Francesca Caselli (@fgcaselli) profile picture

Economist at the IMF. Views are my own.

Washington, DC
Joined February 2019
Photo by Francesca Caselli (@fgcaselli)
Francesca Caselli retweeted
The EU’s Recovery and Resilience Facility: Experience and lessons for the next multiannual financial framework @matthias_busse, @fgcaselli, Alexandra Fotiou @IMFNews ow.ly/pE5h50Zlpup
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Higher #immigration of non-EU citizens into the #EU, driven largely by refugees from #Ukraine, could have a positive effect of potential output in the range of 0.2-0.7% by 2030. @fgcaselli, A Gloe Dizioli & F Toscani @IMFinEurope ow.ly/6sah50TKB49
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🧡1/5 Immigration into the EU reached a historical high of about 6.5 million following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. New IMF research discusses the macroeconomic implications of this immigration increase for EU and euro area countries: bit.ly/4gNmY9c
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
My paper on cross-country evidence on she-cession with amazing co-authors @johnbluedorn @njharbo @fgcaselli @tavares_mm is now accepted at Labour Economics. doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.202…. It was a very time-sensitive paper when first posted as IMFWKP, and I'm happy with the outcome.
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Changing jobs can impact earnings. Data from across Europe finds that younger workers experience an increase in earnings, while low-skilled, older workers see earnings losses. @johnbluedorn, @fgcaselli, N-J Hansen, @tavares_mm, @ShibataEcon @IMFNews ow.ly/zrhq50L4hQ5
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Nice evidence on the benefits of repaying sovereign debtβ€”quite relevant in the current juncture. Paper by Matilde Faralli @ImperialBiz @fgcaselli @upanizza & @pmanasse
The Public Debt Management Network is pleased to announce that the 2nd Public Debt Management Conference will be held in Rome, Italy, on May 26-27, 2022. Online registration is closed. For more info bit.ly/3LuX3TI #publicdebt #sovbonds #Mef #OECD #WorldBank
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The Value of Building a Reputation for Repaying Debts: Overstated? @MatildeFaralli @pmanasse and I talk with Mark and Mitu about our paper (joint with @fgcaselli ) on the benefits of repaying @CFD_IHEID 1/2 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
The IMF projects headline inflation in emerging market and developing economies to decline to about 4% in 2022, but risks of a pickup remain. imf.org/WEO-oct21 #WEO
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
During the #Latin#American #debt crisis, by not explicitly defaulting, #Colombia enjoyed significant #economic & reputational benefits, but these were short-lived @fgcaselli @IMFNews, @MatildeFaralli @imperialcollege, @pmanasse @Unibo, @upanizza @IHEID ow.ly/EtRt50Ggp9P
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On the Benefits of Repaying New paper with @fgcaselli @MatildeFaralli & @pmanasse We read old stuff aboutπŸ‡¨πŸ‡΄ in the 1980s and did some fancy econometrics. It was fun! Will try to do a 🧡during the weekend, but the paper is here: imf.org/en/Publications/WP/I…
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP16391 Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence Rudolfs Bems @IMFNews, Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli @IMFNews, Francesco Grigoli @Grigoli82 @IMFNews, Bertrand Gruss @IMFNews ow.ly/vC9r50FFvuF #CEPR_IMF
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
New @voxeu column out about the heterogeneity of #Shecession around the world. β€œIn 2/3 of countries women’s unemployment rate declines more than men’s, but the difference was short-lived.” @ShibataEcon @johnbluedorn @fgcaselli @njharbo voxeu.org/article/cross-coun…
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Join us tomorrow for a discussion about the impact of #COVID19 on the labor market and how policies can support workers. @johnbluedorn @ShibataEcon @fgcaselli @JMondragonECON
How does the impact of the COVID-19 recession on workers compare with past downturns? What policies are needed to support workers? Join us tomorrow, March 31 at 10:00 AM ET for the launch of our new #WEO research. imf.org/WEO-apr21
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
#Covid lockdowns entail decreasing marginal economic costs but increasing marginal benefits in reducing infections, suggesting tight short-lived lockdowns are more effective than mild prolonged measures: ow.ly/jVUD50DpU77 @fgcaselli @Grigoli82 @DamianoSandri @IMFNews
Francesca Caselli retweeted
β€œDespite their short-term economic costs, early and tight lockdowns may pave the way to a faster recovery,” @fgcaselli, @Grigoli82, et al. #CovidEconomics #EconTwitter bit.ly/38OCGjF
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Damiano Sandri presenting @IMFNews WEO chapter @cepr_org @IHEID on the great lockdown (joint with F. Grigoli & @fgcaselli): short-term economic tradeoff of lockdowns but no medium-term tradeoff. Stringent short lockdowns more effective than milder long-term lockdowns
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Recent @IMFNews work by @fgcaselli, @Grigoli82, @DamianoSandri & @WeichengLian on the economics od #COVID19 shows that the prevailing narrative, which portrays lockdowns as involving a trade-off between saving lives & supporting the economy, is only valid in the short run @voxeu
_ β€œDespite their short-term economic costs, early and tight lockdowns may pave the way to a faster recovery” β€’ The non-tradeoff between health and wealth β€’ voxeu.org/article/protecting… #COVID19 #coronavirus @voxeu @FlorinBilbiie @DinaPomeranz @sjwrenlewis
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
_ Are Swedish/Swiss #covid19 models based on short-termism? | They portrays lockdowns as tradeoff betw' saving lives &supporting the economy | New research bit.ly/3pf9Oaa_IMF_WP | β€œearly &tight lockdowns may hold the key .by protecting both lives &livelihoods” | #covid19
Francesca Caselli retweeted
Are you interested in the differential economic effects of a lockdown across individuals and workers? Join us on Monday @JHU_BIPR (6.30pm CET): @Grigoli82 will present the analysis published in the last @IMFNews World Economic Outlook bipr.eu/eventprofile.cfm/ide…