Investor & Trader | Family Office | Empowering the DIY Investor. Do It Yourself. Not By Yourself. Views & Opinions are My Own. Do Your Own DD.
Calgary, Alberta
Joined September 2011
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Positioning matters. It should not be a surprise that the NASDAQ $QQQ is struggling a bit. And may for a while as this starts to unwind.
Greg Rieben retweeted
Another day, another flop.
Don't worry Canada, at least we will participate in the Eurovision.
BOC hikes...The Housing affordability issue in Canada will continue. Consumer spending will continue to be suppressed. The Canadian economy will continue to struggle.
The vast amount of AI video slop that will be created will bore even the biggest nerds and get them off of the couch and into nature or to live events.
Long reality.
Wild growth continues in the chip space: SK Hynix +11% as Q3 revenue +328% YoY, operating profit +632%, both beat estimates.
$SKHY
Got U?
$URA #nuclearenergy
.@SecretaryWright on nuclear: "We're restarting three power plants, upgrading power plants all across the country, and soon, you'll be hearing announcements about new reactors being constructed. The nuclear renaissance is REAL."
Will this be a common theme moving forward as we get closer to a white-collar recession?
Microsoft offers buyouts to ~60K workers, including VPs, in new cost-cutting push.
Microsoft has shed tens of thousands of workers through multiple rounds of layoffs in recent years.
Microsoft shares closed 2% higher following the announcement.
$MSFT
When it comes to trading and investing we have more information than ever before. By a long shot. But, how much of it is actually useful? How much of it can be trusted?
A great example is Brazil. There was a very good case to be bullish Brazil and one of the main reasons was a leadership change. Lula da Silva was showing a 20% chance of winning just a week ago. 🤷♂️
$EWZ
there's always a bull market somewhere
and after the first round i said brazil looked like the start of one.
this morning $EWZ is on course for its worst day since it launched in 2000.
shit happens. but normally not like this.
the polls said coin toss. 51 to 49. the polls were right.
the money said sure thing. 4 to 1 on flávio.
the gap is the whole story. the kind markets aren't supposed to leave lying around.
in the 3 weeks before the vote, $4.1bn went into $EWZ.
nearly a third of the fund.
polymarket still had flávio at 82% on the afternoon of the vote.
9 minutes after the polls closed, it had lula ahead.
was polymarket used as an agent of mass destruction?
everyone leaned on it.
the bolsa took comfort from the foreigners
and the foreigners took comfort from the bolsa.
i called that price discovery.
and there was history.
since democracy came back, nobody had won a brazilian runoff after finishing second in round one.
i priced precedent, and precedent lost.
the lambs thought we were pricing brazil.
we slept beautifully on saturday night.
but we were pricing each other.
lesson noted.
Wow. That's rough. I was eyeing this Brazilian Fintech for a while. Down -50% today. 😬
$XP
BREAKING: Anthropic officially files its S-1 registration statement for an IPO, seeking to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol $ANT.
FULL SUMMARY OF ANTHROPIC'S S-1 FILING:
1. Anthropic posted H1 2026 revenue of $16.3 billion with a net loss of $80.7 billion
2. Anthropic says it does not expect to pay a dividend "in the foreseeable future"
3. Expects to spend up to $120.5 billion on SpaceXAI and Nvidia compute
4. Expects to spend up to $114.5 billion with Google through 2033
5. Revenue growth rate "may not be sustainable" and "may decrease"
6. May be required to seek additional financing "sooner than expected"
7. 5% of Anthropic's shares will go to the "Anthropic Public Benefit Fund"
8. S-1 includes warnings of AI's "catastrophic existential risks to humanity"
Markets currently expect Anthropic to raise as much as $100 billion at a valuation of ~$2 trillion.
The company is reportedly targeting an IPO in the week of November 16th.
