Value investing ≠ boring business Research on hidden gems & mispriced assets in AI/tech Focus on Moat · Pricing Power · Management Not investment advice
New York, USA
Joined October 2018
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Think about it, $GOOG has:
- World class chips: TPU
- Top 3 cloud infras: Google Cloud
- Top frontier model: Gemini, prebuilt in Samsung & Apple
- Billions of users across apps like YouTube, Chrome, Gmail
There isn’t another company that owns all of these at the same time.
Four distinct TPU systems in a single generation in one year! Instead of waiting years for a traditional semiconductor cycle, hardware engineers co-designing systems alongside Google Deepmind means we can keep innovating quickly for customers.
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It's stupid to think Jensen will step down as CEO. Unlike other big tech companies, Nvidia is a founder focused company. Jensen is the key person that no one can replace. Back in the days when I still had 65% of my portfolio in Nvidia, I was always worried that Jensen would step down.
But this would put Nvidia in a very bad position when they need to negotiate with the government. This is really bad. Political risks could harm Nvidia in a very subtle way.
way.
BREAKING: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang admits to an extramarital relationship with a Chinese spy
75% chance he's out as $NVDA CEO before 2028
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Huang admitted to an extramarital affair in a memo to Nvidia staff but did not say it was with a Chinese spy. Reports of her suspected spying come from US intelligence; the company board launched a separate investigation.
nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/statement… theverge.com/ai-artificial-… techcrunch.com/2026/11/08/nvi…
$MSFT recently:
- winds down its AI cloud deal with $ORCL
- exits its Nscale deal in the UK
- passes on expanding with Nscale in Texas
- walks away from an Nscale LOI in West Virginia
Probably nothing right?
$MSFT WINDS DOWN AI CLOUD DEAL WITH $ORCL
Microsoft has reportedly declined to renew its 2023 agreement to rent AI computing capacity from Oracle and has been gradually shutting down that capacity in recent months, Bloomberg reports.
The deal was originally intended to power an AI-enhanced version of Bing.
However, the Oracle servers used older-generation Nvidia GPUs that no longer met Microsoft's computing specifications.
Oracle says demand for its AI infrastructure remains strong, including for older-generation GPUs.
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My $APP position is up 25% from being down 20%.
I kept saying fundamentals and intrinsic value are the only two factors that matter in investing.
You just need to learn how to control yourself when price action is not on ur side.
Contrarian actions + right ideas = good trade.
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Agent commerce is real.
Everyone is coming for a bite.
But eventually whoever owns the platform gets the edge, cuz their agents can operate on the existing platform.
Like Grok on X & Gemini on Chrome, YouTube, Google Maps etc.
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Google could push the partnership with SpaceX further to build a space data center.
They already launched a few TPUs into orbit using Falcon 9.
If orbital data centers work, $GOOG will have a huge energy advantage over other hyperscalers.
GOOGLE $GOOGL JUST UPDATED ITS STOCK PORTFOLIO AS OF THE END OF Q3
Here are the changes Google made to its stock portfolio during Q3
New positions:
- Qualcomm $QCOM: 2,976,982 shares ($547.9M)
- Freenome $FRNM: 2,022,131 shares
- Neutron Holdings $LIME: 1,898,948 shares
- Obsidian Therapeutics $OBX: 1,224,869 shares
Added:
- SpaceX $SPCX: +3,854,060 shares (+0.7%)
Trimmed:
- Ethos Technologies $LIFE: -3,050,697 shares (-84.2%)
- Freshworks $FRSH: -1,870,000 shares (-11.5%)
- Revolution Medicines $RVMD: -272,710 shares (-9.3%)
Sold out:
- GitLab $GTLB
- Autolus Therapeutics $AUTL
- Spero Therapeutics $SPRO
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“Just good engineering”
Just a good management team $APP
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My prediction: $APP will be a trillion-dollar company.
This monster quarter shut the "$APP is the next $TTD" guys up.
I broke down the earnings call:
- Highlights from Q3
- Model improvements
- E-commerce
- Competition
Great company with great prospects.
Check it out here: finloanalysis.substack.com/p…
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$APP crushed its Q3 earnings 🚀:
Revenue: $2185M, +55% YoY
Net Income: $1439M, +72% YoY
Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 84%
GAAP Operating Margin: 78%
Guidance on Q4: $2380M, +43.5% YoY
I am going to update the full earnings analysis after the call.
Stay tuned!
$APP reports today after the close. What I'll be watching:
1. Revenue vs the $2,055-2,085M guide.
2. Q4 guide. We need to see strong guidance since Q4 includes the holidays. It shows how confident they are in the e-commerce expansion.
3. FCF above $1.35B.
4. Buybacks above Q2's $551M. I want to see stronger buybacks since the stock is down ~35% from before the Q2 report.
If adj. EBITDA margin slips below 83%, I care about why.
Spending to grow e-commerce is fine.
Compute costs rising while revenue slows is a problem.
Also we need to hear more about e-commerce strategy in the earnings call.
Hopefully we see Adam crush this quarter!
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$APP reports today after the close. What I'll be watching:
1. Revenue vs the $2,055-2,085M guide.
2. Q4 guide. We need to see strong guidance since Q4 includes the holidays. It shows how confident they are in the e-commerce expansion.
3. FCF above $1.35B.
4. Buybacks above Q2's $551M. I want to see stronger buybacks since the stock is down ~35% from before the Q2 report.
If adj. EBITDA margin slips below 83%, I care about why.
Spending to grow e-commerce is fine.
Compute costs rising while revenue slows is a problem.
Also we need to hear more about e-commerce strategy in the earnings call.
Hopefully we see Adam crush this quarter!
Can’t agree more.
This is the most UNDERVALUED competitive advantage that people have ignored so far.
I am working on an article about $GOOG’s full stack and distribution advantage in Cloud Infras.
Coming soon...
"We are the ONLY company that has the FULL stack and we're world-class at every layer from infrastructure to cloud to frontier models to AI-first applications."
Sundar Pichai Google CEO
$GOOGL $GOOG
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$NOW is an undervalued business.
The market is focusing on constraints: compute, chips, memory, etc.
But a generational tech should create more wealth, not fight over existing resources.
In the future enterprise structure, companies will have 10x more agents than humans.
This is where $NOW comes in as the governance layer to help companies manage, regulate, & evaluate agents at superhuman speed.
ServiceNow CEO explains why he believes investors undervalue the business.
Read more: thestreet.com/investing/stoc…
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