Paul Soulos (@paulsoulos) header
Paul Soulos (@paulsoulos) profile picture

Technical Advisor to the CEO @MicrosoftAI. Previously Neurosymbolic PhD @JhuCogsci, intern @ibmresearch and @msftresearch, and software @fitbit and @Google.

Baltimore, MD
Joined March 2010
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We now have state-of-the-art pre-trained base models in the 3T-parameter weight class, built entirely in-house at MAI. Post-training results coming soon -- stay tuned! Lots of details in our technical blog post. microsoft.ai/news/frontier-p…
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Paul Soulos retweeted
🤖🧠NEW PAPER🧠🤖 (The result of an 8-year project!) LLMs seem very different from symbolic systems. Yet LLMs excel in symbolic domains (e.g., language/code/math). How do they do it? Our finding: LLM representations have implicit symbolic structure! Link in thread ⬇️ 1/n
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Paul Soulos retweeted
"MAI-Thinking-1: Building a Hill-Climbing Machine" Microsoft just did something almost no frontier AI lab has done before They shared how they engineered the data behind a frontier-scale model in unusual depth. From data collection and eval decontamination, to data mix scaling, this paper lays out how they managed 30T pretraining tokens plus 3.55T midtraining tokens Surprisingly, they also used no third-party distillation and no open-source training datasets The model itself is not a jaw-dropping release, but the paper might be the best open look yet at a frontier-scale data factory and hill-climbing loop.
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Paul Soulos retweeted
by the time you are done reading this bad boy you will already be behind on the frontier
WOW microsoft new "MAI Thinking 1" model comes with a 109 page tech report that looks REALLY detailed, this is amazing
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It was an honor working on MAI-Thinking-1! A lot of thought and effort went into this model, and we want to share some learnings with you. 109 pages worth 😅 microsoft.ai/wp-content/uplo…
Super excited to announce seven new world-class MAI models today. They represent what we consider a new era in AI designed to keep you in control and on the frontier. First is our text foundation model, MAI-Thinking-1, exceptionally strong on reasoning and SWE tasks. - It’s a 35B active parameter MoE with a 256K context window. Independent human raters on Surge prefer it for overall quality in blind side-by-sides versus Sonnet 4.6, and it’s achieved 97% on AIME 2025, the key measure of its general-purpose reasoning abilities. - It's at 53% on SWE Bench Pro, placing it right alongside Opus 4.6 on one of the toughest coding benchmarks. - And since we co-designed our models with our own silicon, MAI-Thinking-1 is optimized on our MAIA 200 chip. Benchmarking head-to-head against the GB200, we see 30% better performance per dollar as well as a 1.4x performance-per-watt gain when running our MAI models on the MAIA 200 end-to-end. Next is MAI-Image-2.5 and its Flash variant. Two super strong models now at #2 on the leaderboards, surpassing the score of Nano Banana 2 on image editing. Last for now is MAI-Code-1-Flash, our new inference efficient coding model, especially tuned for VS Code and GitHub Copilot CLI. - Code-1-Flash achieves 51% on SWE Bench Pro, despite having just 5B parameters, putting it closer to Haiku in size but cheaper in cost. All of this is the foundation for Microsoft Frontier Tuning. It lets you customize our models to create custom, company-specific agents that only you control. You can make our model, your model. Your data. Your agents. Your moat. Early adopters are already seeing a difference. When we tuned our models for McKinsey’s tasks, MAI delivered the highest win rate, outperforming GPT-5.5 on quality, while being 10x lower on cost. Also really excited to be collaborating with the amazing team at Mayo Clinic to jointly train a new frontier AI model for healthcare. Our announcements today mark another milestone on the road to humanist superintelligence. You can learn more and about our other new models in our latest blog: microsoft.ai/news/building-a…
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MAI-Thinking-1 is out! Excited to share what we are building and how climbing from scratch (no distillation) actually works: simple recipes, rigorous science, self-distillation, patience, and great infra. Check out our tech report has the full story of our RL climbs. microsoft.ai/wp-content/uplo…
Super excited to announce seven new world-class MAI models today. They represent what we consider a new era in AI designed to keep you in control and on the frontier. First is our text foundation model, MAI-Thinking-1, exceptionally strong on reasoning and SWE tasks. - It’s a 35B active parameter MoE with a 256K context window. Independent human raters on Surge prefer it for overall quality in blind side-by-sides versus Sonnet 4.6, and it’s achieved 97% on AIME 2025, the key measure of its general-purpose reasoning abilities. - It's at 53% on SWE Bench Pro, placing it right alongside Opus 4.6 on one of the toughest coding benchmarks. - And since we co-designed our models with our own silicon, MAI-Thinking-1 is optimized on our MAIA 200 chip. Benchmarking head-to-head against the GB200, we see 30% better performance per dollar as well as a 1.4x performance-per-watt gain when running our MAI models on the MAIA 200 end-to-end. Next is MAI-Image-2.5 and its Flash variant. Two super strong models now at #2 on the leaderboards, surpassing the score of Nano Banana 2 on image editing. Last for now is MAI-Code-1-Flash, our new inference efficient coding model, especially tuned for VS Code and GitHub Copilot CLI. - Code-1-Flash achieves 51% on SWE Bench Pro, despite having just 5B parameters, putting it closer to Haiku in size but cheaper in cost. All of this is the foundation for Microsoft Frontier Tuning. It lets you customize our models to create custom, company-specific agents that only you control. You can make our model, your model. Your data. Your agents. Your moat. Early adopters are already seeing a difference. When we tuned our models for McKinsey’s tasks, MAI delivered the highest win rate, outperforming GPT-5.5 on quality, while being 10x lower on cost. Also really excited to be collaborating with the amazing team at Mayo Clinic to jointly train a new frontier AI model for healthcare. Our announcements today mark another milestone on the road to humanist superintelligence. You can learn more and about our other new models in our latest blog: microsoft.ai/news/building-a…
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I'm hiring a Technical Advisor for Microsoft Superintelligence, working in the Office of the CEO of Microsoft AI. The right person has deep ML research experience and thinks as much about what AI means strategically as how to make it work technically. 🧵
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You're comfortable with ambiguity, can write an exec memo on Monday and prototype a model evaluation on Tuesday, and communicate complex ideas clearly to any audience. You'd work across the entire AI stack: from data center infra through pre-training to evals.
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Claude Code is the REPL. Agent SDK is the main.py. One is a tool; the other is infrastructure.
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Before recursive self-improvement, we'll see recursive collaborative improvement — AI tools making AI researchers dramatically more productive. Given how good Claude Code + Opus 4.5 are, I expect Opus 5 to be a step change. Anthropic's research velocity is going to pull ahead.
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"The very abilities that allow Claude to be used in these attacks also make it crucial for cyber defense." I’m a big fan of Anthropic’s work, but the incentives feel misaligned here. It creates a protection racket where you need to buy a shield from the person selling the sword.
Replying to @AnthropicAI
We believe this is the first documented case of a large-scale AI cyberattack executed without substantial human intervention. It has significant implications for cybersecurity in the age of AI agents. Read more: anthropic.com/news/disruptin…
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MAI-Image-1 has shipped 🚢 Try it now at bing.com/create or the Bing app, plus it'll generate custom art for your Story Mode audio at copilot.microsoft.com/labs/a… It really excels at: -artistic lighting/photorealistic detail -nature scenes -food! Drop your creations below ⤵️
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❣️“Underpinning LLMs is the idea of scaling, which is too often misunderstood as more parameters. Scaling is about using massive compute effectively to maximise the throughput of data ingestion into the learning process to obtain more capable models.”
The only bitter lesson is that LLMs have succeeded beyond any expert expectations. Underpinning LLMs is the idea of scaling, which is too often misunderstood as more parameters. Scaling is about using massive compute effectively to maximise the throughput of data ingestion into the learning process to obtain more capable models. We are still far from hitting the limits in this. We are still compute hungry because there is a ton more we could achieve if only we had more compute, from experimental ablations to data acquisition and curation. Scaling is largely about data and evals. The models are now trained on almost all the web and equally large (but growing) self generated synthetic data. sifting through such vasts quantities of data (the whole of the human creation) requires formidable engineering and intelligent ideas. This is what differentiates most models. AI is finally in the hands of billions of users, and with it come billions of tasks - every reasonable user need. This scaling in tasks and evaluations is many orders of magnitude larger than pre-LLMs. Having the right architecture matters, but we know several alternatives could all work well, eg replacing attention in Transformers for RNNs and interleaving such layers with local layers. What matters is fine ablations to maximise hardware usage. This is the realm of sophisticated high-precision engineering. It encompasses semiconductor design, datacenter design, distributed systems, MFU, etc. There is fascinating work on flow matching, JEPA, sparser MoEs, etc, that is all consistent with scaling. I’m terrible at predictions, but in this we have stayed the course. There’s been pleasant surprises like the effectiveness of reasoning, which while allowing for less parameters, still demands even more compute. Sparser multimodal MoEs also will allow for better continual learning. This is an old idea, eg arxiv.org/pdf/1108.3298, which is finally being done at scale. Successful scaling is mostly about organising people into effective teams for research, development and production. They have to be teams of happy and ambitious people who put the team first. Yes, tech VCs and CEOs: work life balance matters to achieve prologued success, something I think @demishassabis did really well at @GoogleDeepMind and which I promote at @MicrosoftAI. Bitter lesson: it really is all about scaling and hard work by thousands of amazing people. Hardly bitter, but hopeful and inspiring.
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I successfully defended my Ph.D. dissertation and started working at @MicrosoftAI as a Technical Advisor to the CEO! I'm excited to help make Copilot the most empowering, empathetic, and useful AI companion.
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Intriguing prediction from @TrentonBricken & @_sholtodouglas on @dwarkesh_sp's podcast: computer use agents "solved" in ~10 months 🖱️⌨️. This feels highly optimistic. I think that computer use is closer to robotics than language modeling. 1/2
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While both robotics and LM can be cast as next-token prediction, the token distribution for computer agents seems more like abstract motor programs (robotics) vs. language. This puts computer use on the trajectory of robotics which is slower than LLMs. 2/2
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r/AmItheAsshole seems perfect as a resource for AI alignment: nuanced moral dilemmas, rich community debates highlighting cultural complexities (albeit U.S.-centric), and reasoning chains that explicitly end in a binary moral verdict.
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Can Google please implement a computer-using agent that navigates the unsubscribe web interface on my behalf. The problem space feels pretty well defined.
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The speed improvements from NSA are very impressive, and I am trying to figure out why their sparse implementation actually outperforms full attention. My intuition is that the hierarchical computation is more expressive than standard full attention. Do you have any guesses?
🚀 Introducing NSA: A Hardware-Aligned and Natively Trainable Sparse Attention mechanism for ultra-fast long-context training & inference! Core components of NSA: • Dynamic hierarchical sparse strategy • Coarse-grained token compression • Fine-grained token selection 💡 With optimized design for modern hardware, NSA speeds up inference while reducing pre-training costs—without compromising performance. It matches or outperforms Full Attention models on general benchmarks, long-context tasks, and instruction-based reasoning. 📖 For more details, check out our paper here: arxiv.org/abs/2502.11089
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