the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics
Joined January 2025
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Six sessions ago I timestamped our crash probability read on the S&P. Since then the Nasdaq has hit a new high, and the crash probability went up anyway. Breadth is worse. Credit volatility is moving while the VIX sleeps. 14 sessions left to find the fire.
The Octover Momentum Trade has largely played out. This is one of the ugliest-looking Bottom 20 leaderboards of the Aion Index that I’ve seen. Impressive stuff.
Deep Inference retweeted
There's something happening in this community right now and I can feel it.
It's tighter than it's ever been. People who got tired of reading the news and being wrong. People who spent the year chasing headlines and have the account to show for it. I know it's been hard. A lot of retail got worked over this year and most of them don't talk about it.
What I can tell you is that the people in here stopped guessing. They look at the same panels I look at, they do the work, and they're positioned for what's coming. And what's coming is big. I won't say more than that here.
Keep the people around you who tell you how it is. The ones who show you their own work instead of shoving someone else's profits in your face. Anyone can repost a win. Very few can produce one.
I see it in every other community and I understand why, it's a marketing strategy. I've shown my own profits fewer than four times this year, on purpose. My job isn't to impress anyone. It's to perform. That's why it feels the way it does in here right now, and why Aion is different from anything else out there.
My third article is live inside the Aion Terminal.
Which Drain the Sink Flows Into: Rotation, Liquidity and the High Beta Complex.
On October 6, with $SPX at a record close, I called a selloff into late October, a bottom this week, a V, and a Q4 everything rally. The first half of that script has played. This is the second half.
What is in it: the good, the bad and the ugly of the October flush. The one variable the market sorted the AI complex on, and who is already standing behind the names it sold. The full leaderboard inversion across three timeframes, and the afternoon the beaten-down groups led the table for the first time since the top.
The index moved a couple of percent. The leaderboard underneath it inverted completely. Enjoy!
Deep Inference retweeted
@AionAnalytics >>>
There's something happening in this community right now and I can feel it.
It's tighter than it's ever been. People who got tired of reading the news and being wrong. People who spent the year chasing headlines and have the account to show for it. I know it's been hard. A lot of retail got worked over this year and most of them don't talk about it.
What I can tell you is that the people in here stopped guessing. They look at the same panels I look at, they do the work, and they're positioned for what's coming. And what's coming is big. I won't say more than that here.
Keep the people around you who tell you how it is. The ones who show you their own work instead of shoving someone else's profits in your face. Anyone can repost a win. Very few can produce one.
I see it in every other community and I understand why, it's a marketing strategy. I've shown my own profits fewer than four times this year, on purpose. My job isn't to impress anyone. It's to perform. That's why it feels the way it does in here right now, and why Aion is different from anything else out there.
There's something happening in this community right now and I can feel it.
It's tighter than it's ever been. People who got tired of reading the news and being wrong. People who spent the year chasing headlines and have the account to show for it. I know it's been hard. A lot of retail got worked over this year and most of them don't talk about it.
What I can tell you is that the people in here stopped guessing. They look at the same panels I look at, they do the work, and they're positioned for what's coming. And what's coming is big. I won't say more than that here.
Keep the people around you who tell you how it is. The ones who show you their own work instead of shoving someone else's profits in your face. Anyone can repost a win. Very few can produce one.
I see it in every other community and I understand why, it's a marketing strategy. I've shown my own profits fewer than four times this year, on purpose. My job isn't to impress anyone. It's to perform. That's why it feels the way it does in here right now, and why Aion is different from anything else out there.
My third article is live inside the Aion Terminal.
Which Drain the Sink Flows Into: Rotation, Liquidity and the High Beta Complex.
On October 6, with $SPX at a record close, I called a selloff into late October, a bottom this week, a V, and a Q4 everything rally. The first half of that script has played. This is the second half.
What is in it: the good, the bad and the ugly of the October flush. The one variable the market sorted the AI complex on, and who is already standing behind the names it sold. The full leaderboard inversion across three timeframes, and the afternoon the beaten-down groups led the table for the first time since the top.
The index moved a couple of percent. The leaderboard underneath it inverted completely. Enjoy!
Deep Inference retweeted
Not much to say today except that you're missing out
5 articles out since Monday...
Deep Inference retweeted
I appreciate the support
But I will say this once for everyone.
The reason we don’t have a substack or an X sub is because we don’t want to hold anyone’s hand.
The goal is to pass on our knowledge and for you all to learn to use @AionAnalytics to be able to beat the market consistently.
It’s not a golden ticket, it’s our best process and what has helped us the most.
A tool is only as good as its user, and one shouldn’t rely on a person to trade or invest for them.
If that’s what people are looking for you can hire someone to do that.
I’m tired of people stealing my research everyday and putting it behind their own paywall as if I don’t see it.
Good luck to those who did that and apologies to those it has affected.
“Give a man a fish, and you'll feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, and you'll feed him for a lifetime."
Ik it’s not about the $, but u could explore making an X sub or diff platform thts a good in between. Dedicated “fans”/ppl that appreciate your work but not forced to pay $500/mo. to read it. Idk, just sad to hear only accounts I find objective and credible now majorly paywalled
My third article is live inside the Aion Terminal.
Which Drain the Sink Flows Into: Rotation, Liquidity and the High Beta Complex.
On October 6, with $SPX at a record close, I called a selloff into late October, a bottom this week, a V, and a Q4 everything rally. The first half of that script has played. This is the second half.
What is in it: the good, the bad and the ugly of the October flush. The one variable the market sorted the AI complex on, and who is already standing behind the names it sold. The full leaderboard inversion across three timeframes, and the afternoon the beaten-down groups led the table for the first time since the top.
The index moved a couple of percent. The leaderboard underneath it inverted completely. Enjoy!
Deep Inference retweeted
Probably not one that you want to miss...
Article 2 just dropped inside AION.
Reading Between the Strikes: The Dealer Roadmap to Year End.
What is in it: the full dealer map on $SPY and $QQQ through month end, the one structural change that printed this week that almost nobody noticed, two charts that are important, and the two numbers that confirm it, one on $QQQ, one on $VIX.
Plus a watchlist of seven names where sector strength and dealer positioning finally agree, pulled from a scan of the full board today.
The index books repriced three times this month. The year end destination has not moved once. That part is in there too.
Not a lot of screenshots going around right now, are there?
You think the goal is calling a number?
The goal is persevering, outperforming, and having a plan no matter how it plays out, so one level missing changes nothing. That’s the difference between a quant and a guy riding beta up and down.
I called every major turning point this year publicly, for free, and the thanks is guys like this showing up to argue about one level. That’s exactly why the research moved internal.
Here’s what it looks like on my book this year, on a 7 figure portfolio. Few can say the same.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Deep Inference retweeted
The cascade date we posted last week is today. Here is the $QQQ board at the open.
Spot $713. Net gamma negative $8.18B. First support sits right below at $710, a $1.12B wall. Below that the cascade shelf, the charm anchor and the heaviest wall are all stacked on $700.
No magnet below spot. The book has not built a true floor yet, just defenses.
Above, $715 is a breakout node. Reclaim it and dealers chase price up toward $720 and the $740 ceiling instead.
Deep Inference retweeted
Some of you are really losing it. Bigger pages panicking, declaring “there’s no edge,” and heading for the exits. Sign of the times.
“I can’t find an edge” doesn’t mean there isn’t one. Maybe you’re looking in the wrong places or lack imagination in how you structure trades. Options let you position for up, down, sideways, or nothing at all. Structure and price matter.
Learning to generate returns in tough environments makes you better. If you’re doing this long term, be beyond grateful you’re being forced to adapt in a challenging environment.
Anyone excusing your refusal to adapt is selling you complacency. Don’t hide behind “it’s not your fault.” If you refuse to learn, it absolutely is.
ADAPT. LEARN. The market filters out those who won’t. It is unforgiving.
