Joined February 2009
Let’s Go Shelton! Go USA!
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Every founder and CEO should internalize this 👇
The ARR multiple fallacy ARR multiple is not the right way to think about sub-20% growers. Simple framework: If you’re growing sub-20%, you get a 10-30x EBIDTA or FCF multiple. If you use this rubric, Miro is very fairly valued by Bending Spoons. Only 30%+ growers get the luxury of an ARR multiple. The reason is that 30% growth means you’re doubling in 3 years and so the revenue base will be 2x in 36 months, and the margin structure will look different at 2x scale. Cash flow today is a rounding error against that. So you value the trajectory, and ARR is the cleanest proxy for trajectory. At 15% growth, doubling takes 5 years. That's close enough to "never" that the market stops paying for the future and starts paying for the present. The present is earnings. If you're not producing them, you're not a growth company anymore. You're a bad value company. The mistake founders make is anchoring to the multiple they had at 40% growth and thinking the ARR multiple just compresses. It doesn't compress. It gets replaced. You cross 30% on the way down and the entire valuation framework switches out from under you. Which is why the worst place to be is 20-30% growth with no FCF. Growth investors won't pay for it. Value investors can't. You're priced by whoever is least excited,a really painful place to be.
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Super excited to see the @RadicalAI lab in action in Brooklyn!
Radical is getting ready to take the next step in our growth as a company. We are the best self-driving lab company in the world, and now we will have the space to prove it.
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Brian Hirsch retweeted
You're busy. Your digital Twin isn't. So when a colleague needs the context you're carrying, they don't have to wait for a gap in your calendar. Your Twin answers, in your voice, drawing on what you've already written. You stay the expert. You just stop being the bottleneck. Book a demo and see what Twin1 can do for you. twin1.ai/book-demo
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Let’s go Knicks!
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Let’s go Knicks!
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Let’s go Yankees!
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Brian Hirsch retweeted
We are building autonomous scientific discovery. And it runs 370x faster than a human scientist. Our AI agents index millions of scientific publications and learn what an entire field has done in the time it takes a researcher to read one paper. Then we bring it to the lab to verify and further fuel learnings. 10 years to discover a material? Not here.
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What’s more efficient at recognizing a brown dog walking toward you? 1. the most advanced AI model on earth; or 2. a 3-year-old with a juice box One needs a data center. The other needs a snack. The next wave of AI won’t just be smarter. It will be radically more energy efficient.
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Brian Hirsch retweeted
Today @NVIDIAGTC we cemented our spot as the industry leader in the materials space. Autonomous labs are the future, and no one is building nearly as fast as our amazing team @RadicalAI.
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As a VC, here’s a bet I think more people should be underwriting: AI won’t just transform industries. It may help confirm intelligent life beyond Earth within a decade. “Proof of life” could reprice humanity’s sense of risk, purpose, defense, religion — everything. Two paradigm shifts. One fund cycle. #AI #DeepTech #SpaceTech #VentureCapital #ExponentialTech
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Brian Hirsch retweeted
We think we are the top 5 fastest startup in AI right now
The Radical team moves fast. With so many deep domain experts building collaboratively, our shared values of trust, autonomy, and a bias for action have to come through in everything we do. Thanks @eostudi0 for inviting @josephfkrause to talk about it.
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We're overfunding intelligence generation. We're underfunding economic reorganization. A meaningful % of today's AI unicorns will not be top-20 companies of the AI era. Here's why: 🧵
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The internet didn't reward whoever moved the most packets. It rewarded whoever controlled commerce on top of the packets. AI will not reward whoever generates the most tokens. It will reward whoever reorganizes the economy around intelligence.
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The biggest risk right now isn't missing AI. It's mistaking technological inevitability for architectural finality. They are not the same thing. Full thesis here: brianattvp.substack.com/p/th… If you're building tokenless architectures, post-LLM reasoning systems, or coordination infrastructure for the agentic economy — DMs open.
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