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Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
๐จ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐จ
The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER.
Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This"
๐ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s
๐ฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ 2nd MOST
๐ฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ 8th MOST
DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME.
๐ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED:
๐จ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs
๐จ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s
๐จ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s
The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT
Kraft's 2026 alignment:
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 54% of Routes
87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions
172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target
2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD
NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS.
๐จ 37 Targets โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 29 Receptions โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ 2nd MOST
๐จ 6 Receiving TDs โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ 2nd MOST
THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED.
๐ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT
COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP.
Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON.
๐ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3
๐ฏ 51 Routes
๐ฏ 15 Targets
๐ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route
๐ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target
๐ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route
๐ฏ 80% Catch Rate
KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route.
๐ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT
Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them.
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTES
40 Routes | 12 Targets
23.7% of Kraft's Routes
30% Targets/Route
83% Catch Rate
Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ 17th most
๐ฏ HITCH ROUTES
29 Routes | 6 Targets
17.2% of Kraft's Routes
7.3 Yards/Target
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ 4th MOST
๐ฏ GO ROUTES
27 Routes | 4 Targets
16.0% of Kraft's Routes
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ 3rd MOST
THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP
๐ฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit.
๐ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year.
๐ฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season
๐จ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share
BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team.
THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐
๐จ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE.
And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY.
Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup.
I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE.
RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it.
BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK.
TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐ฆ๐ฅ
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if you dont follow and read the writeups idk i fucked up by not playing it myself tho smh ez reads tho
Winning Playbook retweeted
๐ XAVIER HUTCHINSON OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS (+163) ๐จ
Xavier Hutchinsonโs reception trends make this an interesting plus-money prop against the New York Giants. The combination of recent consistency and a low 1.5-reception line stands out, but his target volume and the defensive matchup need to be considered.
๐ RECEPTION TRENDS
โข Last 5 games: 5/5 hit (100%)
โข Last 10 games: 10/10 hit (100%)
โข Last 20 games: 15/20 hit (75%)
โข 2025โ26 season: 13/18 hit (72%)
โข 2026โ27 sample: 6/6 hit (100%)
โข Displayed graph average: 3.1 receptions
โข Average targets: 6.3 per game (18.7%)
๐ฏ THE LINE: OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS
Hutchinson needs just two catches to cash. Heโs recorded at least two receptions in each of the last 10 games shown, and his displayed average of 3.1 receptions sits 1.6 above the line.
At +163, the implied break-even probability is approximately 38.0%. The recent results are encouraging, although historical hit rates do not guarantee future results or establish the true probability at these odds.
๐ก๏ธ MATCHUP: NEW YORK GIANTS DEFENSE VS WRs
Using the supplied 2026 full-season data:
โข Targets allowed: 18.2 per game โ Rank #18
โข Red-zone targets allowed: 3.3 per game โ Rank #4
โข Receptions allowed: 10.8 per game โ Rank #19
โข Receiving yards allowed: 132.3 per game โ Rank #27
โข Receiving TDs allowed: 1.2 per game โ Rank #3
โข Catchable passes allowed: 1.8 โ Rank #1
โข Drops: 1.8 โ Rank #32
The Giantsโ #1 ranking in catchable passes allowed and #3 ranking in receiving touchdowns allowed are favorable signals for receivers. However, the #32 ranking in drops is a warning: those opportunities do not always turn into catches. Their #19 ranking in receptions allowed also suggests this isnโt automatically an elite matchup for catch volume.
๐ WHY THIS PROP STANDS OUT
The strongest argument is the combination of a low line and Hutchinsonโs recent results. Going 10/10 over the last 10 games while averaging 3.1 receptions gives the over a solid historical case.
The defensive data adds potential support through catchable passes allowed, but the overall matchup is mixed. His 6.3 average targets are encouraging, although targets alone donโt guarantee receptions.
โ ๏ธ THE RISK
โข The last-10 streak is a historical sample, not a guarantee.
โข The Giantsโ reception-allowed ranking is relatively average.
โข Plus-money odds can be attractive without necessarily representing value.
๐ FINAL TAKE
Hutchinson over 1.5 receptions is an intriguing plus-money look because he needs only two catches and has cleared the line in all 10 recent games shown. The recent consistency is the main selling point, with the Giantsโ catchable-pass data providing additional context.
The angle: recent reception consistency + a low line + plus-money odds. ๐๐ฏ
Manifesting The Writeup Sweep ๐งน
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Kyle Pitts vs San Francisco 49ers Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
On the surface, San Francisco looks like an AVERAGE matchup for tight ends. BUT ONCE YOU BREAK DOWN THE ROUTES PITTS ACTUALLY RUNS, AND WHERE THIS DEFENSE HAS BEEN GIVING UP YARDS, THERE'S DEFINITELY SOMETHING HERE.
๐ 49ERS DEFENSE VS TE1s
๐ฏ 5.5 Targets/G โ 11th most
๐ฏ 3.8 Receptions/G โ 12th most
๐ฅ 32.2 Receiving Yards/G โ 17th most
๐ฏ 29 Yard Longest Reception Allowed โ 12th most
Targets are the weakest spot on the page for San Francisco against TE1s. THE VOLUME IS THERE. Getting 6/7 Targets in the last 2 games and 3 tds in the last 2 games. Now let's look at where it's coming from.
๐ฏ KYLE PITTS ROUTE TREE VS SAN FRANCISCO
๐ฏ OUT ROUTES
18 Routes | 5 Targets
16.2% of His Route Tree โ HIS MOST RUN ROUTE
27.8% Targets/Route
๐ฅ 49ers Allow 38.3 Yards/G โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTES
15 Routes | 4 Targets
13.5% of His Route Tree
26.7% Targets/Route
๐จ 49ers Allow 44.2 Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
THIS IS THE PART THAT STANDS OUT TO ME. Pitts's number one route is the OUT, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most yards on it. His number two route is the FLAT, and nobody in football allows more yards on flat routes than the 49ers. Together, those two routes make up 29.7% of his route tree. THAT'S THE OVERLAP I WANT TO SEE.
๐ฅ KYLE PITTS ALIGNMENT VS SAN FRANCISCO
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 39% OF ROUTES
44 Routes | 9 Targets | 6 Receptions
74 Receiving Yards | 8.2 Yards/Target
๐ฏ SLOT โ 34% OF ROUTES
38 Routes | 8 Targets | 5 Receptions
63 Receiving Yards | 2 TDs
๐ 49ERS VS INLINE TE
๐ฏ 31 Targets Allowed โ 6th MOST
๐ฏ 21 Receptions Allowed โ 8th MOST
๐ฅ 30.5 Receiving Yards/G โ 11th most
Pitts lines up inline more than anywhere else, and San Francisco allows the 6th most targets to inline tight ends. THE TARGETS SHOULD BE THERE FROM HIS MAIN ALIGNMENT.
I'M INTERESTED IN THE YARDAGE. The out and flat routes are his bread and butter, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most and the MOST on them.
I'M DEFINITELY INTERESTED IN KYLE PITTS RECEPTIONS & YARDS HERE. ๐๐ฅ
๐บ twitch.tv/stackintv
๐ Data provided by @PropFinderApp
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Kyle Pitts vs San Francisco 49ers Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
On the surface, San Francisco looks like an AVERAGE matchup for tight ends. BUT ONCE YOU BREAK DOWN THE ROUTES PITTS ACTUALLY RUNS, AND WHERE THIS DEFENSE HAS BEEN GIVING UP YARDS, THERE'S DEFINITELY SOMETHING HERE.
๐ 49ERS DEFENSE VS TE1s
๐ฏ 5.5 Targets/G โ 11th most
๐ฏ 3.8 Receptions/G โ 12th most
๐ฅ 32.2 Receiving Yards/G โ 17th most
๐ฏ 29 Yard Longest Reception Allowed โ 12th most
Targets are the weakest spot on the page for San Francisco against TE1s. THE VOLUME IS THERE. Getting 6/7 Targets in the last 2 games and 3 tds in the last 2 games. Now let's look at where it's coming from.
๐ฏ KYLE PITTS ROUTE TREE VS SAN FRANCISCO
๐ฏ OUT ROUTES
18 Routes | 5 Targets
16.2% of His Route Tree โ HIS MOST RUN ROUTE
27.8% Targets/Route
๐ฅ 49ers Allow 38.3 Yards/G โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTES
15 Routes | 4 Targets
13.5% of His Route Tree
26.7% Targets/Route
๐จ 49ers Allow 44.2 Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
THIS IS THE PART THAT STANDS OUT TO ME. Pitts's number one route is the OUT, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most yards on it. His number two route is the FLAT, and nobody in football allows more yards on flat routes than the 49ers. Together, those two routes make up 29.7% of his route tree. THAT'S THE OVERLAP I WANT TO SEE.
๐ฅ KYLE PITTS ALIGNMENT VS SAN FRANCISCO
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 39% OF ROUTES
44 Routes | 9 Targets | 6 Receptions
74 Receiving Yards | 8.2 Yards/Target
๐ฏ SLOT โ 34% OF ROUTES
38 Routes | 8 Targets | 5 Receptions
63 Receiving Yards | 2 TDs
๐ 49ERS VS INLINE TE
๐ฏ 31 Targets Allowed โ 6th MOST
๐ฏ 21 Receptions Allowed โ 8th MOST
๐ฅ 30.5 Receiving Yards/G โ 11th most
Pitts lines up inline more than anywhere else, and San Francisco allows the 6th most targets to inline tight ends. THE TARGETS SHOULD BE THERE FROM HIS MAIN ALIGNMENT.
I'M INTERESTED IN THE YARDAGE. The out and flat routes are his bread and butter, and San Francisco gives up the 5th most and the MOST on them.
I'M DEFINITELY INTERESTED IN KYLE PITTS RECEPTIONS & YARDS HERE. ๐๐ฅ
๐บ twitch.tv/stackintv
๐ Data provided by @PropFinderApp
๐๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Mike Gesicki vs Baltimore Ravens Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
IT'S TE WEEK AND I THINK MIKE GESICKI MIGHT BE ONE OF THE SNEAKIER TOUCHDOWN SPOTS ON THE BOARD. ๐
Now on the surface, this matchup might not look as crazy as some of the other tight end spots this week. BUT WHEN YOU ACTUALLY DIG INTO HIS ALIGNMENT, ROUTE TREE, AND WHERE BALTIMORE HAS BEEN STRUGGLING, THERE'S DEFINITELY VALUE HERE.
AND WE'RE GETTING +330 FOR HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN. Gesicki has scored in 3 STRAIGHT WEEKS. WHAT'S ONE MORE WEEK ON TE WEEK? ๐
๐ฅ MIKE GESICKI ALIGNMENT VS BALTIMORE
Because if you're only looking at how Baltimore performs against traditional inline tight ends, you're missing the biggest part of this matchup. Gesicki is NOT being used like a traditional inline tight end.
Look at his 2026 alignment.
๐ฏ SLOT โ 85% OF ROUTES
91 Routes | 14 Targets | 11 Receptions
157 Receiving Yards | 11.2 Yards/Target
79% Catch Rate | 3 TDs
๐ฏ WIDE โ 13% OF ROUTES
14 Routes | 2 Targets | 1 Reception
2 Receiving Yards | 1 TD
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 1% OF ROUTES
1 Route | 1 Target | 0 Receptions
GESICKI IS BASICALLY OPERATING AS A SLOT RECEIVER. 85% OF HIS ROUTES ARE COMING FROM THE SLOT. AND NOW LOOK AT WHAT BALTIMORE HAS BEEN ALLOWING.
๐ฅ BALTIMORE DEFENSE VS SLOT ALIGNMENT
๐ฏ 62 Targets Allowed โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ 47 Receptions Allowed โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 536 Receiving Yards Allowed โ 4th MOST
๐ฏ 75.8% Catch Rate
๐ฅ 89.3 Receiving Yards/G โ 5th MOST
๐จ 4 Receiving TDs Allowed
Baltimore has allowed more receptions to slot-aligned receivers than any other defense in the league.
AND GESICKI RUNS 85% OF HIS ROUTES FROM THAT EXACT ALIGNMENT. Now those defensive slot numbers include all receivers, not just tight ends.
But that's exactly why I wanted to look deeper than the traditional TE matchup.
Baltimore has actually been pretty strong against inline tight ends.
๐ฏ Only 93 Receiving Yards Allowed To Inline TEs
๐ฏ Only 15.5 Receiving Yards/G
๐ฏ 0 Receiving TDs Allowed
BUT GESICKI BARELY PLAYS INLINE. THAT'S WHY HIS ALIGNMENT IS SO IMPORTANT TO THIS WRITEUP.
๐ฅ MIKE GESICKI ROUTE TREE VS BALTIMORE
๐ฏ HITCH ROUTES
19 Routes | 5 Targets
17.4% of His Route Tree
26.3% Targets/Route
6.4 Yards/Target
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 46.0 Yards/G โ 5th MOST
THIS IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE PARTS OF THE MATCHUP. Hitch routes are Gesicki's second-most-used route, and Baltimore has been one of the more vulnerable defenses against them.
๐ฏ SLANT ROUTES
12 Routes | 1 Target
11.0% of His Route Tree
๐จ Baltimore Allows 26.0 Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ IN ROUTES
7 Routes | 0 Targets
6.4% of His Route Tree
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 48.3 Yards/G โ 2nd MOST
๐ฏ GO ROUTES
27 Routes | 6 Targets
24.8% of His Route Tree
14.2 Yards/Target
Baltimore Allows 16.5 Yards/G โ 28th most
NOW THIS IS IMPORTANT.
Baltimore has been MUCH STRONGER against GO routes than some of the shorter and intermediate routes. And GO routes are Gesicki's MOST FREQUENTLY RUN ROUTE. So I'm not going to pretend every part of his route tree is a perfect matchup.
BUT THE HITCH, SLANT, AND IN ROUTES ARE THE ONES THAT CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, those three routes account for 34.8% of Gesicki's charted routes.
Baltimore ranks among the six most generous defenses in receiving yards allowed against all three. And with Gesicki spending the overwhelming majority of his time in the slot, those are the areas I want to see Cincinnati attack.
๐ฅ NOW LET'S TALK TOUCHDOWNS
๐ฏ Mike Gesicki Anytime TD โ +330
๐ฅ Scored In 3 Straight Weeks
๐ฏ 3 Receiving TDs From The Slot This Season
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 0.67 Receiving TD/G From The Slot โ 6th MOST
๐ฏ Baltimore Allows 0.50 TD/G To TE1s โ 7th MOST
๐ PROPFINDER TD MATCHUP
๐ฏ 3.4 Targets/G
๐ฏ 0.80 Red Zone Looks/G
๐ฅ 0.49 Observed TD/G
๐ฅ 0.50 Projected TD/G After Matchup Adjustment
I'm saying Gesicki's specific usage gives him a different way to attack this defense than a traditional inline TE. The Ravens have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns from the slot, while Gesicki has scored 3 of his touchdowns from that alignment.
THAT IS THE TOUCHDOWN CONNECTION I'M INTERESTED IN. I LIKE THIS SPOT BECAUSE IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT THE TIGHT END POSITION. IT'S ABOUT WHERE GESICKI ACTUALLY LINES UP AND HOW CINCINNATI USES HIM.
+330 FOR A PLAYER WHO HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AND WHO LINES UP IN ONE OF BALTIMORE'S MORE VULNERABLE ALIGNMENTS?
GESICKI HAS SCORED IN THREE STRAIGHT WEEKS. LET'S SEE IF HE CAN MAKE IT FOUR ON TE WEEK. ๐ฆ
๐บ twitch.tv/stackintv
๐ Data provided by @PropFinderApp
๐๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Mike Gesicki vs Baltimore Ravens Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
IT'S TE WEEK AND I THINK MIKE GESICKI MIGHT BE ONE OF THE SNEAKIER TOUCHDOWN SPOTS ON THE BOARD. ๐
Now on the surface, this matchup might not look as crazy as some of the other tight end spots this week. BUT WHEN YOU ACTUALLY DIG INTO HIS ALIGNMENT, ROUTE TREE, AND WHERE BALTIMORE HAS BEEN STRUGGLING, THERE'S DEFINITELY VALUE HERE.
AND WE'RE GETTING +330 FOR HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN. Gesicki has scored in 3 STRAIGHT WEEKS. WHAT'S ONE MORE WEEK ON TE WEEK? ๐
๐ฅ MIKE GESICKI ALIGNMENT VS BALTIMORE
Because if you're only looking at how Baltimore performs against traditional inline tight ends, you're missing the biggest part of this matchup. Gesicki is NOT being used like a traditional inline tight end.
Look at his 2026 alignment.
๐ฏ SLOT โ 85% OF ROUTES
91 Routes | 14 Targets | 11 Receptions
157 Receiving Yards | 11.2 Yards/Target
79% Catch Rate | 3 TDs
๐ฏ WIDE โ 13% OF ROUTES
14 Routes | 2 Targets | 1 Reception
2 Receiving Yards | 1 TD
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 1% OF ROUTES
1 Route | 1 Target | 0 Receptions
GESICKI IS BASICALLY OPERATING AS A SLOT RECEIVER. 85% OF HIS ROUTES ARE COMING FROM THE SLOT. AND NOW LOOK AT WHAT BALTIMORE HAS BEEN ALLOWING.
๐ฅ BALTIMORE DEFENSE VS SLOT ALIGNMENT
๐ฏ 62 Targets Allowed โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ 47 Receptions Allowed โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 536 Receiving Yards Allowed โ 4th MOST
๐ฏ 75.8% Catch Rate
๐ฅ 89.3 Receiving Yards/G โ 5th MOST
๐จ 4 Receiving TDs Allowed
Baltimore has allowed more receptions to slot-aligned receivers than any other defense in the league.
AND GESICKI RUNS 85% OF HIS ROUTES FROM THAT EXACT ALIGNMENT. Now those defensive slot numbers include all receivers, not just tight ends.
But that's exactly why I wanted to look deeper than the traditional TE matchup.
Baltimore has actually been pretty strong against inline tight ends.
๐ฏ Only 93 Receiving Yards Allowed To Inline TEs
๐ฏ Only 15.5 Receiving Yards/G
๐ฏ 0 Receiving TDs Allowed
BUT GESICKI BARELY PLAYS INLINE. THAT'S WHY HIS ALIGNMENT IS SO IMPORTANT TO THIS WRITEUP.
๐ฅ MIKE GESICKI ROUTE TREE VS BALTIMORE
๐ฏ HITCH ROUTES
19 Routes | 5 Targets
17.4% of His Route Tree
26.3% Targets/Route
6.4 Yards/Target
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 46.0 Yards/G โ 5th MOST
THIS IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE PARTS OF THE MATCHUP. Hitch routes are Gesicki's second-most-used route, and Baltimore has been one of the more vulnerable defenses against them.
๐ฏ SLANT ROUTES
12 Routes | 1 Target
11.0% of His Route Tree
๐จ Baltimore Allows 26.0 Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ IN ROUTES
7 Routes | 0 Targets
6.4% of His Route Tree
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 48.3 Yards/G โ 2nd MOST
๐ฏ GO ROUTES
27 Routes | 6 Targets
24.8% of His Route Tree
14.2 Yards/Target
Baltimore Allows 16.5 Yards/G โ 28th most
NOW THIS IS IMPORTANT.
Baltimore has been MUCH STRONGER against GO routes than some of the shorter and intermediate routes. And GO routes are Gesicki's MOST FREQUENTLY RUN ROUTE. So I'm not going to pretend every part of his route tree is a perfect matchup.
BUT THE HITCH, SLANT, AND IN ROUTES ARE THE ONES THAT CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, those three routes account for 34.8% of Gesicki's charted routes.
Baltimore ranks among the six most generous defenses in receiving yards allowed against all three. And with Gesicki spending the overwhelming majority of his time in the slot, those are the areas I want to see Cincinnati attack.
๐ฅ NOW LET'S TALK TOUCHDOWNS
๐ฏ Mike Gesicki Anytime TD โ +330
๐ฅ Scored In 3 Straight Weeks
๐ฏ 3 Receiving TDs From The Slot This Season
๐ฅ Baltimore Allows 0.67 Receiving TD/G From The Slot โ 6th MOST
๐ฏ Baltimore Allows 0.50 TD/G To TE1s โ 7th MOST
๐ PROPFINDER TD MATCHUP
๐ฏ 3.4 Targets/G
๐ฏ 0.80 Red Zone Looks/G
๐ฅ 0.49 Observed TD/G
๐ฅ 0.50 Projected TD/G After Matchup Adjustment
I'm saying Gesicki's specific usage gives him a different way to attack this defense than a traditional inline TE. The Ravens have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns from the slot, while Gesicki has scored 3 of his touchdowns from that alignment.
THAT IS THE TOUCHDOWN CONNECTION I'M INTERESTED IN. I LIKE THIS SPOT BECAUSE IT'S NOT JUST ABOUT THE TIGHT END POSITION. IT'S ABOUT WHERE GESICKI ACTUALLY LINES UP AND HOW CINCINNATI USES HIM.
+330 FOR A PLAYER WHO HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AND WHO LINES UP IN ONE OF BALTIMORE'S MORE VULNERABLE ALIGNMENTS?
GESICKI HAS SCORED IN THREE STRAIGHT WEEKS. LET'S SEE IF HE CAN MAKE IT FOUR ON TE WEEK. ๐ฆ
๐บ twitch.tv/stackintv
๐ Data provided by @PropFinderApp
๐๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
๐จ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐จ
The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER.
Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This"
๐ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s
๐ฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ 2nd MOST
๐ฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ 8th MOST
DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME.
๐ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED:
๐จ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs
๐จ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s
๐จ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s
The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT
Kraft's 2026 alignment:
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 54% of Routes
87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions
172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target
2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD
NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS.
๐จ 37 Targets โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 29 Receptions โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ 2nd MOST
๐จ 6 Receiving TDs โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ 2nd MOST
THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED.
๐ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT
COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP.
Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON.
๐ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3
๐ฏ 51 Routes
๐ฏ 15 Targets
๐ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route
๐ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target
๐ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route
๐ฏ 80% Catch Rate
KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route.
๐ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT
Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them.
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTES
40 Routes | 12 Targets
23.7% of Kraft's Routes
30% Targets/Route
83% Catch Rate
Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ 17th most
๐ฏ HITCH ROUTES
29 Routes | 6 Targets
17.2% of Kraft's Routes
7.3 Yards/Target
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ 4th MOST
๐ฏ GO ROUTES
27 Routes | 4 Targets
16.0% of Kraft's Routes
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ 3rd MOST
THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP
๐ฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit.
๐ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year.
๐ฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season
๐จ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share
BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team.
THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐
๐จ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE.
And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY.
Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup.
I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE.
RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it.
BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK.
TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐ฆ๐ฅ
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Tucker Kraft vs Detroit Lions Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
๐จ IT'S TE WEEK AND TUCKER KRAFT IS WALKING INTO ONE OF THE BEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS YOU COULD POSSIBLY ASK FOR. ๐จ
The Detroit Lions have been getting ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED by opposing tight ends this season. And when you actually break down what this defense has been allowing to TE1s, their coverage tendencies, Kraft's route tree, and his alignment, THIS MATCHUP GETS EVEN BETTER.
Kraft is also coming off a really good performance with 8 TARGETS and 5 RECEPTIONS. He's already shown he can produce against Detroit, scoring 3 touchdowns in his last 5 H2H games against this team, INCLUDING 2 TOUCHDOWNS ON TE WEEK LAST YEAR. The Gif Is His Second Touchdown... He Said... "You See That I Do This"
๐ฅ DETROIT LIONS DEFENSE VS TE1s
๐ฏ 7.4 Targets/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ 6.0 Receptions/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 66.4 Receiving Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 0.8 Receiving TD/G โ 2nd MOST
๐ฏ 43.4 Air Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 23.0 Yards After Catch/G โ 5th MOST
๐ฏ 1.0 Red Zone Targets/G โ 8th MOST
DETROIT IS RANKED DEAD LAST AGAINST TE1s IN TARGETS, RECEPTIONS, RECEIVING YARDS AND AIR YARDS ALLOWED. THEY ARE ALSO ALLOWING THE SECOND MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO THE POSITION. We're talking about a defense allowing opposing TE1s to average 6 receptions and 66.4 receiving yards PER GAME.
๐ฅ DETROIT'S TD PRODUCTION ALLOWED:
๐จ 1.8 TD/G Allowed To All TEs
๐จ 0.8 TD/G Allowed To TE1s
๐จ 0.6 TD/G Allowed To TE2s
The Lions rank 3rd in TE1 touchdowns allowed and 1st in TE2 touchdowns allowed on the touchdown matchup chart. THE ENTIRE TIGHT END POSITION HAS BEEN FINDING THE END ZONE AGAINST THIS DEFENSE. And when you look at WHERE those touchdowns are coming from, it gets even more interesting for Kraft.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT ALIGNMENT VS DETROIT
Kraft's 2026 alignment:
๐ฏ INLINE TE โ 54% of Routes
87 Routes | 22 Targets | 13 Receptions
172 Receiving Yards | 7.8 Yards/Target
2.0 Yards/Route | 1 TD
NOW LOOK AT WHAT DETROIT ALLOWS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS.
๐จ 37 Targets โ MOST IN NFL
๐จ 29 Receptions โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 329 Receiving Yards โ 2nd MOST
๐จ 6 Receiving TDs โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฅ 65.8 Receiving Yards/G โ 2nd MOST
THIS IS THE PART OF THE MATCHUP THAT REALLY STANDS OUT TO ME. KRAFT RUNS 54% OF HIS ROUTES INLINE. AND DETROIT HAS ALLOWED MORE RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS TO INLINE TIGHT ENDS THAN ANY OTHER TEAM. 6 INLINE TE TOUCHDOWNS ALLOWED.
๐ฅ DETROIT COVERAGE VS TUCKER KRAFT
COVER 3 IS THE BIGGEST PART OF THIS MATCHUP.
Detroit runs Cover 3 on 40.3% of its charted defensive snaps. AND THIS IS HOW KRAFT HAS PERFORMED AGAINST COVER 3 THIS SEASON.
๐ฅ KRAFT VS COVER 3
๐ฏ 51 Routes
๐ฏ 15 Targets
๐ฅ 29.4% Targets/Route
๐ฅ 7.4 Yards/Target
๐ฅ 2.2 Yards/Route
๐ฏ 80% Catch Rate
KRAFT HAS BEEN MORE PRODUCTIVE AGAINST COVER 3 THAN HIS OVERALL AVERAGES. He's getting targeted more frequently, catching a higher percentage of his targets, and producing more yards per route.
๐ฅ KRAFT'S ROUTE TREE VS DETROIT
Now let's look at the specific routes Kraft has been running and how Detroit has defended them.
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTES
40 Routes | 12 Targets
23.7% of Kraft's Routes
30% Targets/Route
83% Catch Rate
Detroit Allows 24.8 Yards/G โ 17th most
๐ฏ HITCH ROUTES
29 Routes | 6 Targets
17.2% of Kraft's Routes
7.3 Yards/Target
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 46.6 Yards/G โ 4th MOST
๐ฏ GO ROUTES
27 Routes | 4 Targets
16.0% of Kraft's Routes
๐ฅ Detroit Allows 54.8 Yards/G โ 3rd MOST
THE HITCH AND GO ROUTES ARE TWO AREAS THAT REALLY CATCH MY ATTENTION. Together, they account for 33.2% of Kraft's charted routes.
๐ฅ TUCKER KRAFT TOUCHDOWN MATCHUP
๐ฏ Kraft Has Scored 3 TDs In His Last 5 H2H Games Against Detroit.
๐ฅ Including 2 TDs On TE Week Last Year.
๐ฏ 16.7% Target Share This Season
๐จ 19.4% Red Zone Target Share
BUT THE REASON I'M INTERESTED IS THE COMBINATION OF HIS ROLE AND DETROIT'S WEAKNESSES. He spends the majority of his time INLINE. Detroit has allowed 6 touchdowns from that alignment. And Kraft already has a history of finding the end zone against this team.
THAT'S WHY I'M DEFINITELY LOOKING AT HIS ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN MARKET. ๐
๐จ ONE IMPORTANT THING I'M WATCHING GREEN BAY INJURY REPORT I'M PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE PACKERS' WIDE RECEIVER SITUATION. A LOT OF THEIR RECEIVING ROOM IS CURRENTLY QUESTIONABLE.
And with Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore listed on IR in the injury information I'm working with, THIS IS SOMETHING I'M MONITORING CLOSELY.
Depending on who is available, Kraft could have an opportunity to take on additional responsibility in the passing game. I'm not automatically assuming more targets because of injuries, but the final active roster is going to matter for this matchup.
I'M INTERESTED IN MULTIPLE MARKETS HERE.
RECEPTIONS. RECEIVING YARDS. AND ESPECIALLY HIS TOUCHDOWN OPPORTUNITY. The final injury report and the actual lines are going to determine how I attack it.
BUT ON PAPER, THIS IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST TIGHT END MATCHUPS I'VE SEEN THIS WEEK.
TE WEEK COULDN'T HAVE COME AT A BETTER TIME FOR TUCKER KRAFT. ๐ฆ๐ฅ
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๐ Data provided by @PropFinderApp
๐๏ธ Use code WP for 30% OFF
Donโt worry this guy will never be on this page again ๐ฎ
A.J. BROWN vs Bears Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
I'll be honest the recent numbers on AJ are ugly, and that's exactly why I'm looking at him. He practiced in full Wednesday, and he's off the injury report with no designation. He's New England's WR1 by a mile, Doubs and Hollins are both on IR, and the last time he saw this Bears defense, he put up 132 yards.
๐ NE TEAM SHARE (2026, 2 games)
๐ฅ 23.0% of team targets, 7.0 targets per game
๐จ 25.0% red zone target share (2nd)
๐ฏ Next closest โ 16.9% and 16.8%
๐จ Doubs (IR) and Hollins (IR) out
The volume is there the production just hasn't caught up. He saw 10 targets against the Jets and only turned them into 27 yards.
๐ CHI DEFENSE vs WR1 (13th of 32, Average Matchup)
๐ฏ Receiving Yards โ 71.2 per game allowed (13th), league avg 65.9
๐ฏ Targets โ 7.3 per game | Receptions โ 4.5 per game
๐ฅ Air Yards โ 53.3 per game (11th)
๐ฏ All WRs โ 159.8 yards per game allowed (11th)
Chicago gives up more than this line to WR1s on average, so the matchup isn't the problem.
๐ ALIGNMENT (2026)
๐ฅ Brown โ 83% Out Wide
๐ฅ CHI Out Wide โ 124.2 yds/g (8th most), 11.1 yards per target (2nd most)
๐ฏ CHI at Slot โ 62.0 yds/g (20th)
He lives outside, and outside is where the Bears bleed. They allow the 2nd most yards per target to out wide receivers.
๐ ROUTE TREE vs CHI (2026, 2 games)
๐ฃ Go โ 12.8% of routes (6 routes, 1 target) | CHI allows 58.8 yds/g (2nd most)
๐ฃ Post โ 2.1% (1 route, 1 target) | CHI allows 34.7 yds/g (2nd most)
๐ฏ Out โ 12.8% (6 routes, 4 targets), 100% catch rate, 6.0 Y/TGT | CHI allows 30.3 yds/g (11th)
๐ฏ Slant โ 19.1% (9 routes, 4 targets), 44.4% targets per route | CHI allows 15.2 yds/g (13th)
๐จ Hitch โ 17.0% (8 routes, 1 target) | CHI allows 15.2 yds/g (32nd)
The deep routes are where Chicago leaks. The go and the post are both 2nd worst in football. One or two shots downfield will get AJ most of the way.
I'll be the first to admit the form is cold. He's 1 for 5 over his last 5 and 0 for 2 as a Patriot, and the route sample is only two games. But if he's fully healthy, he's the clear WR1 with 7 targets a game, Chicago is soft out wide and deep, and he put 132 on this same defense. I'm buying the bounce back.
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If yaw ainโt following my brotherโฆ. Then u jus hate money ๐คฃ๐คท๐ฝโโ๏ธ
D'Andre Swift vs New England Patriots Defense ๐ฆ๐ฅ
50 Likes For The Next NFL Player Spot Im On โค๏ธ
I'M NOT IN LOVE WITH D'ANDRE SWIFT ON THE GROUND IN THIS MATCHUP. New England hasn't been giving up a ton of rushing yards to opposing RB1s, and when you look at how they've defended the run this season, I DON'T THINK THAT'S THE STRONGEST ANGLE HERE.
BUT I REALLY LIKE LOOKING AT SWIFT THROUGH THE AIR. The Patriots have been allowing 3 targets per game to opposing RB1s, and when you start looking at Swift's receiving production with Caleb Williams combined with his route tree, THIS MATCHUP GETS A LOT MORE INTERESTING.
๐ฅ D'ANDRE SWIFT WITH CALEB WILLIAMS
In Swift's last 19 games with Caleb Williams where he's received 3+ targets, he's averaging 31.7 Receiving Yards/G.
๐ NEW ENGLAND DEFENSE VS RB1
๐ 12.5 Carries/G โ 27th most
๐ 58.0 Rushing Yards/G โ 20th most
๐ฅ 4.59 Yards/Carry โ 7th highest
๐จ 0.3 Rushing TD/G โ 23rd most
๐ฏ 3.0 Targets/G โ 20th most
๐ฏ 2.2 Receptions/G โ 25th most
๐ฅ 23.5 Receiving Yards/G โ 8th most
THIS IS WHY I'M MORE INTERESTED IN HIS RECEIVING PRODUCTION. New England is allowing only 58 rushing yards per game to RB1s, but they're giving up the 8th most receiving yards to that same position.
And that's an important difference. The Patriots haven't been allowing a ton of receiving volume, but the backs who do catch passes have still been finding opportunities to gain yards.
๐ฅ D'ANDRE SWIFT ROUTE TREE VS NEW ENGLAND
๐ฏ FLAT ROUTE
50.5% of Swift's Routes
46 Routes Run
10 Targets
4.0 Yards/Target
๐ฅ NE Allows 27.0 Yards/G โ 13th most
๐ฏ ANGLE ROUTE
23.1% of Swift's Routes
21 Routes Run
2 Targets
8.0 Yards/Target
๐ฅ NE Allows 12.0 Yards/G โ 7th most
๐ฏ SWING ROUTE
11.0% of Swift's Routes
10 Routes Run
1 Target
6.0 Yards/Target
๐ฅ NE Allows 11.7 Yards/G โ MOST IN NFL
๐ฏ SCREEN ROUTE
8.8% of Swift's Routes
8 Routes Run
7 Targets
10.6 Yards/Target
๐ฅ NE Allows 12.2 Yards/G โ 20th most
THIS IS WHERE THE MATCHUP REALLY GETS INTERESTING.
Swift has run 91 charted routes this season.
And look at how much of his route tree is built around getting the football out of the backfield.
๐ฅ 50.5% FLAT
๐ฅ 23.1% ANGLE
๐ฅ 11.0% SWING
๐ฅ 8.8% SCREEN
THAT'S 93.4% OF HIS CHARTED ROUTES COMING FROM THOSE FOUR ROUTE TYPES. And New England has been particularly vulnerable against SWING and ANGLE routes. The Patriots are allowing the MOST receiving yards per game against swing routes in the NFL.
They're also allowing the 7th most receiving yards per game against angle routes. NOW HERE'S WHAT I REALLY LIKE. Even though Swift has only been targeted once on a swing route this season, that route is still part of his regular usage. And his angle routes account for another 23.1% of his route tree.
Look at Swift's SCREEN ROUTE production.
๐ฏ 8 Routes
๐ฏ 7 Targets
๐ฏ 100% Catch Rate
๐ฅ 10.6 Yards/Target
THAT IS SOME REALLY INTERESTING EFFICIENCY.
When Chicago has designed screens for Swift, he's been getting targeted on almost every one of those routes. And while New England hasn't been especially vulnerable to screens compared with the rest of the league, that usage gives Swift another path to receiving production without needing a ton of downfield targets.
I'M DEFINITELY MORE INTERESTED IN D'ANDRE SWIFT RECEIVING YARDS HERE. The biggest question for me is whether Caleb gives him the 3+ targets that have historically made his receiving production so interesting with Caleb.
Because if he gets those opportunities, I LIKE HIS CHANCES OF MAKING SOMETHING HAPPEN THROUGH THE AIR.
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