Geopolitical analyst | Middle East & US Affairs. PhD @UniofBath Lecturer @lebamericanuni Columnist @LorientLeJour Fellow @IREMAM7310
Beirut/Paris
Joined May 2013
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A study I recently published on #Lebanon’s foreign policy, its structural problems and how to deal with the current challenges regionally and internationally. Might be useful after US midterm election results.
arab-reform.net/publication/…
Joe Macaron retweeted
كيف ستنعكس نتائج الانتخابات النصفية الأميركية على لبنان؟ جو معكرون يجيب
#الجديد #الاربعا_بنص_الجمعة
Joe Macaron retweeted
الباحث في الشؤون الاميركية والشرق اوسطية الدكتور جو معكرون لـ"النهار": خسارة الكونغرس قد تقيّد حركة الرئيس الاميركي، لكنّ قرار الحرب مع إيران تحكمه حسابات تتجاوز الانتخابات.
Joe Macaron retweeted
#Focus | In Michigan, Democratic Party unity under strain
Abdul El-Sayed’s rise reflects a broader shift from the American left, at a time when his rival within the party, Haley Stevens, has backed the Republican candidate.
Read @macaronjoe's article below
today.lorientlejour.com/arti…
Joe Macaron retweeted
💡 #Éclairage | Élections de mi-mandat : un référendum sur Donald Trump
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
✍️ #Commentaire | Le dilemme israélien : le « netanyahuisme » sans Netanyahu
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
#Commentary | Amid regional instability, Lebanon faces the test of four voids
Lebanon is approaching the end of the year facing four voids that could reinforce one another.
Read @macaronjoe's commentary below
today.lorientlejour.com/arti…
Joe Macaron retweeted
💡 #Éclairage | Le Yémen expose les limites de l’alliance américano-saoudienne
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
✍️ #Commentaire | Le Liban est entré dans l’ère israélienne… à nouveau
Par @macaronjoe ⤵️
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
✍️ Du Venezuela à l'Iran, Trump à la conquête du pétrole et de ses voies maritimes.
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
#Éclairage | Trump face à l’Iran : quatre à six semaines pour obtenir une victoire.
« Trump espère probablement que l’escalade débouchera sur un meilleur accord, et non sur une guerre sans fin. »
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Protocol is not just symbolism; it reflects leverage. President Aoun should have been careful in handling meeting w/ Rubio. Iraq's PM met Trump at White House, received Treasury secretary at his residence. In 2009, Michel Suleiman met Secretary Gates at White House. Optics matter
Joe Macaron retweeted
#Éclairage | La guerre contre l’Iran fragilise Trump à l’approche des élections de mi-mandat.
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
Joe Macaron retweeted
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s scheduled visit to Washington next week could be overshadowed by a resumption of the US-Iran war, with less importance given to the Israel-Hezbollah front amid slow implementation of a framework deal.
"The only objective of Aoun’s visit is to entice Trump to pressure Israel to withdraw from Lebanon and to demonstrate that Lebanese authorities can be a reliable partner in implementing the framework agreement, but Lebanese officials realistically have little to no leverage," political analyst Joe Macaron told TNA. @macaronjoe
Check out the full in-depth story on our website
1/4 My latest analysis for the Stimson Center examines the #Lebanon #Israel Security Annex.
Rather than solving the withdrawal-disarmament dilemma, the annex risks institutionalizing it.
stimson.org/2026/lebanon-isr…
3/4 The agreement creates a new implementation mechanism but leaves its two most important questions unanswered:
• What if Hezbollah refuses to disarm?
• What if Israel refuses to withdraw?
Joe Macaron retweeted
@macaronjoe smart analysis of the security annex of the framework agreement between #Lebanon & #Israel provides a much needed context to the ongoing negotiations in Rome. stimson.org/2026/lebanon-isr… @StimsonMEP
Joe Macaron retweeted
✍️ #Analyse | Washington et Téhéran : une guerre de volontés au service des négociations
L’objectif de Trump apparaît moins comme la recherche d’une victoire militaire décisive que comme la restauration d’un rapport de force favorable avant une éventuelle reprise des pourparlers.
Par @macaronjoe
lorientlejour.com/article/15…
