Senior Fellow, Director of the Latin America Program, @StimsonCenter / Fellow, Adjunct Lecturer, @JohnsHopkins @SAISHopkins
Washington, D.C.
Joined June 2009
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“International cooperation has become indispensable for any security strategy trying to effectively counter powerful criminal networks operating across borders. The strategic question for Latin American countries is what type of international security cooperation is in their best interests to pursue”
iiss.org/online-analysis/onl…
“Mexico clearly has a problem fostering competition on equal terms in more regulated industries, from energy to telecoms and transportation—a clear disincentive for otherwise enthusiastic foreign firms.”
AT&T's exit from Mexico offers two big lessons: Success in the US doesn't guarantee success next door, and Mexico's lack of a competitive marketplace spells trouble for Mexicans, says @JPSpinetto (via @opinion) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
A Flávio presidency would offer Trump a remarkable constellation of friendly leaders in Latin America—just as the U.S. Congress will likely begin to clip his wings in the region, much as it complicated Reagan’s regional strategy.
Times/Siena Poll: President Trump’s approval rating hit a new low two weeks before the midterms, driven by voter frustration over the economy. nyti.ms/3WiyYtu
74% of respondents associate political parties with corruption.
Solo un 19% considera que los municipios informan de forma transparente sobre el uso de sus recursos públicos👀
Este y más hallazgos en el estudio "Claves Ipsos N.º 55: Transparencia y Probidad", informe que desarrollamos junto a Ipsos.
🔗Disponible en shorturl.at/RDFrB
From Sergio Massa’s pre-election tax cuts to Gustavo Petro’s pre-election minimum-wage hike and Lula’s pre-election Bolsa Família adjustment, the price of elections in South America is rising fast.
Bolsa Família com reajuste de 15% começa a ser pago nesta segunda-feira; veja calendário
www1.folha.uol.com.br/mercad…
“Trump is doing Flávio a favor by keeping uncharacteristically quiet” about Brazil’s election, I told @politico.
politico.com/newsletters/wes…
El presupuesto colombiano aumentará un 16 %. En los EE. UU. de DOGE, la deuda nacional ya supera los 40 billones de dólares. Milei es un unicornio.
Colombia aprobó un aumento de 16% del presupuesto para 2027, una decisión que aumenta la preocupación de los inversionistas por la deuda y el deterioro de las cuentas fiscales. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
The U.S. midterms could bring greater scrutiny of human rights abuses in El Salvador.
Unfortunately, U.S. credibility is cratering.
At sea, U.S. forces act as judge, jury, and executioner as they target civilian boats. Meanwhile, after long downplaying Nayib Bukele’s abuses in exchange for migration cooperation, Washington under Trump has gone a step further, renting space in El Salvador’s notorious gulag.
#ElSalvador | «Durante años, las organizaciones de derechos humanos hemos insistido en que se revisen los casos de personas inocentes detenidas. Por eso han atacado nuestro trabajo. Hoy el Ejecutivo admite de forma velada su error, pero con un lenguaje confuso (...) no habla de inocentes, sino de ‘colaboradores de pandillas’, para evitar nombrar a los inocentes que él mismo antes llamó ‘margen de error’ y que dijo, sin respaldo, que rondaban los ocho mil».
- Abraham Ábrego, director legal de Cristosal, para @EFEnoticias.
Lee la nota completa 👇efe.com/mundo/2026-10-15/act…
Trump is deploying an impressive arsenal to fight organized crime in Latin America, from Reaper drones to a U.S. Navy armada. Yet in his first term, he lost a more potent weapon: a UN anti-corruption commission that demonstrated how to tackle the impunity and public corruption fueling the region’s industrialized violence.
📌 #OEAenlasNoticias 🇬🇹
La Misión Especial de la OEA en Guatemala condena el asesinato de Juan Francisco Solórzano Foppa y pide una investigación pronta, exhaustiva e independiente, con respeto al debido proceso.
prensalibre.com/ahora/guatem…
@OEAGuatemala @GuatemalaOEA
⏳Starting in a few minutes!
🌎Launch of the Latin American Artificial Intelligence Index 2026. Authorities from #ECLAC, @min_ciencia, @UEenChile and @cen_ia will offer opening remarks.
🔴WATCH it live here👉live.cepal.org/ILIA2026/
#ILIA2026 #ArtificialIntelligence #AI
Trump may be Patient Zero in modern electoral meddling in the Americas, having failed to learn from U.S. meddling that accidentally helped elect Juan Perón and Evo Morales. But he is hardly the only culprit in a region where the first rule of diplomacy is increasingly seen as old-fashioned.
María Corina Machado entra en la campaña de las 'midterms' en EE. UU., con respaldo a María Elvira Salazar eltiempo.com/mundo/eeuu-y-ca…
Electoral interference in Latin America has reached epidemic proportions. I’m now prepared to declare a pandemic, as Latin American leaders increasingly meddle in U.S. and European politics.
In the first Trump administration, regional divisions allowed the United States to elect an American as president of the Inter-American Development Bank for the first time. The same dynamics could now cost the region its turn to lead the UN.
FT Exclusive: Insiders expect Emirati minister of state Lana Nusseibeh to enter the race to succeed António Guterres as UN secretary-general as early as this week. Who are the leading contenders for the top job? ft.trib.al/8CQAQAk
Latin American governments have failed to act collectively in response to Trump’s mass deportation campaign, mass murder at sea, or remote-control colonization of Venezuela. It is unlikely leaders will see the UN Secretary-General race as the hill to die on.
It was a bad idea when Colombian lawmakers endorsed a candidate in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, and it is an even worse idea for Colombia’s president to do the same in the midterms. Trump may have skipped Diplomacy 101, but leaders in the region should know better.
Three prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S. election. wapo.st/4k1ILxW
I’m excited to participate in Thursday’s dialogue at @Georgetown on strategies in Latin America to navigate a world defined by renewed great power rivalry. My thanks to the Latin American and Caribbean Policy Association (LAPA), at the @McCourtSchool, for the kind invitation.
“This policy is legally unsound, strategically counterproductive, and morally corrosive. It weakens the international partnerships that have underpinned successful maritime drug interdiction for decades while placing American servicemembers in the impossible position of carrying out actions that may conflict with the law and their own personal and professional ethics. Drug smugglers are criminals—not enemy combatants—and treating them as military targets undermines both the rule of law and America’s credibility abroad.”
justsecurity.org/155570/amer…
The Port of Chancay, the Fourth Bridge over the Panama Canal, the Bogotá subway, Argentina’s Cauchari solar park. On Beijing’s menu in Latin America: America’s lunch.
elespectador.com/bogota/firm…
“Many of these governments fail to live up to Washington’s expectations. Rather than distancing themselves from Beijing or limiting Chinese investment, they more often adopt a more pragmatic approach in their relations with China while shifting their diplomatic rhetoric closer to the United States.”
thediplomat.com/2026/09/lati…
