📈 FT Independent Trader & Investor | Quantitative Methods | Founder of Algo Succession concepts.
The Moon
Joined August 2022
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The big 3 are up “meh” this morning.
SPY is flat.
NFP and Unempl data is released. No bites yet 🎣
Interesting.
DRAM, XLK, SMH all down big this morning.
But SPY is flat.
Who’s providing price stability this morning?
XLY, XLC, XLF (and more)
If you trade the S&P500 you need to quantity and track who’s doing what at any given time. This should be integrated into your trading. We live in an era of high frequency trading, and AI.
The rate at which we travel to new ATH’s from a Cycle Bottom into the end of the year will determine the annual drawdown.
This year we have met the cumulative annual target from the 5 cycles we’ve completed.
For years like 2025, 2022, and the like, 1 month before their tops, the monthly data displayed salient characteristics only found for years exceeding 20% corrections on the S&P500.
It is NOT that time. But when it is, I’ll share
5% = done ✅
1. We’ve accomplished PB’s of 10.8%, 4.72%, 2.36%, 3.82%. Add them up. Annual average is ~26%. We’ve got ~5% left to go this year.
2. When this is accomplished, market will go on what I’m calling the “Denial Rally.” Your substack doomer boomer bros who can barely navigate TradingView will be in shambles.
3. Right now, if we end the year at the current rate for algo-succession, we will setup at max, a 10% S&P500 correction next year. Likely less. Which is nothing. Again, doomer boomers will be in shambles.
The market is more efficient than old street gives it credit for. And I can quantify it, I could show them and they’ll still be in denial. Don’t care. Results will speak for itself.
Anyway, let the doomer boomer substack bros live in their delusions. They have no idea when, nor how much markets will correct at any given time, nor the duration as such.
Quantify everything.
