Modeling expected outcomes to simulate MLB games, inspired by @MoneyPuckdotcom. Code: https://xitter.cf/t.co/w2C0gUFRSE Creator: @DerekGrifka

Joined June 2024
I've working on a website that can help you seamlessly dig beyond the box score, more quickly understand what type of player someone is, and even learn how a team is structured. I'll try my best to explain below, but I encourage you to take a peak here: dtwbaseball.com
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15
33,147
⚾ Brewers @ Rays 10/26/2026 Final: Brewers 10, Rays 1 Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 86% / Rays 7% (Tie 7%) #MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp
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74
6,515
Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/25/2026) TB 13% @ MIL 87% (MIL leads 2-0) Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 87% #MLB #Postseason
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3,148
⚾ Rays @ Brewers 10/24/2026 Final: Rays 4, Brewers 5 Deserve-to-Win: Rays 5% / Brewers 89% (Tie 6%) #MLB #RaysUp #ThisIsMyCrew
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370
17,766
⚾ Rays @ Brewers 10/23/2026 Final: Rays 2, Brewers 3 Deserve-to-Win: Rays 14% / Brewers 75% (Tie 11%) #MLB #RaysUp #ThisIsMyCrew
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180
9,969
🚨 Rays are luck merchants! 🚨 ⚾ Rays @ Guardians 10/17/2026 Final: Rays 7, Guardians 3 Deserve-to-Win: Rays 27% / Guardians 59% (Tie 14%) #MLB #RaysUp #GuardsBall
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300
59,247
My model takes into account temperature and had the Caminero batted ball as an 82% HR probability. The Guardians had 2 more barrels and 6 less strikeouts as well
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3,319