The odds behind the headlines. Prediction-market news in plain English, free calculators, short videos, and a desktop bot for Polymarket & Kalshi.
Polymarket & Kalshi
Joined June 2009
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Start here.
What this account is:
The odds behind every headline, every day. Prediction markets moved 34% → 6% on the shutdown before the vote; we write that up in plain English.
Free calculators: Kelly sizing, implied probability, Polymarket-vs-Kalshi arbitrage. No signup.
30-second videos on why a contract moved.
And the reason we exist: a desktop bot that watches Polymarket and Kalshi 24/7 and executes rules you set. Paid, 3-day trial, price on the page.
Everything in one place: fluxrbot.com/start
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US officials flew a diplomat accused of possessing indecent images of children out of Britain in August without warning police or filing extradition papers
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38 outlets ran it. Not one published a reason.
Iraq ordered the Shalamcheh crossing with Iran shut, Reuters says, citing 2 sources. No end date either.
In a story this thin, the gaps are the tradable information.
Full breakdown in the first reply.
🤖 Made with AI
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Reform UK: a second £36m donation in 48 hours, per Reuters.
Gifts above £7,500 must go to the Electoral Commission — but the register updates quarterly, not live.
Spending caps mean cash buys staff and offices, not ads.
Full breakdown in the first reply.
🤖 Made with AI
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Full breakdown of the £36m gift, UK donation disclosure and what markets do with it: fluxrbot.com/blog/reform-uk-…
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76 dead in the Philippines ferry fire, per five outlets on Sept. 12, 2026.
Every headline says "rises to" — an earlier official figure was already revised.
Accountability chains compound down: 45% x 60% = 27%.
Full breakdown in the first reply.
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Full breakdown, plus how an accountability chain prices out: fluxrbot.com/blog/philippine…
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A U.S. president just endorsed one side of a constitutional question settled by treaty in 1998. Trump called Irish unification "fantastic," per the NYT — a break with decades of American silence.
fluxrbot.com/blog/trump-iris…
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Saudi Arabia shut a key oil pipeline after drones launched from Iraq.
5 separate news feeds carried the item within about 24 hours.
No damage assessment, no barrel figure, no restart date. Brent was already above $90 on Gulf risk.
Full breakdown in the first reply.
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What is confirmed, what isn't, and what the bypass outage means for crude: fluxrbot.com/blog/saudi-oil-…
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Check out $SLAM on @printr
app.printr.money/trade/0x0a5…
Show your $SOL addresses below for something
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Save the date!!!
Are you ready to experience love in the digital era with #KhushiKapoor and #JunaidKhan ?
In Cinemas worldwide on 7th Feb 2025!
Directed by #advaitchandan.
@fuhsephantom @Ags_production
@ZeeStudios_
@shrishtiarya @archanakalpathi
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He has smashed box office records with Manjummel Boys, and we're excited to see the magic we make together.
@shrishtiarya @bhavnatalwar #Chidambaram
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Waiting for 5th May! #incinemas #afwaah
When the Monster chasing you is a Rumour there is no escape... Watch how Rahab and Nivi fall prey to this monster called #Afwaah
#Afwaah Releasing in Cinemas on 5th May, 2023
@anubhavsinha @BenarasM
@bhumipednekar @Nawazuddin_S @vyas_sumeet @sharibhashmi @sumitkaul10
Couldn’t have said it better myself. Bye bye blue tick! It’s not you it’s me.
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