ALT SEA ball, 4th and 1 at KC 24, Q4 01:16, score SEA 20 to 3 KC. Model predicts the coach will go for it (70% confidence). The model's optimal-play pick is essentially a toss-up between the options.
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted go for it; they went for it and converted. Game record so far: 13 out of 13 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 10 at KC 42, Q4 03:25, score KC 3 to 20 SEA. Model predicts the coach will go for it (89% confidence). The model's optimal-play pick is essentially a toss-up between the options.
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted go for it; they went for it but didn't convert. Game record so far: 12 out of 12 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 3 at SEA 27, Q4 08:41, score KC 3 to 13 SEA. Model predicts the coach will field goal attempt (71% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play disagrees with that prediction: go for it (+3.4% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted field goal attempt; they attempted a field goal but missed it. Game record so far: 11 out of 11 correct (100%).
ALT SEA ball, 4th and 5 at SEA 49, Q4 15:00, score SEA 13 to 3 KC. Model predicts the coach will punt (95% confidence). The model's optimal-play pick is essentially a toss-up between the options.
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted punt; they punted for 38 yards. Game record so far: 10 out of 10 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 9 at SEA 32, Q3 02:16, score KC 0 to 13 SEA. Model predicts the coach will field goal attempt (90% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play agrees with that prediction: field goal attempt (+3.5% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted field goal attempt; they attempted a field goal and made it. Game record so far: 9 out of 9 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 1 at KC 44, Q3 06:22, score KC 0 to 13 SEA. Model predicts the coach will go for it (72% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play agrees with that prediction: go for it (+2.0% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted go for it; they went for it and converted. Game record so far: 8 out of 8 correct (100%).
ALT SEA ball, 4th and 15 at KC 17, Q3 08:17, score SEA 10 to 0 KC. Model predicts the coach will field goal attempt (100% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play agrees with that prediction: field goal attempt (+5.3% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted field goal attempt; they attempted a field goal and made it. Game record so far: 7 out of 7 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 5 at KC 40, Q2 01:38, score KC 0 to 10 SEA. Model predicts the coach will punt (96% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play disagrees with that prediction: go for it (+3.2% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted punt; they punted for 24 yards. Game record so far: 6 out of 6 correct (100%).
ALT KC ball, 4th and 1 at SEA 49, Q2 06:52, score KC 0 to 3 SEA. Model predicts the coach will go for it (82% confidence). The model's own pick for the optimal play agrees with that prediction: go for it (+5.2% win probability).
ALT Prediction was correct. Predicted go for it; they went for it and converted. Game record so far: 5 out of 5 correct (100%).