🇧🇪 Belgium's clubs are worth less in squad value than 🇳🇱 Dutch or 🇹🇷 Turkish ones, yet Belgium are ahead of both in Europe over the 5y period. 🇨🇾 Cyprus beat their money by the most in the top 30 🇷🇸 Serbian clubs are worth twice Slovakia's 🇸🇰, with fewer points 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland's clubs are worth more than 🇩🇰 Denmark's, and trail far behind 🇮🇸 Iceland get almost double what their money predicts ▶️ Full video on our YouTube channel, give us a follow: youtu.be/gtd91FHdx6E

Noah Holm 🇳🇴 of Brann leads the 🟢 UECL Top Scorer table after MD2, with 3 goals scored in 90 mins on the pitch! Paris Brunner 🇩🇪 of AS Monaco is our model's top favorite to win the race at the end of season, with 15% probability.

City 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 are no longer perfect in the league!

Dion Drena Beljo 🇭🇷 is having an incredible year with 45 goals in 42 matches ❗️ in 2026! Now he's climbed to the top of the 🟠 Europa League Top scorer list as well, with 3 goals in 180 mins on the pitch. Patrik Schick 🇨🇿 is still the top favorite to win the race with 14% to finish on top. *UEFA's first tie-breaker is minutes on the pitch 👉 Full top scorer and assists projections available at football-md.com/simulator

In other words, the highest ranked non-Top 5 league club in Europe is 🇧🇪 Belgian!

🇧🇪 Club Brugge climbed 3 spots this week and reached 14th place in UEFA club ranking! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa overtook 🇪🇸 Atlético Madrid on 11th! 🇪🇸 Betis climbed to 20th, squeezing 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Chelsea out of Top 20!

To make Top 24: >50% 7⃣ pts >90% 8⃣ pts To make Top 8: >50% 1⃣2⃣ pts >90% 1⃣3⃣ pts These are competition-wide probabilities, each team has their own % for each point outcome 👉 check them out at football-md.com/simulator

1⃣6⃣ pts are projected to be the threshold for a Top 8 finish in 🟠 UEL. At the competition-wide level, 16 pts bring an 80% chance to make it, but not all teams are equally likely to qualify if they do finish on 16 pts: 🔺 94% 🇵🇹 Benfica ... 🔻 52% 🇵🇹 Torreense Differences in % stem mainly from the differences in projected goal difference at the end of league phase. 👉 Full team-level projections and scenarios for UCL UEL UECL available at football-md.com/simulator

To make Top 24: >50% 9⃣ pts >90% 1⃣0⃣ pts To make Top 8: >50% 1⃣6⃣ pts >90% 1⃣7⃣ These are competition-wide probabilities, each team has their own % for each point outcome 👉 check them out at football-md.com/simulator

📈 Top 10 club contributions to 2026/27 country coefficients: +3.500 🇦🇿 Sabah FK +3.250 🇭🇺 Ferencváros +2.750 🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava +2.600 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe +2.500 🇱🇮 FC Vaduz +2.375 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split +2.300 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt +2.250 🇨🇭 FC Lugano +2.250 🇺🇦 Shakhtar Donetsk +2.125 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia 👉 Full team- and country-level projections in coefficient races available at football-md.com/coefficients

🔵 Top 10 UCL earners after MD3 💰 €70.3m 🇫🇷 PSG (📈 +€2.1m) €68.6m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool (📈 +€2.1m) €66.6m 🇩🇪 Bayern München (📈 +€0.7m) €65.7m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester City (📈 +€2.1m) €65.4m 🇪🇸 Real Madrid (📈 +€2.1m) €63.7m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Arsenal (📈 +€0.7m) €59.9m 🇩🇪 Dortmund (📈 +€2.1m) €58.6m 🇮🇹 Inter (📈 +€2.1m) €57.5m 🇪🇸 Barcelona €55.9m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa (📈 +€2.1m) 💶 Included: • Starting fee: €18.62m • Value pillar (coefficients + TV market) • Results: €2.1m per win, €700k per draw • Minimum league-phase ranking share ⏳ Still to come: money from the remaining matches, the final league-phase ranking and the knockout rounds. 📊 Full prize money per club: football-md.com/blog/ucl-pri… 🧪 Planning, cash flow & interactive what-if scenarios: football-md.com/prize-money-…

🟠 Top 10 UEL earners after MD3 💰 €19.17m 🇫🇷 Lyon €16.36m 🇩🇪 Leverkusen (📈 +€0.45m) €15.92m 🇮🇹 Juventus (📈 +€0.15m) €15.51m 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb €14.89m 🇵🇹 Benfica (📈 +€0.45m) €14.62m 🇮🇹 AC Milan €14.26m 🇳🇱 AZ Alkmaar (📈 +€0.45m) €14.17m 🇬🇷 Olympiacos (📈 +€0.45m) €14.08m 🇪🇸 Real Sociedad (📈 +€0.45m) €13.29m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic 💶 Included: • Starting fee: €4.31m • Qualifying-round payments (incl. UCL PO) • Value pillar (coefficients + TV market) • Results: €450k per win, €150k per draw • Minimum league-phase ranking share ⏳ Still to come: money from the remaining matches, the final league-phase ranking and the knockout rounds. 📊 Full prize money per club: football-md.com/blog/uel-pri… 🧪 Planning, cash flow & interactive what-if scenarios: football-md.com/prize-money-…

Another great week for 🇬🇷 Olympiacos who added +2.000 pts to their coefficient and overtook 🇺🇦 Shakhtar! 🇬🇷 Olympiacos increased the difference in their end-of-season projected 5y coefficient so the main question becomes - will they win the domestic title? 🏆 If so, they are very likely to be the team to get a direct ticket to 🔵 UCL in 2027! Taking into account all probabilities, domestic title chances & coeff projections, here are the % to get a direct UCL ticket: 34% 🇬🇷 Olympiacos (🏆, 75.185) 25% 🇺🇦 Shakhtar (🏆, 64.406) 19% 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt (🏆, 64.331) 18% 🇭🇺 Ferencváros (🏆, 64.073) 2% 🇩🇰 FC Copenhagen (🏆, 56.623) 1% 🇩🇰 Midtjylland (🏆, 50.532) ... 👉 Full team-level projections and rebalancing scenarios available at football-md.com/coefficients…

🟠 UEFA Europa League: single-outcome projected table Instead of averaging thousands of simulations, this table plays out every league-phase match only once. How each match is resolved: ✅ The favourite wins, with its most likely scoreline for goal difference 🤝 Draws are assumed for the closest matchups so that they reproduce the number of expected draws in 🟠 UEL league phase Here the order of teams IS NOT the same as if you simulate the competition tens of thousands of times and take average points (xPts). For that check our other posts. 👉 Full team-level projections and scenarios for UCL UEL UECL available at football-md.com

💰 Highest and lowest guaranteed UEFA prize money: 🔵 Champions League 🔺 €70.3m 🇫🇷 PSG 🔻 €22.3m 🇦🇿 Sabah FK 🟠 Europa League 🔺 €19.2m 🇫🇷 Lyon 🔻 €5.3m 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia 🟢 Conference League 🔺 €7.1m 🇳🇱 Ajax 🔻 €4.0m 🇱🇹 Kauno Žalgiris 💶 The last club in the Champions League is currently above the top club in the Europa League 💶 Conference League leaders 🇳🇱 Ajax are have morea than only four Europa League clubs 📊 Full prize money per club: football-md.com/blog/ucl-uel… 🧪 Planning, cash flow & interactive what-if scenarios: football-md.com/prize-money-…

Ajax 🇳🇱 jump to the top of 🟢 UECL 💰 Prize Money rankings! 💶 Included: • Starting fee: €3.17m • Qualifying-round payments • Value pillar (coefficients + TV market) • Results: €400k per win, €133k per draw • Minimum league-phase ranking share ⏳ Still to come: money from the remaining matches, the final league-phase ranking and the knockout rounds. 📊 Full prize money per club: football-md.com/blog/ucl-uel… 🧪 Planning, cash flow & interactive what-if scenarios: football-md.com/prize-money-…

🏆 To win Copa Sudamericana: 57.5% 🇦🇷 Boca Juniors 42.5% 🇧🇷 Atletico Mineiro

Estudiantes 🇦🇷 knocked out Flamengo 🇧🇷 on penalties and joins Plameiras 🇧🇷 in the Copa Libertadores final. 🏆 To become champions of South America: 60% 🇧🇷 Palmeiras 40% 🇦🇷 Estudiantes

🟢 UEFA Conference League: single-outcome projected table Instead of averaging thousands of simulations, this table plays out every league-phase match only once. How each match is resolved: ✅ The favourite wins, with its most likely scoreline for goal difference 🤝 Draws are assumed for the closest matchups so that they reproduce the number of expected draws in 🟢 UECL league phase Here the order of teams IS NOT the same as if you simulate the competition tens of thousands of times and take average points (xPts). For that check our other posts. 👉 Full team-level projections and scenarios for UCL UEL UECL available at football-md.com

📽️ Latest overview of MD3 in 🟠 UEL and MD2 in 🟢 UECL has landed on our YT channel 👇 youtu.be/2biHSLwKAw0