÿ“Š NE TEAM SHARE (2026, 2 games) ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.0% of team targets, 7.0 targets per game ๐Ÿšจ 25.0% red zone target share (2nd) ๐ŸŽฏ Next closest โ€” 16.9% and 16.8% ๐Ÿšจ Doubs (IR) and Hollins (IR) out The volume is there the production just hasn't caught up. He saw 10 targets against the Jets and only turned them into 27 yards. ๐Ÿ“Š CHI DEFENSE vs WR1 (13th of 32, Average Matchup) ๐ŸŽฏ Receiving Yards โ€” 71.2 per game allowed (13th), league avg 65.9 ๐ŸŽฏ Targets โ€” 7.3 per game | Receptions โ€” 4.5 per game ๐Ÿ”ฅ Air Yards โ€” 53.3 per game (11th) ๐ŸŽฏ All WRs โ€” 159.8 yards per game allowed (11th) Chicago gives up more than this line to WR1s on average, so the matchup isn't the problem. ๐Ÿ“Š ALIGNMENT (2026) ๐Ÿ”ฅ Brown โ€” 83% Out Wide ๐Ÿ”ฅ CHI Out Wide โ€” 124.2 yds/g (8th most), 11.1 yards per target (2nd most) ๐ŸŽฏ CHI at Slot โ€” 62.0 yds/g (20th) He lives outside, and outside is where the Bears bleed. They allow the 2nd most yards per target to out wide receivers. ๐Ÿ“Š ROUTE TREE vs CHI (2026, 2 games) ๐Ÿ’ฃ Go โ€” 12.8% of routes (6 routes, 1 target) | CHI allows 58.8 yds/g (2nd most) ๐Ÿ’ฃ Post โ€” 2.1% (1 route, 1 target) | CHI allows 34.7 yds/g (2nd most) ๐ŸŽฏ Out โ€” 12.8% (6 routes, 4 targets), 100% catch rate, 6.0 Y/TGT | CHI allows 30.3 yds/g (11th) ๐ŸŽฏ Slant โ€” 19.1% (9 routes, 4 targets), 44.4% targets per route | CHI allows 15.2 yds/g (13th) ๐Ÿšจ Hitch โ€” 17.0% (8 routes, 1 target) | CHI allows 15.2 yds/g (32nd) The deep routes are where Chicago leaks. The go and the post are both 2nd worst in football. One or two shots downfield will get AJ most of the way. I'll be the first to admit the form is cold. He's 1 for 5 over his last 5 and 0 for 2 as a Patriot, and the route sample is only two games. But if he's fully healthy, he's the clear WR1 with 7 targets a game, Chicago is soft out wide and deep, and he put 132 on this same defense. I'm buying the bounce back. ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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Last Night Stream Play Harden Might Be Banned tho
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Winning Playbook retweeted
If yaw ainโ€™t following my brotherโ€ฆ. Then u jus hate money ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ
D'Andre Swift vs New England Patriots Defense ๐Ÿฆˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ 50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ I'M NOT IN LOVE WITH D'ANDRE SWIFT ON THE GROUND IN THIS MATCHUP. New England hasn't been giving up a ton of rushing yards to opposing RB1s, and when you look at how they've defended the run this season, I DON'T THINK THAT'S THE STRONGEST ANGLE HERE. BUT I REALLY LIKE LOOKING AT SWIFT THROUGH THE AIR. The Patriots have been allowing 3 targets per game to opposing RB1s, and when you start looking at Swift's receiving production with Caleb Williams combined with his route tree, THIS MATCHUP GETS A LOT MORE INTERESTING. ๐Ÿ”ฅ D'ANDRE SWIFT WITH CALEB WILLIAMS In Swift's last 19 games with Caleb Williams where he's received 3+ targets, he's averaging 31.7 Receiving Yards/G. ๐Ÿ“Š NEW ENGLAND DEFENSE VS RB1 ๐Ÿƒ 12.5 Carries/G โ€” 27th most ๐Ÿƒ 58.0 Rushing Yards/G โ€” 20th most ๐Ÿ”ฅ 4.59 Yards/Carry โ€” 7th highest ๐Ÿšจ 0.3 Rushing TD/G โ€” 23rd most ๐ŸŽฏ 3.0 Targets/G โ€” 20th most ๐ŸŽฏ 2.2 Receptions/G โ€” 25th most ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.5 Receiving Yards/G โ€” 8th most THIS IS WHY I'M MORE INTERESTED IN HIS RECEIVING PRODUCTION. New England is allowing only 58 rushing yards per game to RB1s, but they're giving up the 8th most receiving yards to that same position. And that's an important difference. The Patriots haven't been allowing a ton of receiving volume, but the backs who do catch passes have still been finding opportunities to gain yards. ๐Ÿ”ฅ D'ANDRE SWIFT ROUTE TREE VS NEW ENGLAND ๐ŸŽฏ FLAT ROUTE 50.5% of Swift's Routes 46 Routes Run 10 Targets 4.0 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ NE Allows 27.0 Yards/G โ€” 13th most ๐ŸŽฏ ANGLE ROUTE 23.1% of Swift's Routes 21 Routes Run 2 Targets 8.0 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ NE Allows 12.0 Yards/G โ€” 7th most ๐ŸŽฏ SWING ROUTE 11.0% of Swift's Routes 10 Routes Run 1 Target 6.0 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ NE Allows 11.7 Yards/G โ€” MOST IN NFL ๐ŸŽฏ SCREEN ROUTE 8.8% of Swift's Routes 8 Routes Run 7 Targets 10.6 Yards/Target ๐Ÿ”ฅ NE Allows 12.2 Yards/G โ€” 20th most THIS IS WHERE THE MATCHUP REALLY GETS INTERESTING. Swift has run 91 charted routes this season. And look at how much of his route tree is built around getting the football out of the backfield. ๐Ÿ”ฅ 50.5% FLAT ๐Ÿ”ฅ 23.1% ANGLE ๐Ÿ”ฅ 11.0% SWING ๐Ÿ”ฅ 8.8% SCREEN THAT'S 93.4% OF HIS CHARTED ROUTES COMING FROM THOSE FOUR ROUTE TYPES. And New England has been particularly vulnerable against SWING and ANGLE routes. The Patriots are allowing the MOST receiving yards per game against swing routes in the NFL. They're also allowing the 7th most receiving yards per game against angle routes. NOW HERE'S WHAT I REALLY LIKE. Even though Swift has only been targeted once on a swing route this season, that route is still part of his regular usage. And his angle routes account for another 23.1% of his route tree. Look at Swift's SCREEN ROUTE production. ๐ŸŽฏ 8 Routes ๐ŸŽฏ 7 Targets ๐ŸŽฏ 100% Catch Rate ๐Ÿ”ฅ 10.6 Yards/Target THAT IS SOME REALLY INTERESTING EFFICIENCY. When Chicago has designed screens for Swift, he's been getting targeted on almost every one of those routes. And while New England hasn't been especially vulnerable to screens compared with the rest of the league, that usage gives Swift another path to receiving production without needing a ton of downfield targets. I'M DEFINITELY MORE INTERESTED IN D'ANDRE SWIFT RECEIVING YARDS HERE. The biggest question for me is whether Caleb gives him the 3+ targets that have historically made his receiving production so interesting with Caleb. Because if he gets those opportunities, I LIKE HIS CHANCES OF MAKING SOMETHING HAPPEN THROUGH THE AIR. ๐Ÿ“บ twitch.tv/stackintv ๐Ÿ“Š Data provided by @PropFinderApp ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
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