In Canada, I am politically homeless right now. Here are the basic tenets of my philosophy. 1. I believe that free and competitive markets work better than anything else. ie, less regulation and bureaucracy is typically the better way and should be the default. 2. I believe anyone who lives in our society should have a strong social safety net. ie, any single person's worst case scenario should be something that I could live with. 3. I believe in empiricism and the scientific method. That means you come up with a hypothesis, and design experiments (or debates) to test if it is true. If you find out you made a mistake, that's ok. ie, it's ok to change your mind. 4. I believe that we should have no sacred cows - This is highly integrated with idea 3. ie, if something is no longer useful, we can't hold onto it for the sake of holding onto it. That's religion, not science. 5. I believe that to govern successfully, our leaders need to be able to listen to their opponents. They are members of the same team (team Canada) not enemies. ie, I do not agree that the primary purpose of the opposition is to oppose. It is to ensure that the party in power is seeing things outside of their own idealogical lens. This is closest to being what we would typically call a "Classical Liberal". But the Federal Liberal party is not this. They aren't concerned with free markets or abandoning their sacred cows. The Federal Conservative party is not this. They are clear that leading the opposition means opposing. The NDP - they do not seem interested in empiricism.

Beating an incumbent with Olivia Chow’s name recognition takes a gargantuan effort and an electorate with an appetite for change. Even then, it still should be almost impossible. But Brad Bradford has earned my vote by focusing on the issues, pushing better policy, and knowing what he’s talking about. He earned my vote back in February. Has he earned yours?

We are not over the line yet on this municipal election. But I want to take people back with a photo from February 9th of this year. It was a Monday and it was -30 with the wind chill. This was the moment I started believing that Brad Bradford was going to be our next mayor. A few friends and I felt that the city needed change. So we held a parlour meeting with @BradMBradford as the special guest at a local midtown pub. About 50 people left their homes in freezing temperatures to hear someone talk about a vision for what Toronto should be. Brad spoke to us about the three Cs: crime, congestion, and the cost of living. What impressed me most was how he fielded the hardcore policy questions. Commuters got into the weeds on transit. Architects and real estate agents pressed him on the tradeoffs of adjusting zoning bylaws. Community members concerned about public safety asked what he would do about rising hate crimes and vandalism. He knew what he was talking about. So if you still haven’t made your choice, allow me to tell you that Brad didn’t get my vote by default, or because he isn’t Olivia Chow. He earned it by knowing the issues, understanding how policy works in practice, and offering a positive vision for what Toronto can be.

Wow. Excellent News!

Wow! For the @Polymarket people. We have crossed into a new reality. Brad Bradford is now the betting favourite to be the next mayor of Toronto. Olivia Chow and her campaign are in a tailspin. @BradMBradford @oliviachow

It looks like today is the day that Bradford is going to take the betting market lead as well. @Polymarket finally within just a few points.

Disclaimer: I am a huge Toronto Maple Leafs fan. (This is vital context any time I make a prediction) But I have felt for a year that Brad Bradford @BradMBradford was going to beat Olivia Chow @oliviachow and become Toronto's next mayor. It seems the numbers are finally coming around to my point of view. Will Toronto vote the way the polls and prediction markets are trending?

Your @Polymarket update for Wednesday October 21st. Look at how those lines have closed in just a couple of weeks. Toronto is witnessing one of the greatest political stories in recent memory. More and more people are coming to the realization that Brad Bradford is going to be the next mayor of Toronto. @oliviachow @BradMBradford

It is just one sample, but this certainly aligns with my reading of what Torontonians are thinking. Build Canada Mayoral poll: Bradford 🟢 48% Chow 🟣 44%

Torontonians expect the TTC to get them where they’re going - on time and without a scene. But Brad Bradford put the facts outlining the contratry to Olivia Chow at last week's debate. Open air drug use is normalized. Ridership is down since she became mayor. Streetcars and buses aren’t showing up on schedule. Her only answer was to contradict her own words about whether or not she regularly takes transit. What does it say when her only response to the simple facts of her record are to fabricate a story about riding Toronto's transit? @oliviachow @BradMBradford