Ex. barber. Now a full-time trader. Turning knowledge into wealth. Discipline is key. NFA

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🚨 THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read the post carefully before buying stocks 3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion: 1. The biggest IPO wave in decades - SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion( $SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12) - OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion - Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion 2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components 3. History shows a concerning pattern At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies: - The Roaring Twenties - The Nifty Fifty era - Japan's 1980s asset bubble - The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000 Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes 4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns: - Amazon: -95% - Microsoft: -65% - Intel: -80% - Oracle: -80% - Yahoo: -97% A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
🚨 S&P 500 MORE DANGEROUS RIGHT NOW THAN IT LOOKS The illusion of safety is what can make you poor I keep seeing people say, "It probably won't crash, it always goes up" That's exactly what concerns me When you buy an individual stock, you got that you can lose money But with the S&P 500, it's different, most people don't even consider the possibility of a crash anymore Just look at the dot-com bubble - back then, everyone thought everything was fine and the index would keep climbing for years But the final stage of every bubble begins when prices become absurd and fear disappears And prices right now really are getting absurd. The index is printing new highs almost every day with barely any meaningful pullbacks I'm not saying a crash is coming Monday, for example, but I am warning you that markets become the most vulnerable when the majority stops seeing any risk Right now I'm watching investor confidence closely, and the level of euphoria is extreme. That's usually the final stage Are you ready for what could happen next? Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
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Not every stablecoin becomes widely adopted And not every stablecoin has managed to achieve what solana:USD1ttGY1N17NEEHLmELoaybftRBUSErhqYiQzvEmuB has It took less than a year to... USD1 and exchanges keep surprising me First, Binance launched BTC/USD1 perpetuals the first major stablecoin besides USDT and USDC to reach this level. Collateral is nearly 100% Then SPCXUSD1 and a bunch of RWA perps on Aster: SpaceX, gold, oil, stocks all exclusively in USD1 It’s not just about crypto, and that matters 35.1K daily active addresses, with growth of more than 281% over the month. Capital is flowing in, and people are actually using the stablecoin instead of just holding it But for example, holding USD1 on Binance is still one of the best plays $170M WLFI pool, with rewards paid every week through September 4 No staking, just hold it On top of that, Gate is offering up to 12% APR with no lockup you can withdraw your money anytime MEXC is subsidizing 50% of funding fees on USD1 futures, up to 1,000 USD1 per user per day, through September 13 All of this makes the stablecoin actually work: hold β†’ earn β†’ trade, instead of just sitting there doing nothing It’s also active in DeFi. Vaults are offering 8-10% Stablecoins are supposed to work The transparency is solid too real-time reserves are visible On top of everything, on August 14, the OCC gave conditional approval to World Liberty Trust Company A federal trust bank built around USD1: issuance, redemption, custody, and reserves would all fall under direct US oversight. There are still conditions to meet, but this is already a serious step On Aster, the first phase of the campaign runs through the end of December: 125M $WLFI for activity + 6.25M USD1 for volume, with a 2x multiplier if you use USD1 exclusively Before the ATH, I moved most of my portfolio into stablecoins, including USD1. The peg is holding USD1 has everything needed for stablecoin growth: distribution + incentives + repeated usage Right now, all of this is happening across three major exchanges The big question is whether the active users will stick around once the campaigns end I think they will And if they do, this won't just be temporary liquidity anymore
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USD1 and Binance keep surprising me I missed this, but they just added the SPCXUSD1 trading pair It's nice to see USD1 being used beyond crypto and making its way into TradFi related markets Now I can keep shorting $SPCX more conveniently on Binance Keep an eye on the news flow, and only take the trade if it fits your own strategy Wait for your entry on the 5M timeframe, and always manage your risk
New TradFi equity is coming to Binance Futures: $SPCXUSD1 Trade SpaceX. Settled in USD1. Available 24/7, up to 25x leverage. Learn more: binance.com/en/support/annou…
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SOMETHING BIG IS COMING Every Bitcoin bear market has ended the same way On the chart, that has also lined up with the 3rd red candle on the 3-month timeframe 2018 β†’ 3 red candles β†’ bottom 2022 β†’ 3 red candles β†’ bottom 2025-2026 β†’ 3 red candles We're currently inside the 4th one This is why I don't believe in a $35k bottom But bullish news disappears Most traders expect even lower prices Every cycle has produced a shallower correction than the last You're better off accumulating with DCA now and not stressing about the price You won't regret it I told you about this before
THIS BITCOIN FVG SHOULD BE FILLED We've seen FVG like these and every one of them got filled Throughout this entire bear cycle: 98-96.5k FVG (done) 81-79,3k FVG (done) 70-67.4k FVG (right now) I said the next target is $57k But the ideal scenario is for this FVG to get filled first After that, the path to $57k is wide open
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Leni retweeted
GOLD IS ABOUT TO BREAK SUPPORT Nobody is ready for this, but it's gonna happen 4900 β†’ 4000 β†’ 4200 β†’ 3450 (next) The bull rally is over A bigger correction is underway This wasn't the last leg down I told you about this before
🚨 GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time: β†’ High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive β†’ Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets β†’ After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure β†’ Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold) β†’ A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets β†’ Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period Do you realize what this means? One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention That's exactly what's happening now I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
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GOLD IS ABOUT TO BREAK SUPPORT Nobody is ready for this, but it's gonna happen 4900 β†’ 4000 β†’ 4200 β†’ 3450 (next) The bull rally is over A bigger correction is underway This wasn't the last leg down I told you about this before
🚨 GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time: β†’ High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive β†’ Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets β†’ After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure β†’ Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold) β†’ A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets β†’ Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period Do you realize what this means? One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention That's exactly what's happening now I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
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SPCX LOST ITS SUPPORT, 100 IS COMING I told you to short below 123, and that's happened Next target is $100 But there'll be more short opportunities along the way Only if we get some small consolidation on the lower timeframes Stay tuned and keep up with the market with me I always warned it ahead of time
EXPECTATIONS FOR SPCX ARE SIMPLE Short below $123 Long above $100 $150 - already shorted $135 - already shorted The long above $100 is just a short-term trade, gotta see how the chart approaches that level SpaceX stock is going through a major repricing right now It was way overhyped, retail got burned, IPO buyers got burned too That's why shorting right now is the most logical play I told you about this before
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Only 3 Fridays left to earn WLFI has been rewarding USD1 holders since January Holding USD1 on Binance has probably been one of the best ways to earn over the last 6 months And the entry requirement has always been pretty low This time, for example, you only need 300 USD1 - no lockups, no staking Hold USD1 in your Binance Spot, Funding, Margin, or Futures wallet and earn a share of 178M $WLFI Paid out every Friday through August 7 1.2x multiplier for maintaining 300+ USD1 daily open interest on USD1 futures pairs Probably better than blowing your money on memecoins
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SOL IS GETTING READY TO HIT $90 A bullish structure has been forming since June 5 But it'll all depend on: 1. Bitcoin first and foremost 2. SOL is still trading inside a descending channel on the 1W timeframe Short term, you can look for longs around $79 But only if we get accumulation with price squeezing into the level From a bigger-picture perspective I'd be looking to short around $90 if it gets there I told you about this before
SOL IS COOKING SOMETHING 60 β†’ 85 β†’ 57 (next) β†’ 72 β†’ 51 Nobody is ready for this, but someone is quietly accumulating Every July during the bear market has come with a rally But that's about to end It'll be time for the cycle bottom to form Don't try to catch the bottom in Solana or Bitcoin Set your DCA buy targets and be smarter than the crowd I told you about this before
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THIS BITCOIN FVG SHOULD BE FILLED We've seen FVG like these and every one of them got filled Throughout this entire bear cycle: 98-96.5k FVG (done) 81-79,3k FVG (done) 70-67.4k FVG (right now) I said the next target is $57k But the ideal scenario is for this FVG to get filled first After that, the path to $57k is wide open
BITCOIN HAS FORMED A DESCENDING CHANNEL 58K (done) β†’ 65K (done) β†’ 57K (next) β†’ 54K As I told you, it happened Most of you are still trying to catch the bottom You're not gonna pull it off no matter how hard you try You're better off accumulating now while you've still got the chance
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EXPECTATIONS FOR SPCX ARE SIMPLE Short below $123 Long above $100 $150 - already shorted $135 - already shorted The long above $100 is just a short-term trade, gotta see how the chart approaches that level SpaceX stock is going through a major repricing right now It was way overhyped, retail got burned, IPO buyers got burned too That's why shorting right now is the most logical play I told you about this before
🚨 THIS IS HOW YOU BECOME EXIT LIQUIDITY FOR SPACEX Better to buy $SPCX a year from now, not today Even today's Mag 7 stocks went through brutal corrections during their first year after IPO: - Meta: -60%+ - Tesla: -80%+ - Amazon: -90%+ - Nvidia: -85%+ - Apple: -69%+ The median maximum drawdown for major tech IPOs over the past few decades is around 60-70% Nobody escaped the drop - that's the lesson here The reasons are pretty simple, although apparently not everyone gets it: IPOs almost always happen at peak hype - valuations are inflated 4-6 months after the IPO, the lock-up period ends β†’ selling pressure hits the stock The market starts valuing the company more realistically and a repricing begins Even great companies often report losses or slowing growth during their first year as public companies, which disappoints investors On top of that, macro factors like recessions, higher interest rates, and other shocks can make the selloff even worse For SpaceX, the setup could look very similar: Record-breaking IPO, massive hype, $2 trillion valuation Based on historical data, the odds of a 50%+ drawdown in the first year are pretty high I've looked at most of these companies, and the best buying opportunities almost always came 6-18 months after the IPO The people who bought Meta, Tesla, or Amazon a year after they went public made fortunes But the people who bought at the IPO price usually sat in the red for a long time Pick the right moment and don't waste your money for nothing I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
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ETH IS GOING EXACTLY AS EXPECTED Hope everyone read my post about it 1,500 (done) β†’ 1,900 (done) β†’ 1,500 (next) β†’ 1,300 Another liquidity grab in a downtrend If you're longing here, you're losing If you're shorting at the right time, you're making money I told you about this before
ETHEREUM IS FORMING A BULL TRAP 2,450 β†’ 1,500 β†’ 1,900 (next) β†’ 1,500 β†’ 1,300 Bottoms don't form that fast, but they're trying to make you believe they do The trend is clearly bearish, and to break it ETH has to reclaim and hold above 2450 That's not gonna happen in the current market conditions Ethereum can't bottom before Bitcoin does I told you about this before
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Leni retweeted
BITCOIN HAS FORMED A DESCENDING CHANNEL 58K (done) β†’ 65K (done) β†’ 57K (next) β†’ 54K As I told you, it happened Most of you are still trying to catch the bottom You're not gonna pull it off no matter how hard you try You're better off accumulating now while you've still got the chance
BITCOIN IS COOKING SOMETHING 67K β†’ 58K β†’ 65K(next) β†’ 57K The last 3 months of the bear market I told you about this before
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BITCOIN HAS FORMED A DESCENDING CHANNEL 58K (done) β†’ 65K (done) β†’ 57K (next) β†’ 54K As I told you, it happened Most of you are still trying to catch the bottom You're not gonna pull it off no matter how hard you try You're better off accumulating now while you've still got the chance
BITCOIN IS COOKING SOMETHING 67K β†’ 58K β†’ 65K(next) β†’ 57K The last 3 months of the bear market I told you about this before
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EXPECTATIONS FOR SILVER ARE SIMPLE Short from 61 Short below 54 Spot buy below 48 Heavy spot buy below 39 Hold for 2-3 years, then sell Longs will get liquidated, shorts will be rewarded Long-term buyers will be rewarded even more That's exactly how wealth is built I told you about this before
SILVER WILL LOSE THIS SUPPORT 61 β†’ 88 β†’ 54 (next) β†’ 61 β†’ 45 This isn't done falling for silver, the bull rally was way too strong Nobody's ready for this but time to reprice I told you about this before
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BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2022 DOWNTREND 82K β†’ 58K β†’ 65K β†’ 57k (next) After the July rally ends The bottom will be in within the next 2 months Bitcoin looks strong right now, but not strong enough I told you about this before
This is the final stage before the cycle bottom Bitcoin is forming a descending channel This happened in 2022, and it's happening again right now Within the next 2-3 months, this bear market will be over See you this fall in the new $BTC bull cycle I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
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SOL IS COOKING SOMETHING 60 β†’ 85 β†’ 57 (next) β†’ 72 β†’ 51 Nobody is ready for this, but someone is quietly accumulating Every July during the bear market has come with a rally But that's about to end It'll be time for the cycle bottom to form Don't try to catch the bottom in Solana or Bitcoin Set your DCA buy targets and be smarter than the crowd I told you about this before
🚨 This scenario has repeated itself for 3 cycles in a row It shows up BEFORE EVERY major manipulation That's why I'm still bearish on Bitcoin You need to remember that there are 3 phases: - Distribution - Manipulation - Accumulation Right now we're in the MANIPULATION phase Distribution is already over But accumulation hasn't even started yet And I don't understand why most people don't see it - it's the same thing every cycle, just look at the chart, study Wyckoff, and it'll all make sense 2018 β†’ 2022 β†’ 2026 I also don't get the people waiting for $30k, think about it yourself - is it possible? Absolutely But what are the chances it actually happens? Pretty low This is exactly how smart money shakes out the last weak hands and turns you into exit liquidity So sure, you can buy here, but only through DCA, don't assume the bottom is in, you should have buy targets set for every major dip I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan In 2-3 weeks we'll see who's actually right Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important
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ETHEREUM IS FORMING A BULL TRAP 2,450 β†’ 1,500 β†’ 1,900 (next) β†’ 1,500 β†’ 1,300 Bottoms don't form that fast, but they're trying to make you believe they do The trend is clearly bearish, and to break it ETH has to reclaim and hold above 2450 That's not gonna happen in the current market conditions Ethereum can't bottom before Bitcoin does I told you about this before
BITCOIN IS COOKING SOMETHING 67K β†’ 58K β†’ 65K(next) β†’ 57K The last 3 months of the bear market I told you about this before
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Leni retweeted
GOLD WILL BREAK 4,000 SUPPORT 4,800 β†’ 3,940 β†’ 4,200 β†’ 3,850 (next) β†’ 4,000 This is a liquidity grab in a downtrend Nobody wants to believe it But that's how the market works and the bull rally is over This could continue all the way down to 3,450 I told you about this before
🚨 GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time: β†’ High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive β†’ Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets β†’ After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure β†’ Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold) β†’ A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets β†’ Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period Do you realize what this means? One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention That's exactly what's happening now I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
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GOLD WILL BREAK 4,000 SUPPORT 4,800 β†’ 3,940 β†’ 4,200 β†’ 3,850 (next) β†’ 4,000 This is a liquidity grab in a downtrend Nobody wants to believe it But that's how the market works and the bull rally is over This could continue all the way down to 3,450 I told you about this before
🚨 GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time: β†’ High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive β†’ Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets β†’ After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure β†’ Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold) β†’ A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets β†’ Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period Do you realize what this means? One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention That's exactly what's happening now I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
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SILVER WILL LOSE THIS SUPPORT 61 β†’ 88 β†’ 54 (next) β†’ 61 β†’ 45 This isn't done falling for silver, the bull rally was way too strong Nobody's ready for this but time to reprice I told you about this before
🚨SILVER IS REPEATING THE 2011-2013 CRASH SCENARIO I've seen this before, and I don't like how it ends Since January 2026, silver has dropped around 48% from its all-time high of $121.6/oz, making January and February some of the worst months since 2011 The scenario is repeating almost perfectly: Rally β†’ ATH β†’ Hawkish Fed β†’ ETF outflows β†’ Loss of momentum β†’ Deep Correction 1. After the ATH, profit-taking accelerated Just like in 2011, silver rallied for years on inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of a structural supply deficit But after the peak, the momentum started to fade 2. The Fed is once again the main source of pressure Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance and expectations of tighter monetary policy are strengthening the dollar and pushing real yields higher - a bearish scenario for silver With money rotating from commodities into equities as the U.S. economy stays resilient, silver tends to underperform gold 3. Safe-haven demand is fading If tensions around Iran, the Middle East, or other geopolitical conflicts continue to ease, the safe-haven premium will keep shrinking Money will start flowing back into risk assets again 4. ETF outflows and speculative positions are unwinding During the 2026 correction, silver ETF saw noticeable outflows as investors reduced exposure and risk appetite faded Historically a sign of changing market sentiment 5. Margin requirements and leverage Back in 2011, CME margin hikes were one of the main catalysts behind the crash Today's market once again looks dominated by speculation after a parabolic rally 6. Fundamentally, silver is stronger than in 2011 due to a structural supply deficit and rising industrial demand However, the speculative and investment side of the market is behaving almost the same way it did in 2011 And unlike gold, silver doesn't benefit much from central bank buying, since central banks mainly accumulate gold, not silver If the 2011-2013 analogy keeps playing out: The current decline may not be the end of the correction A move down to the $50-55 range is possible, and in a more bearish scenario, silver could even fall toward $40+ over the next 6-18 months before industrial demand and supply deficits take control again I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important
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