Mantic is an AI research and product company on a mission to solve judgemental forecasting.

Joined August 2025
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#7 · When the United States next conducts a direct military strike on Iranian territory 60e3dfbb265407bf60252019aae2dc3444992a5f6a4e1cd97ebbb290a717ebe4
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#8 · Who is the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election f136419d2614e8f34e1c7488378f5818732cba1a866601ba586f41e1839b81ab
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#1 · The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election d7c1d93f11a5a02387ae595535928f4bee7ca37d0e735595e118222c50fd38cb
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#1 revealed: Flávio Bolsonaro 85.4%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 14.2%, Augusto Cury 0.2%, Another outcome 0.2%, Renan Santos <0.1%, Ronaldo Caiado <0.1%, Romeu Zema 0.0% SHA-256 of: The winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election|2026-10-05|Flávio Bolsonaro 85.4%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 14.2%, Augusto Cury 0.2%, Another outcome 0.2%, Renan Santos <0.1%, Ronaldo Caiado <0.1%, Romeu Zema 0.0%|4ef044cda2a8fd7418d72626a13a9c1f
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#6 · Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin hold an in-person meeting at the November 2026 APEC summit 774a06ec0831ec8bb112bf9c58ee28bda44dbd61d7bf49e02b643c8c8a12c8ef
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#5 · The US domestic opening weekend box office gross for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 5c256d10c5c033a1f0003fec404f9d30748b2c035c677ade0bdcdf2d0ac05a99
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#4 · Which party controls the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections 99e2dfaaa6585c44705c7cfb36d53cce4a93a2fff0b811697bea1ad7fdbe24c6
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#3 · Nvidia's revenue for fiscal Q3 2027 3ce05f9dd8573fbbc668f1494a957009f830257864b41f7f2d6fe2da41e6072c
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#2 · The OBR forecast for the UK's fiscal headroom in October 2026 7447a16866400d0352ef5faebb533bb447d42cdc103fdc6592fabb0af0fab693
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This week's @_Mantic_AI forecast puts Eizenkot at 48.5% for next Israeli PM, Netanyahu at 27%, Bennett at 10.8%. Coalition vetoes keep the leading candidate below even odds. The full reasoning is in Friday Forecasts #16. blog.mantic.com/p/israels-el…
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Replying to @_Mantic_AI
@_Mantic_AI co-founders @tshevl and @itsmebenday recently joined Radical Talks to discuss what it takes to build an AI system that forecasts world events better than the best human forecasters.
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