RIP 🙏
MAC retweeted
Dumping into FOMC.
You already know the drill. I’ve been playing this particular pivot for two years now, and it has proven its effectiveness when inversing the narrative.
Expectations > reality. The move happens before the data.
The interesting part is that whenever $BTC has pumped into FOMC, it has had an insanely high tendency to reverse back down.
Whereas when it dumps clearly into the event and forms a more bearish narrative than bullish, it reverses back to the upside.
You know what I’m implying here. We’re dumping into it, so be prepared for a recovery afterwards.
MAC retweeted
We promised never to forget September 11, 2001 25 years already. But most importantly we must remember the innocent children whose lives were lost that day children who had done nothing wrong
May they never be forgotten
#NeverForget #NYC
#11septembre
MAC retweeted
POWERFUL: #BUCS QB BAKER MAYFIELD SAYS HIS MARRIAGE AND CAREER WERE FAILING UNTIL HE FOUND GOD.
“My identity was a football player, God taught me a lesson, take my career down to studs. I’m more than a player. For me to see that, I had to hit rock bottom”
MAC retweeted
Blessed is the crisis that made you grow, the fall that made you gaze up to Heaven, the problem that made you look for God!
St. Padre Pio
People won't appreciate the good things that you've done and will only focus on the negative. We're human, we have families.
Chris Paul on the Clippers cutting him during his retirement season:
“What’s interesting about that whole situation is, it’s probably one of the most disrespectful things that I’ve endured… I’ve been through a lot of wild stuff in my career, and having older kids and a wife who’s very tapped in, and they know the daily goings on as far as that team and that organization. Obviously I was upset, but my family, my people, everybody… I think just because of the investment we made in the team for as long as we have, and to see the way stuff was handled. What it lets you know is that no matter what you do or what you’ve done, nobody cares”
via @DanielLubetzky, h/t @cptdankkk
MAC retweeted
A college student in Texas broke his wrist and ordered an Uber instead of an ambulance because of the cost.
His driver refused payment, stayed with him at the hospital for 6 hours, and missed a day of work so he wouldn’t be alone.
7 years later, they’re still friends. ❤️
MAC retweeted
Cristiano Ronaldo expresses his deep gratitude to God, saying, “God has given me everything, more than I ever expected.” He recognizes that his achievements and blessings are gifts from God. His words reflect humility, gratitude, and faith in God.
He cracked the code.
In 1986 a guy got kicked out of every casino in Vegas for counting cards. So he flew to Hong Kong with $180,000 and started betting on horses instead. He walked away with almost $900 million.
It's Bill Benter. He figured horse racing was just another counting problem. Same math, more moving parts.
He and a partner showed up with $180k and a computer. Benter spent years teaching that computer to guess one thing, the real chance each horse had to win. If his number was better than the odds the bookies gave, he bet. If not, he skipped it.
That's the whole trick. Expected value.
EV = p · b − (1 − p)
Only bet when your win chance p, at odds b, is worth more than your chance of losing.
This recording was never meant to be some hidden gem. Nobody expected Professor Tsitsiklis to hand the whole foundation away in 45 minutes, but that's exactly what happens on the board. Students in that room pay over $80,000 a year to sit through it. It's free right here. It's free right here.
Every quant, every professional bettor, every hedge fund analyst started with this exact hour. Benter just watched it and actually did the homework.
Almost nobody knows this lecture even exists. Watch it before it gets taken down.
The answer is in this video.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The video shows basic introductory probability concepts from a publicly available MIT lecture recorded long after Benter's work. Benter developed sophisticated models based on specific 1980s academic papers, large datasets, and custom programming—not EV from this class.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Bent… bloomberg.com/news/features/… ocw.mit.edu/courses/6-041s…
MAC retweeted
In 1986 a guy got kicked out of every casino in Vegas for counting cards. So he flew to Hong Kong with $180,000 and started betting on horses instead. He walked away with almost $900 million.
It's Bill Benter. He figured horse racing was just another counting problem. Same math, more moving parts.
He and a partner showed up with $180k and a computer. Benter spent years teaching that computer to guess one thing, the real chance each horse had to win. If his number was better than the odds the bookies gave, he bet. If not, he skipped it.
That's the whole trick. Expected value.
EV = p · b − (1 − p)
Only bet when your win chance p, at odds b, is worth more than your chance of losing.
This recording was never meant to be some hidden gem. Nobody expected Professor Tsitsiklis to hand the whole foundation away in 45 minutes, but that's exactly what happens on the board. Students in that room pay over $80,000 a year to sit through it. It's free right here. It's free right here.
Every quant, every professional bettor, every hedge fund analyst started with this exact hour. Benter just watched it and actually did the homework.
Almost nobody knows this lecture even exists. Watch it before it gets taken down.
The answer is in this video.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The video shows basic introductory probability concepts from a publicly available MIT lecture recorded long after Benter's work. Benter developed sophisticated models based on specific 1980s academic papers, large datasets, and custom programming—not EV from this class.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Bent… bloomberg.com/news/features/… ocw.mit.edu/courses/6-041s…
MAC retweeted
Booking Tony Robbins today costs $1 million for a single day. this is a 21-minute tape from inside his own house, filmed over 30 years ago, where he breaks down exactly how to get anyone to say yes. same $1 million material. completely free.
this is a rare, unfiltered tape from decades before this man started charging billionaires just to be in the room with him.
people give you two excuses when they say no, he says. not enough time. not enough money. neither is true. the real reason is they don't believe it's worth it yet, and that's not a money problem, that's a state problem.
so he teaches something he calls attack and confess. instead of arguing with the objection, you confess your own. "I had a chance to go to this thing six months ago and I didn't go until two months ago," he tells the room. "I can't even imagine the time I lost." the room goes quiet. nobody argues back.
he calls it getting someone on the yes train. every small yes you get compounds into the next one, until saying no to the final ask feels harder than saying yes. by the time he asks someone to sign, he says, they've already agreed to it five times over without realizing it.
21 minutes. that's all it takes to walk away knowing the exact two moves people pay $1 million a day to learn: how to read anyone's state, and how to move it. most people spend years in sales guessing at this. he wrote it down on a flip chart in his living room in under half an hour.
a seat in that room cost $125 back then. today it's a $1 million-a-day to sit in front of him.
The tape is free right now, and the answer is in this video.