Founder/CEO of ModernIR and Market Structure EDGE LLC. Invented Market Structure Analytics for IR. Expert on equity market structure.

Denver, CO
Joined August 2015
Here's $SNDK YTD 2026. It's at 1.0/10.0, on the Demand floor. Jan-May it spent most of its time on the ceiling, at 10.0. In July, going to 1.0 preceded a prolonged decline. It's there now. Could mean there's a big second AI down leg. Falling Supply means it's out of ETFs.
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For the market to hit real turbulence, it must decline all its daily volatility, and about a third more. In $SPX components in aggregate, that's about 3%. More in the Nasdaq. Depending on how the day ends, this isn't it yet.
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#inflation data from @MinneapolisFed 1800-1900: -55%. Everything became less expensive. Proof that as Kevin Warsh says, inflation is a CHOICE. Inflation 1913-2026: +3.3% annually, total 371%. Cause: @federalreserve. Too much month at the end of the money. @GunjanJS
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I'm late with these data as I was in Galicia (recommend the seafood and Albarino) when @ICI reported them. Key takeaways: #ETF assets rose by more than $4T in a year. Domestic equity assets were up $2.5T, or more than $200B/mo. #Stocks as collateral.
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$NVDA is almost never a short trade. This is the biggest spike in Short Volume perhaps ever, and certainly of the year. It's not NECESSARILY bearish. But it could be.
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Tim Quast, Founder/CEO of ModernIR and Market Structure EDGE breaks down the supply and demand data behind Nvidia, Micron, Dell, SpaceX, Verizon, AT&T, Oracle, Constellation Energy and more on today's PreMarket Prep. Check it out. $NVDA $MU $SPCX $VZ $T $ORCL $LLY $CEG @_TimQuast @TripleDTrader
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I'm on panel #3 today at the SEC Roundtable on 24-hr trading. See the webcast/replay at sec.gov. I've filed these comments: modernir.com/continuous-trad…
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24/7 Stock Trading Is Coming Tim Quast, Founder and CEO of Market Structure EDGE joined us on PreMarket Prep to talk about an SEC roundtable Thursday on 24-hour trading in Washington that he's attending. He was invited by Jamie Selway, the SEC's head of trading and markets, specifically to represent public-company/issuer interests. - The 24-Hour Trading Problem - ETF Mechanics & the Bigger Picture (Tokenization) - Market Structure Edge's Read Going Into Quad Witching - "Focus Fives" model portfolio @_TimQuast @TripleDTrader @Spus
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30D Demand/Supply for #software vs #semiconductors. Software is stronger but declining, and has higher Supply (over 53% short volume). Semi Demand stalled below 5.0 and Supply (45.7%) shows an upturn. It's not bad -- but they COULD move the same direction.
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The simplest explanation for market weakness is Demand has dropped below 5.0 for the first time since May. That's also the second-longest stretch since 2017 for Demand at 5.0 or better. In May, Supply fell, stocks rose -- and then plunged in early June.
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Tim Quast noted that institutions have been quietly de-risking their equity exposure — a shift you can't actually see happening, he said, comparing it to turning an aircraft carrier: invisible until it's suddenly too late. He walks us through the data from his model, showing how equity flows have been declining since June 1, and where that money is actually rotating to instead. @TripleDTrader @_TimQuast $SPY $QQQ
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