Izzy (@izzyonit) header
Izzy (@izzyonit) profile picture

stocks, stocks, Spaces, stocks 🌱

Joined October 2014
Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)Photo by Izzy (@izzyonit)
#vikings is a better show than #got
While @HowardStern and @jonhein were sharing their feelings about the #GameOfThrones finale, it seems @robertAbooey's mind may have been on something else ...
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Implied moves on names reporting tomorrow. Holding all, trading most. #LFG Before market open: $hsy 4-5% from 155-172 $mo 3-5% from 70-76 After market close: $amzn 7-10% from 229-280 $coin 7-11% from 145-179
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Absolutely can NOT believe ppl don't trade earnings. Most of what I do trading is around earnings. Often times you get an entire quarter's volatility all within an hour or so. It's beautiful 🤌🏼
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Heardt Dat. 💯 I however am at about 25% cash, even after reentering $goog small starter amount first time just now.
Being ~50% cash in this environment is saving me a lot of gray hairs. If conditions improve post-midterms I will redeploy rapidly. Until then, I'm favoring a more tactical approach with available cash. If markets can't build a meaningful trend into EOY, cash pile will go higher.
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$GOOGL Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian says Apple is “scaling pre-training of their foundation models on the latest generation of TPUs.” Google says nearly 100 customers now use its TPUs.
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$GOOGL is expanding AI Mode ads internationally for the first time, with multi-turn ads coming to the U.S. Google says most AI Mode queries are incremental, opening new monetization opportunities. Sponsored and organic product listings already have similar CTRs in AI Mode.
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Google misses Search & Ads revenue by ~ $1.5B. These misses will get worse. Keep in mind, Search & Ads are still the primary business. No one clicks blue links anymore. Moreover, the exponential rise in use of agentic AI poses a deeper threat: AI agents don't watch ads. $GOOGL
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Wayyy lower capex $msft. Analysts estimate they represent 20% of $nvda's revenue
Microsoft $MSFT +4% on a strong Azure beat and CapEx coming in well below expectations. Azure Growth: +48% YoY vs. +44.7% est. CapEx: $39.4B vs. $46.6B est.
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Trend that should continue until $goog finds a working solution to losing ad search rev to their own and competing llms
At this rate, $GOOGL Cloud revenue could surpass Google Search revenue by late 2027. Cloud: $30.7B, up 103% YoY Search & other: $63.4B, up 12% YoY
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$GOOG Alphabet Q3 FY26: • Revenue +25% Y/Y to $127.6B ($0.3B miss). • Operating margin 32% (+1pp Y/Y). ☁️ Google Cloud: • Revenue +106% Y/Y to $30.7B • Operating margin 36% (+23pp Y/Y). 🔎 Search +12% Y/Y to $63.4B.
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ALPHABET $GOOGL Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 EPS: $2.12 🔹 Revenue: $127.6B (Est. $128.22B) 🔴; +25% YoY 🔹 Google Cloud Revenue: $30.7B (Est. $29.15B) 🟢 🔹 Search & Other: $63.4B (Est. $64.99B) 🔴 🔹 YouTube Ads: $11.2B (Est. $11.4B) 🔴 🔹 CapEx: $51.4B (Est. $55.2B) 🟢 🔹 CapEx to Revenue: ~40.3% Key Updates: 🔹 Equity Securities: $8.7B net unrealized loss; EPS impact $0.55 Google Services: 🔹 Google Services Revenue: $96.3B (Est. $98.42B) 🔴 🔹 Google Services Oper Income: $39.2B (Est. $40.8B) 🔴 🔹 Google Services Operating Margin: ~40.7% 🔹 Google Advertising: $82.0B (Est. $83.6B) 🔴 🔹 Google Network: $7.5B (Est. $7.2B) 🟢 🔹 Subscriptions, Platforms & Devices: $14.3B (Est. $14.85B) 🔴 Google Cloud: 🔹 Google Cloud Oper Income: $11.1B (Est. $9.75B) 🟢 🔹 Google Cloud Operating Margin: ~36.2% Other Bets: 🔹 Revenue: $372M 🔹 Operating Loss: -$2.0B Alphabet-Level Activities: 🔹 Oper Loss: -$7.7B; shared AI research and development expenses Other Metrics: 🔹 Total Oper Income: $40.6B (Est. $43.23B) 🔴 🔹 Total TAC: $16.4B 🔹 Revenue ex-TAC: ~$111.2B 🔹 Employees: 204,757 🔹 Paid Subscriptions: 150M+ 🔹 First-Party Model APIs: nearly 32B tokens per minute Geographic Revenue: 🔹 U.S.: $67.7B; +39% YoY 🔹 EMEA: $32.7B; +9% YoY 🔹 APAC: $19.9B; +12% YoY 🔹 Other Americas: $7.1B; +17% YoY Financials: 🔹 Operating Margin: 31.8% 🔹 Net Income: $26.5B 🔹 Other Income, Net: -$8.2B 🔹 Gain on Equity Securities, Net: -$8.7B 🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $42.3B (Est. $52.72B) 🔴 🔹 Free Cash Flow: -$9.1B (Est. -$2.7B) 🔴 🔹 TTM Free Cash Flow: $19.7B 🔹 Cash & Marketable Securities: $265.1B 🔹 Long-Term Debt: $125.1B Capital Return: 🔹 Dividend: $0.22/share 🔹 Stock Repurchases: $0 CEO Sundar Pichai Commentary: 🔸 “Google Cloud revenues grew 103%, powered by huge demand for our AI infrastructure and AI solutions. We’re also seeing strong demand for our TPU systems across a wide range of customers.” 🔸 “Overall, our first-party model APIs are now processing nearly 32 billion tokens per minute, more than four times what we processed a year ago.” 🔸 “On top of that, the Gemini app has reached one billion users—making it the fastest-growing product in Google’s history—and we surpassed 150 million YouTube Music and Premium subscribers globally, including trials.”
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Izzy retweeted
$goog implied move between 5-7%. I'll be figuring realistically 299-335 with a larger range from 293-340. Latter upper range seems less likely as it's above the moving averages.
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Izzy retweeted
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 45 YEARS THE FOMC IS LOWERING HOW OFTEN IT HOLDS FOMC MEETINGS STARTING NEXT FALL ONE MEETING A YEAR WILL HAVE NO RATE VOTE AT ALL BY 2028 ONLY 6 RATE DECISIONS A YEAR TWO MEETINGS WITH NO VOTE FEWER MEETINGS WILL LEAD TO BIGGER MOVES, MORE UNCERTAINTY & MORE VOLATILITY
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Fed Votes 10-2 to Hold Benchmark Rate Accumulation of More Info Will Help Determine Policy Cook and Hammack Dissent in Favor of Rate Hike
FED CHAIR WARSH HOLDS INTEREST RATES STEADY, AS EXPECTED
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Izzy retweeted
$SHOP SOURCES: CEO SAYS SHOPIFY SEEING “EXPLOSION OF NEW BUSINESSES” AS AI LOWERS FOUNDER BARRIERS SOURCES: TOBI CLAIMS AI AGENTS MAY “CHARGE USERS DIRECTLY, METER USAGE LIKE ELECTRICITY, OR TAKE A SHARE OF TRANSACTIONS
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$TSLA, if I am making a play off support, I want things to be as crushed as possible to know I will likely get even just a short term little bounce to position within.
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Looking at my green tea bottle this morning I guess it was the world series last night. I still don't tolerate sports talk, but last night was a bit 🤏🏼 of an exception @StockBully69 @comedypartdeux I don't know who that was talking Brewers but I would tag him too if I did.
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If U use a tier system. Today u get smaller in $tsla.
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Izzy retweeted
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