VP at NRG | Public opinion researcher | Former @washingtonpost political data journalist | Dad, people person, math person!
Joined September 2014
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if you built up any sort of a public profile prior to 2025 -> that might end up being a really helpful "I truly do know things / am not a fraud" flag for a while
re wedegewood -- more vetting is a good idea and my best bet is that it'll help! but it'll be really really hard to stamp out frauds/fakes in so many areas, given no guardrails social media + AI letting anyone just spin up things
as someone who has spent *many* hours wrangling polls off the pages of RCP (while there and after!) this button makes me so happy 🥲
even if you believe the writer came by that AI-ified language honestly -- why would you risk getting your publication into the pangram->somebody tweets it->virality trap?
it has always been interesting to me how much of political media debate is truly new vs how much is repeat repeat repeat
a bot that quote tweets every poll and says "ha like I'd trust them after [[insert the pollster's worst miss in last three cycles]]"
David Byler retweeted
Hey--I started a new RCP Substack. It's called "Poll Vault." It's where all of my RCP analysis will be from here on out. Publishing close to daily between now and election night. Be sure and check it out (and RT to help spread the word)!
pollvault.substack.com/p/wel…
In every history of TV, the roughly fourth sentence is about how people initially said "This is gonna beam Harvard lectures into everyone's houses!!"
It's okay that TV is not that! I kinda like it the way it is. But yeah maybe not everyone will use AI for really tough math
trying to have a healthy relationship with social media prior to the AI era was probably some of the best practice you could get, at the time, for this period
the people who say they hear positive AI news are talking about the "the 10 way this made my life easier" stories/posts and not like drug discovery
this is pre-latest-doom-cycle, but still gets the basic dynamic -- everyone hears the doom, users get practical help and those are the news streams
I'm supposed to put these links in replies? so they don't get buried? anyways, here! substack.com/home/post/p-218…
