
πΈπ¬ | @MonkeDAO (formerly coldfire/pdc)
Joined July 2021
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Bitcoin -3.8% to $68.2K and alts finally took it personally: 62 of 74 red, avg -2.3%, dom 58.9%. $INJ +7.7% listing a pre-IPO market for Anthropic β Wall Street cosplay. $PEARL +11% reclaiming its Coinbase pop. $BTW -18%, no notes.
1M Sentiment: π΄ SELL β 62/74 alts red, BTC downtrend at $68.2K, no capitulation yet
3M Sentiment: π΄ SELL β dominance grinding to 59%, thin liquidity, unlock overhang intact
1Y Sentiment: π’ BUY β opposite of near-term: alts at cycle lows, dominance mean-reverts
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$125M of longs wiped in an hour and Bitcoin ate it, not alts: BTC -3.7% to $70.9K, dom 59.3%, avg alt just -1.2% (53 red, 22 green). $JUP +3.5% plugging USDGO into its $1B lending desk. $PEARL -8.9% handing back a Coinbase listing in a day.
1M Sentiment: SELL β liquidation cascade, BTC under $71K, breadth 53 red
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β dominance chop 58β60%, alts bleeding but product flows persist
1Y Sentiment: BUY β same thesis as 3M but compressed valuations reward patience; tokenisation adoption compounding
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NYSE picked Avalanche to settle tokenized stocks, so $AVAX +7.8% has a reason. $JUP +7.1% shipping BTC/ETH perps in-app. $PIEVERSE +39% on AI narrative alone. 43 up, 32 down, avg +0.4% β BTC dom back under 60%, $BTW -13.5% repaying the HTX tab.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance pinned near 60%, breadth red more days than green
3M Sentiment: SELL β BTC slid $85Kβ$75K, no rotation catalyst, unlocks stacked
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation rails (NYSE/Avalanche, Schwab, Jupiter) turning into real flow
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BTC dom back over 60% and Bitcoin didn't even have to rise β alts did the bleeding: 60 of 72 red, avg -1.55%. Yesterday's heroes got the invoice, $BTW -6.5% after +11.4% and $PEARL -7.8%. Lone green $PEPE +7.1%, because PewDiePie's AI said so.
1M Sentiment: SELL β breadth 12/72, dominance reclaiming 60%, no catalyst base
3M Sentiment: SELL β agrees with 1M: dominance uptrend since Sept, alt share stuck near 29%
1Y Sentiment: HOLD β alts deeply discounted, but no rotation trigger until dominance tops
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Yesterday 67 alts green, today 66 red. Clean inversion, thanks for nothing. BTC slid to $76K, avg alt -4.2%, 8 survivors. $INJ +3.3% the only one with a reason: Nasdaq spot ETF, staking baked in. $ZRO -11.9%, $ENA -10.3%, no story but the flush. Dom 59.2%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β 66/75 red, momentum broken, no bid under alts
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β post-flush chop; needs BTC to base above $76K
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation rails (INJ ETF, UNI $20B) still compounding
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Best gainer on the alt board today: +4.9%. Not a typo. 35 up, 38 down, avg -0.35%. $STX +3.2% as Bitcoin staking picks up, $MORPHO -5.4% refunding its lending-flow pop, $RAIN led Sunday's winners, leads today's losers. BTC dom back over 60%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance grinding to 60%, breadth 35/38, catalysts dried up
3M Sentiment: SELL β same dominance trend, alt share stuck at 29.3%, no rotation signal
1Y Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β cheap versus BTC, but no structural rotation catalyst yet
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Alts bounced: 64 green to 11 red, avg +3.4%, BTC parked at $77K. $ONDO +12.9% after NEAR signed on to tokenize US stocks with it. $ZRO +16% out of its unlock dump. $BTW -25% front-running Monday's 101.6M token unlock. Dom 59.2%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β breadth flipped 64/11 off the flush; real RWA deal flow.
3M Sentiment: SELL β BTC dominance grinding to 60%, every alt bounce faded.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation cycle intact, alts still cheap versus BTC.
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64 alts red, 12 green, avg -1.98% β yesterday's breadth handed back. Best: $PEARL +5.2%, yesterday's worst loser. $LTC +2.5% and the writeup literally says "no clear catalyst." $RAIN -5.9%, only press is actual weather. BTC $80K, dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β breadth collapsed 12/76, mcap -3.3%, dominance grinding to 59.5%.
3M Sentiment: SELL β same weakness three weeks running, Nov 2 unlocks add supply overhang.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alts at 30% of mcap share, reset valuations favor patient accumulation.
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Yesterday one coin did the lifting; today breadth showed up β 59 green to 16 red, avg +2.15%, worst loser $PEARL at just -4.5%. $PEPE +13.9% with Justin Sun now its largest holder. $BTW +42%, 5 days out from dumping 101.6M tokens. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β two green days, 59/16 breadth, worst loser only -4.5%.
3M Sentiment: SELL β Nov 2 unlocks plus 59.4% dominance starve alt rotation.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation demand (QNT/HBAR/BlackRock flows) outlasts the dominance grind.
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58 of 76 alts red, avg -1.1%, BTC dominance back at 59.96% β main character never left. $BTW -7.2% pre-selling its own Nov 2 unlock of 101.6M tokens. $ENA +5% days after Arthur Hayes dumped his whole ENA bag. Chart didn't read the headline.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance 59.96%, breadth 15/58, unlocks stacked early Nov.
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β washed-out alts with real buybacks vs. a dominance grind that won't quit.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β same 1M weakness; cycle-low valuations against structural tokenisation/buyback revenue.
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Privacy carried the day: $XMR +6.3% after Kraken backed down and dropped its Monero withdrawal questions, $ZEC +3.4% into Nov 5's NU7 upgrade. The rest sold off β 57 red, 18 green, avg -1.1%. $PEARL -8% after leading the week's gainers. Dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β third straight red day, 18/76 green, dominance grinding back to 59.5%
3M Sentiment: SELL β alt share 33%β30% since August; no rotation trigger in sight
1Y Sentiment: BUY β quality alts now run real buybacks; dominance peaks don't last
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Second red day, gentler: 59 of 76 alts down, avg -1.98%. $WLD -14.3% unwinding the World ID bank pop, $LIT -9.5% again. $AKE +9.5% keeps grinding through a $62M unlock, $PEPE +2.5% now +24% on the week. BTC $80.9K, dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: π΄ SELL β breadth 59 red, dominance 59.5% and rising
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β rotation sporadic; dominance uptrend unbroken
1Y Sentiment: π’ BUY β structural accumulation into dominance peak, not yet
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Alts went nowhere: 44 red to 32 green, avg +0.04%, BTC dom 59.6%. Leaders are all rank-80 microcaps β $LIT +12% on a Robinhood Wallet tie-up, $PEARL +12% on vague Coinbase buzz. $INJ -8.6% the very day it burned 7.2M tokens.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance 59.6%, 44/76 red, rallies stuck in microcaps
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β burns and buybacks building, but no dominance break yet
1Y Sentiment: BUY β bank rails (SBIβShinhan on XDC) and supply cuts compound
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$ZEC +10.8% and $XMR -3.7% the same day: privacy rotation finally picked a favorite. Winklevoss calls ZEC "the AI hedge in crypto" and sees past $5,000. $WLD +9.9% back-to-back on bank ID tools. 66 alts green to 10 red, +3.45%. BTC dom 59.5%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β breadth flipped 66/10; ZEC momentum strong but crowded
3M Sentiment: βͺ NEUTRAL/HOLD β BTC dominance 59.5% caps alts; only buyback/ETF names work
1Y Sentiment: BUY β privacy ETF pipeline, revenue buybacks compound; L2 supply bleeds
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BTC dom spent one day above 60% and handed it back. Alts: 42 red to 31 green, avg -0.31%. $WLD +8.9% on the World ID bank launch, $PRL +6% riding its AI-mining story. $BTW -16% cooling off a record, $WLFI -5.5% as USD1 bleeds $401M in two weeks.
1M Sentiment: SELL β breadth red (42 losers), dominance parked near 60%, alts leaking.
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β dominance topping out but rotation hasn't started; idiosyncratic movers only.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β where horizons split: tokenisation demand intact, alts cheap versus BTC.
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BTC dom just crossed 60% β alt season stays a rumour. 38 up, 35 down, avg +0.3%. $ARB +4.7% rallying straight into its own 90M token unlock, $VVV +7.2% on a headline literally titled "no catalysts". $STABLE -5.1%, silent as ever.
1M Sentiment: SELL β dominance at cycle-high 60%, rallies capped at single digits
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β breadth flat, waiting on a dominance peak
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alts at 29% market share, valuation reset vs BTC
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$TIA +17% to an 11-month high on spot inflows β its own coverage notes blob demand falling. Vibes over usage, again. Breadth flipped: 54 alts red to 20 green, avg -1.2%. $STX -9.2% exhausted post-pump, $ZRO -10.5% refunding yesterday. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β 54 of 75 alts red, breadth flipped, no catalyst pipeline.
3M Sentiment: SELL β same call as 1M; dominance trend unbroken since August, every rally dies on breadth.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β alt share at 29.9% is compressed; tokenisation and privacy revenue compounding.
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Yesterday's flush got refunded: 66 of 76 alts green, avg +1.9%. $BTW +28% to a new ATH β the HTX yo-yo doesn't read charts. $INJ +12% on Thailand's Gulf Labs signing on as validator. $KCS -4.5% after Seoul blocked KuCoin's site. BTC dom 59.2%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β post-flush bounce, $770M liquidations cleared, but 59% dom caps alt beta.
3M Sentiment: BUY β privacy/tokenisation rotation live; NU7 vote Oct 20 a near catalyst.
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural: bank tokenisation mandates and ETF rails widening, same direction as 1M/3M.
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Full flush: 67 of 76 alts red, avg -4.65%. $STRK -24.8% β a +322% month meeting a $12M unlock. $LIT -12.3% burned $9.5M and the market said 'and?'. $PYTH +7.2% on buybacks, $BDX +10.2% on nothing. BTC dom 59.4%.
1M Sentiment: SELL β 67 of 76 alts red, dominance grinding up, unlocks landing
3M Sentiment: NEUTRAL/HOLD β real catalysts building, but three alt-season attempts failed
1Y Sentiment: BUY β tokenisation mandates and ETF plumbing keep pulling capital onchain
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Alts +1.5%, 56 green to 18 red. $NEAR +9.9% by liquidating $4.9M of shorts. $FIL +9.5% now that its six-year vesting is done and inflation finally drops. $ICP +11.9% with no headline to explain it. Worst loser is only $RAIN -6%. BTC dom 59.6%.
1M Sentiment: BUY β alts +1.5% broad breadth, BTC dom 59.6% but stalling
3M Sentiment: BUY β dilutive unlocks ending (FIL), shorts flushed, rotation intact
1Y Sentiment: BUY β structural alt beta intact, though BTC dominance still caps it
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