Centre for Economy and Growth @orfonline.

India
Joined January 2017
The real #AI risk isn't its employment cost but who bears the transition cost. Young workers are hit hardest: one study finds employment for 22–25 year-olds in AI-exposed jobs down 16% relative to older peers. The entry rung is where the ladder breaks first: @BardhanArya or-f.org/39875 #Economy
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#India’s states are growing at different speeds, but economic growth alone does not guarantee upward mobility. What matters is whether states can convert growth into better jobs, higher wages, and sustained income gains for households: Manish Vaidya & Kumkum Mohata or-f.org/40166 #IndianEconomy #ViksitBharat2047
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#India’s 7.8% GDP growth in Q1 2026-27 confirms strong momentum. But #GDP measures the flow of output, not the stock of assets beneath it. Inclusive wealth asks whether produced, human, and natural capital are growing with the economy: @soumyabh_swears or-f.org/40340
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#Sugar hit ₹63/kg in India on 24 Aug — up 29% in a month. The world market had a 2.2 million tonne surplus, with prices still falling. #India's sugar shock was made at home, not imported: @BardhanArya or-f.org/40355 #SugarPrices #Agriculture
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#India needs a s Global Capability Centre (GCC) strategy for the #AI age: AI-ready skilling, geographic dispersal, regulatory clarity, startup linkages, and real-time tracking of task-level labour-market shifts:@BardhanArya & @soumyabh_swears or-f.org/39211
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#BRICS’ success should not be measured by how many members it adds or how much finance it mobilises. Its real test is whether it can give developing countries greater agency over their development choices and reshape global economic governance: @DrNilanjanG or-f.org/39892 #DevelopmentFinance
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#EconomicDiplomacy cannot compensate for a weak business environment. For investors, transparent policymaking, reliable infrastructure, lower logistics costs and easy access to land and electricity remain more fundamental than outreach alone: @AVIRAL96 or-f.org/40198 #India
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#Sugar prices could have been ₹7-12/kg lower, and mills still profitable, had India opened its borders instead of imposing a 100 percent tariff—a policy that moved money from consumers to stockholders: @BardhanArya or-f.org/40355#SugarPrices #Agriculture
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For developing economies, diversification is ultimately about expanding choice: more currencies, payment channels, sources of finance, trade routes, and economic partners. #BRICS 3.0 could test whether that optionality can become durable interoperability: @DrNilanjanG or-f.org/40543 #GlobalSouth
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This report argues that AI will reshape—not replace—#India’s Global Capability Centre (GCC) model. GCCs are expected to remain important, but future growth will be more capability-driven, senior-skill-intensive, and less labour-absorbing than in previous offshoring waves:@BardhanArya & @soumyabh_swears or-f.org/39211
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Porter and Kramer’s Creating Shared Value fits Scope 3 neatly. Investing in smallholder productivity cuts emissions at the source, secures future supply and lifts farm incomes, improving climate performance and competitiveness: @BardhanArya, @shoba_suri, Nitin Rao, Kritika Banerjee, Sjoerd Panhuysen, & Sumit Roy. Read the full report 👉 or-f.org/40658 #Scope3 #NetZero #ESG
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In #Ethiopia, ~71 million people still lack sufficient electricity access, while Egypt's LNG imports were up 188% YoY to 7.8 Mt in 2025, underscoring that #BRICS energy cooperation is as much about access and security as it is about decarbonisation. Edited by : @HeenMak & @jhanvi_t or-f.org/40027 #EnergyAccess
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#WestBengal's 5x growth vision would require a sustained 7.25% annual growth rate through 2047. The current trend sits at 4.69% — a gap this report ‘Bikoshito Bongo: An Evidence-Based Policy Roadmap for West Bengal’s 5X Economy’,frames as ambitious but achievable: @DrNilanjanG, @BardhanArya, Kumkum Mohata & @diyaashahz or-f.org/40347
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#India's recent #FTAs increasingly include provisions on MSMEs, #gender, and sustainable development. This brief by @sunaina_kumar & @soumyabh_swears examines how far these provisions translate into gains for smaller firms and women. or-f.org/40460
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Porter and Kramer’s Creating Shared Value fits Scope 3 neatly. Investing in smallholder productivity cuts emissions at the source, secures future supply and lifts farm incomes, improving climate performance and competitiveness: @BardhanArya, @shoba_suri, Nitin Rao, Kritika Banerjee, Sjoerd Panhuysen, & Sumit Roy. Read the full report 👉 or-f.org/40658 #Scope3 #NetZero #ESG
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The analysis, written by @DrNilanjanG and edited by @shoba_suri & @Shruti794, shows that, if only 25–35% of the structural shock is transmitted to consumers over the short- to medium-term, headline CPI inflation may remain within the RBI's tolerance band of 2–6%, at roughly 4.5–5.0%. or-f.org/39169
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China's hukou reform is not just about welfare — it is part of Beijing's broader push to build a unified national market and boost domestic demand amid economic strain and a trade war with the #US. By freeing the flow of labour, China aims to make its economy and its exports more competitive: @kalpitm or-f.org/39296 #China #ChineseEconomy
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While #India remains a coal-dependent industrialiser, it has also emerged as a transition voice with significant feats in solar power and green hydrogen, shaping its ability to bridge different clusters within the #BRICS cooperation architecture. Edited by : @HeenMak & @jhanvi_t or-f.org/40027 #BRICSIndia2026 #EnergyTransition
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