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This guy is the worst personality in sports
He genuinely believes people watch redzone because of him
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The most egregious assumption is that OT is 50% win rate.
You score twice to tie it then you have all the momentum
@Grok What’s the win-loss record for teams who score 14 unanswered points to force Overtime?
I’ve seen enough people ask that I’ll break down the math.
Brandon Aubrey XP%: 97%
NFL average 2Pt rate: 48%
Key assumptions: You score twice and get stops. OT win probability is 50%
If you kick the XP twice, you have a 95% chance of sending game to OT, 50% chance of winning in OT. 47.5% chance at winning the game.
If you go for two:
Get first, kick XP on second and win in regulation: 46.6% of time, win 100%
Get first, miss XP and go to OT: 1.4% of time, win 50%
Miss first, get second and go to OT: 24.9% of time, win 50% of time
Miss first and second 2-Point: 27.6% of time, guaranteed loss
By going for two, your win probability jumps to 59.8% chance.
So if you guarantee me we get two scores and two stops, you’ll win ~47% of the time kicking extra points, and ~60% of the time going for two.
The reason it doesn’t jive with coaches/fans is because delaying a loss feels psychologically advantageous… but losing in OT vs losing in regulation is the same result
So 12 wings and 3 beers at Noon is 4 hours off already?
And then another 12 wings and 3 beers at 4 pm and you only have to stay til 6:30?
Great punishment, guys. A real challenge
I'm actually calling the police on whoever thought it was funny to fill their package with glitter.
It basically exploded and now my entire car is COVERED in glitter. This is vandalism.
Cameras are everywhere now, so we’ll see how funny it is when you’re explaining this.
I hate when people say “there’s no in between”…
Not only is there always an “in between”, the in between is what happens just about every time
#Wormy
Running for local government on the platform of “Let’s get stricter with what we consider a Hidden Driveway”
If Novak Djokovic beats
- Jannik Sinner
- Rafael Nadal
- Michael Jordan
- Tom Brady
- Jesus himself
it’ll be the greatest slam run of all time
I genuinely believe he can do it at next year’s Australian open
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Every new piece of information about this guy just proves how much of a narcissist he is
Insane ego
EXCLUSIVE: @ScottHanson's suits on NFL RedZone this season are custom-designed from a local business right here in Syracuse 🏈🏈
The team at Mr. Shop flew out to L.A. to fit Hanson this summer, tailoring the suits to feature custom back collars that say "Get ready for 7 hours"
The guy has a cardboard cutout of himself and no one else thinks he’s a narcissist?
Insane
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I believe teams screw up because they look at Plate Appearances as individual events, yet the game is played as a sequence.
Give me a starting 9 of batting average of X, and they’ll constantly put pressure on the pitcher
Great question, John. For most of baseball history, the walk was sneered at -- a lesser form of getting on base compared to the exceptional skill it takes to swing. The analytical revolution in the game changed that. If the objective of the game is to outscore a team, then the likeliest way to score runs is for people to get on base. Post-Moneyball, on-base percentage replaced batting average as more reliable metric for helping produce runs.
Batting average was almost a victim of its own popularity, though. Because it does matter. It's just not the first determinant of a baseball player's quality. Sometimes I do fear the pendulum has swung too far in the anti-batting-average direction.
Let's take three players as examples, with their batting averages, on-base percentages and slugging percentages:
Manny Machado: .302/.361/.507
Juan Soto: .248/.383/.486
Eugenio Suárez: .248/.319/.572
Three totally different hitters. Machado is balanced and batting average-heavy. Soto’s average is deflated but he’s an on-base savant thanks to the highest walk rate in the major leagues. Suárez is a masher whose high slug is his calling card.
So who’s the best? Well, if you’re judging by a metric called weighted on-base average, which seeks to be a catch-all offensive number that is park-neutral … they are pretty much identical.
It goes to show: Offensively, there are plenty of ways to be really good. A great batting average is never a bad thing. But a poor one, as Soto and Suárez illustrate, does not doom you to mediocrity.