@horvick

DHM Research, Senior Vice President Also at @OregonAt100 for daily news from the past

 Portland, Oregon
dhmresearch.com
Joined October 2009
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Democratic and Republican ballot share for each day in Oregon. Oct 16: Dem 64%, Rep 17% (D +47) Oct 19: Dem 48%, Rep 31% (D +17) Oct 20: Dem 52%, Rep 26% (D +26) Oct 21: Dem 53%, Rep 25% (D +28) Oct 22: Dem 48%, Rep 29% (D +19) Oct 23: Dem 41%, Rep 33% (D +8)
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Oregon ballot return update and why it probably doesn't say much about final turnout. Those who have voted are just regular voters. Democrats -Voted in 8 of last 8 elections: 49% -6+ of 8: 75% -Age 65+: 64%
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NAV -8 of 8: 17% -6+ of 8: 39% -Age 65+: 43%
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Other parties -8 of 8: 25% -6+ of 8: 54% -Age 65+: 56%
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Oregon turnout by party in midterm general elections: 1966 to 2022
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Oregon turnout in midterm general elections of registered and eligible voters: 1966 to 2022
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The final October consumer sentiment numbers are out from the University of Michigan. Here are the changes by party. Dem 36.6 (+1.0) Ind 42.4 (-5.3) Rep 83.0 (+5.8)
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The age composition of Oregon's electorate from 2018 to 2026. The projected ballots for 2026 assume that turnout by age is the average of 2018 and 2022.
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John Horvick retweeted
John Horvick@horvickFeb 15
Winning vote share in Oregon gubernatorial elections
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I am tracking Oregon ballot returns, but avoiding reading anything into them. Those who have voted were almost certain to anyway. Ages and vote history of voters who have returned ballots. Dems -Age 65+: 65% -Voted 8 of 8 of the past 8 primaries and generals: 53% -6+ of 8: 78%
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Reposting Republicans. There was a typo in my text. Republicans -Age 65+: 65% -8 of 8: 46% -6+ of 8: 74% Thanks to @SpaceOddities for pointing out the error.
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Agree with Kevin. Whether Oregon--or Texas, Wisconsin, etc.--allow data centers or not we will still have to make decisions about our relationships with AI.
Kevin Frazier@KevinTFrazierOct 21
As state legislative sessions near, the bills that get the most headlines will likely deal w/ frontier issues. But we ought to pay attention to "boring" AI topics, too. Here's a smattering of policies expected by Oregonians, for example. via DHM Research.
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Non-affiliated -Age 65+: 45% -8 of 8: 21% -6+ of 8: 44%
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Other parties -Age 65+: 57% -8 of 8: 28% -6+ of 8: 50%
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Democratic gubernatorial vote in Oregon counties: 1930 - 2022
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Number of Oregon governor polls after the primary elections in 2022 vs. 2026. 2022: at least 15 2026: just 5 so far
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The 20 Oregon cities with the most registered Republicans.
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They are a significant minority, but there are some registered Republicans and Republican voters in Portland. Current registered Republicans: ~32,300 2022 Drazan votes: ~46,300 2024 Trump votes: ~42,700
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In the Oregon 2022 general election, this is how the total number of registered voters compared to ballots cast by age and party.
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