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🏆 the conviction board.
live options flow — calls and puts, ranked 0-100 on 8 factors.
🔥 options returns after the board fired:
$AAPL → +3,336%
$ASTS → +1,040%
$CRWV → +956%
$NBIS → +540%
full log (wins AND losses) public.
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👉 algoxflow.com/conviction
$LLY is green 3.28% — and $2.7M of options premium got sold.
Price and flow pointing opposite ways is the part worth looking at. One of them is early.
We're cautious on $OKTA under 238.52.
Spot 213 · flip 238.52 · call wall 225
The bars are what the other side is forced to hedge. That's the part we actually trade off.
Reporting Fri, and what options are pricing:
$NVT ±10.9%
MGA ±7.5%
LYB ±6.8%
NWG ±6.4%
BCH ±6.4%
We measured 2,422 of these. Options overpriced the move 57% of the time.
Closed $IWM 279C-10/27 for +213% 🟢
Posted live in the room — entry and exit, not a screenshot after the fact.
10 of 15 closed green today. We post the reds too.
THE 16 BIGGEST EARNINGS BETS THIS WEEK
Tiered by the move options are actually pricing:
EXTREME (14%+) - APP
HIGH (12-14%) - DDOG, NET, ALAB
ELEVATED (9-12%) - SHOP, NTRA, PLTR, PS, NVT
MODERATE (under 9%) - ANET, IDXX, NBIX, QCOM, EL
$APP is priced to move 15% in one session.
Closed $TSLA 402.5C-10/30 for +58% 🟢
Posted live in the room — entry and exit, not a screenshot after the fact.
1 of 3 closed green today. We post the reds too.
$1.6M OF CALLS HIT PLTR TODAY
The biggest options bets on the tape:
CALLS BOUGHT (bullish bets) - PLTR, NVDA, XOM, MKSI, COIN
PUTS BOUGHT (bearish bets) - QUBT, QBTS, DDOG, AAPL, SMCI
Size is conviction. It is not intent.
Most dealer gamma in the market right now:
1. $SPY +$1096M
2. IWM -$399M
3. QQQ +$167M
4. DIA -$143M
5. GOOG -$47M
Positive means dealers absorb moves. Negative means they feed them.
Forum Energy raises 2026 outlook to $900M-$920M revenue amid Premiere Torque Rings acquisition
$SPY 751.47, above its 742.13 flip. Hedging fades the move.
Calls vs puts in today's 8 biggest options prints:
Calls: $955k across 3 prints
Puts: $944k across 5 prints
Largest: $XOM 162.5C for $725k.
Positions, not confirmed direction. The feed doesn't say who's buying or selling.
Biggest sweep on the tape right now:
$GOOG 275 PUT 2027-01-15
$6.6M in premium
Bought at the ask — someone paid up to get filled now rather than wait.
$QQQ 689.59 — 0.08% above its zero-gamma flip at 689.03.
Above it dealers damp moves. Cushion is 0.09x today's expected move.
Net dealer gamma: +$292M
$MSTR — 130.08
Put wall 125. Call wall 145.
Which one gets touched first? 👇
$MSTR over 5 years.
Buy the close, sell the open: 393.36%
Buy the open, sell the close: -63.29%
Buy and hold: 81.11%
The move happens while the market is shut. Not a strategy, spreads eat it, but that is where it lives.
1 of 3 closed green today.
$META 630C-10/30 -44%
MU 935C-10/30 -50%
TSLA 402.5C-10/30 +58%
Entry and exit both posted live. Reds included — that's the point.
Biggest moves the options market is pricing into 2026-10-30:
1. $TSLA ±1.38%
2. GOOG ±1.17%
3. QQQ ±0.86%
4. IWM ±0.66%
5. SPY ±0.59%
That's the straddle, not a forecast. It's what you're paying for.
$SNDK — our read, and what the crowd thinks:
1174.28 now — zero-gamma flip at null, wall overhead at 1300.
83% of the crowd is bullish. That tells you who's already in — the flip at null tells you what has to hold.
$AMZN is red 1.3% — and $9.7M of options premium got bought.
Price and flow pointing opposite ways is the part worth looking at. One of them is early.
$TSLA over 5 years.
Buy the close, sell the open: 63.53%
Buy the open, sell the close: -38.73%
Buy and hold: 0.20%
The move happens while the market is shut. Not a strategy, spreads eat it, but that is where it lives.











