Working on it. Don’t have an overlap if price targets yet calculated for Silver or Gold but may as I am working on weekly subs reports for each today with Wyatt and Pouyan.
Reminder that Tuesday, Nov 4, is not only mid- term elections in U.S. but also mid point of the current Mercury retrograde cycle when sudden reversals can happen +/-2 trading days and usually within only one day.
Next annual webinar will be in late Feb. but we will probably schedule an options one in early-Mid Dec once we get Forecast season completed. Thank you for asking.
It puts it in doubt now that we have news of the corruption and hack in crypto exchange that we usually see at the 4-year cycle low which is - was due in October 2026 +/- 8 months. I tgt that it came in on the early side with BTC back in June/July when it dropped about 60% from high of late last year, when I projected 75/90% drop into Sept/Nov.
But rally never got above a 50% retracement of that decline, so the lower range is back in play now in the next 1-3 weeks if the retrogrades continue their carnage.
Thing is, predicting market behavior under Mercury- Venus retrogrades is difficult and most analysts who try are usually off. It’s like trying to map the path of a tornado . We may be just in the eye of it now or the middle of an unstoppable force that has more fury to release. This is shy we don’t make position trading recommendations during these periods. We stand aside or just do short term aggressive trading
Replying to @mmacycles
If the crest is in an the big decline is underway, does that negate the optimism on BTC?
At the moment 3600, but that could change next week. Time more important and easier to estimate than price, but we do have methods for price projections that are very good when we have overlap, which I will be calculating next week for the Nov 13 end of double retrograde tricksters.
Big chance to me it’s in. But still too early to confirm. See prior post just sent in answer to similar question.
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Replying to @mmacycles
Hi Ray, how big chance do you think S&P has reached its 18 yrs peak on 6 Oct? Thank you!
Evidence or confirmation won’t come for some time. Probably not before low of late March is taken out.
Don’t wait for confirmation as that will miss most of the decline. You just have to start with each primary cycle crest now and the one from Aug-Oct could very well be “the one.” Next strong signal will be a lower primary cycle high in the next primary cycle after this one bottoms. So the current ATH is your stop loss on hedges or shorts.
I personally think the 18-year crest is in and the big decline is underway and long term cycle low is due anytime by Nov 2027. But you can’t confirm that yet until you take out 50-week cycle low of late March.
I also expect another rally btw Nov 20-Jan 15 for next primary cycle crest and another shorting/hedging time band for next down draft.
Replying to @mmacycles
Ray stock question: S&P 500 and Nasdaq made new lows below last weeks low. Do you need lower or is this evidence enough for you to declare the top is in and 35-65% follows? Thx
Brief markets update.
As expected, retro Mercury and Venus together has not been favorable for markets - stocks (NASDAQ especially, metals, crypto, or grains. Gold and Silver have broke to new lows for this year now.
The good news is that all are entering time bands for primary cycle lows in this time band which was outlined as one of three most important of the year in our recent webinars ( options, mid- year, and Feb). The other two were also primary bottoms.
Additionally, Venus has retrograded back into Venus which has high correlation to half or full primary cycle lows in Silver.
We are also in time band for half- primary cycle low in Bitcoin. It will be hard to pinpoint exact date for these lows, but they are due by Nov 20. Best guess is within one week of Nov 13 when both Mercury and Venus turn direct.
On another note, the once a year discounts on Forecast Book and all subscription reports - including Daily Options, our most popular - ends this weekend.
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Yes, thanks.
Problem with metals is that forecast had to be made by deadline of November, just before that last surge up began into January. We got the timing right of a sizable decline from a top due within five months of Feb 2026 (top was Jan 29), but at the time of the deadline there was a chance the high might already have been in. If not, Gold could hit the high given, which it did, but Silver went way above, which distorted our price calculations in effect at the time.
Still, the book was quite on target in so many other areas and markets it covered for one year ahead.
Replying to @mmacycles
Yes it did good. The stock forecast was near perfect. Silver did mor ethen you expected but did see the big dip after 120. Gold didn see the low 3600 area and then the big run up but your 5500~target hit.
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Reminder. With Venus retrograde and Mercury about to join it thru Nov 13, don’t expect markets to react rationally. Do t expect leaders to react rationally. Don’t expect buy and sell triggers to work out as they might normally do. Instead expect chaos and a slew of false technical and chart pattern set ups as well as misleading or miscalculated posts by tweeters and leaders. Good time to be a skeptic.
Not the best climate for market analysis short term, although there are cases of real breakouts that have happened into the middle of Mercury retro (Nov 3). Just not too many.
Our motto is to take profits too soon if entering a trading position and not wait it out too long - maybe 1-4 days. And avoid getting trapped in complex hedges that can cause confusion and double losses if initiated into a losing trade.
Not a bad time to lie low thru Nov 13, and not raise your flag publicly.
Stats show 35% historical frequency of sharp sell of with Sun- Moon in air/air. A time to be on alert for it. Didn’t happen this time (65% frequency carried). We did record an isolated low however today, which is not a big sell off, but a modest one nonetheless.
Replying to @mmacycles
@mmacycles Ray, i have a question about Silver, you write in your weekly that we could see a sharp sell off in silver in this time zone
but actually we goes up, hmm?
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Yes of course. Late 2027 looks like a very important time. Could be the end of a bear market if the high just formed. If not, it could even be a high that late. Too early to tell other than geocosmics point to a possible long term reversal then too.
Both a long term 18-year cycle crest and trough are due by end of this decade, in that order. Every primary cycle crest (18-week cycle on avg) in 2026-27 is now a candidate for the long-term cycle top in the DJIA (not necessarily in the NASDAQ, which has a different cycle.
Replying to @mmacycles
What about the 2027 period. Seems like that could be the prime time for the crash as well. 18.5 cycle ?
Yep. Turning out so far. This week is important, especially if we see a gap down below last week’s low any time this week.
I received an interesting question today from a subscriber of the MMZ Daily Options report that I’d like to share with our followers on X.
“HI Ray, Just wanted to get your thoughts on the Oct-Nov period and Feb-March 2027 period. The gecosmics look very bearish during hose times. Do you see a stck mkt crash in any of those windows ? Thanks in advance.”
I find this interesting for many reasons, First, the 18 year cycle is now in its 17th year. So it’s old and a top is due, but exactly when is the question.
Second, since the low of March 9, 2009, the DJIA has appreciated 750%. The record appreciation from 18-year low to high has been 783.5%, so we are already in the second strongest bull market in history and nearing that record.
Third, the last rally to the previous 18-year cycle high of Oct 12, 2007, was in the 8th week of that last primary cycle. In the NAZ, it was 11 weeks.
If measured from the low of the current primary cycle, 8-11 weeks from now would be Sept 21- Oct 19, which finds Venus retrograde on Oct 3, an Astro signature that correlates with 50-week cycles in about 50% of cases, which is high.
So, in answer to your question of a possible crash this Oct-Nov, I would say a crash or top of importance followed by a steep decline is very possible Sep-Nov. it’s also also the mid-term election period when emotional intensity will be at a high.
You never know which primary cycle high will be the final one until it breaks hard. But this period has my attention as a strong possibility.









