Just an ordinary advocate for a single payer healthcare program. Also we can't have another Iraq. #M4A#NoWarWithIran
Joined August 2019
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Thought experiment: Imagine a swing voter weighing whether to vote D or R. They're given this chart of about ~50 issues. They're asked to pick the top 5 issues for why they'd choose D over R. Then pick another top 5 for why they'd choose R over D. Which issues would they choose?
On average I think the new weighing by the NYT/Siena polls was a good idea. The old weighing was still less accurate than the new weighing. They should continue with it for 2028.
To illustrate just how hard 2028 will be for the GOP, they could win the presidency in 2028 with the environment being ~R+3 and still lose both the house and the senate.
I would very much like our politics to move pass reconciliation and omnibus bills. The filibuster should end and the almost all of our bills should be single subject. Omnibus bills and reconciliation cost way too much time and often don't deliver for the amount of time wasted.
I think El-Sayed has a good plan in terms of things we should push to become law next congress.
-Ending the war
-Ending the tariffs and trade war
-Reversing the Medicaid cuts
I’d also add in AI regulation, permitting reform, and anti-corruption legislation.
I haven’t taken a look yet but in terms of error the pollsters look like they did worse than 2016 and maybe not as bad as 2020. The generic ballot miss from a lot of pollsters is particularly egregious and that might be even worse than 2020.
I think this election changed my perspective on ad spending. As long as a candidate gets a baseline of spending to get some level of ad saturation, candidate quality and aligning with voters on issues matters 10x more than a money advantage or being even close to money parity.
I know people talk about dummymanders but if we had fair maps across the country, democrats probably win 280-290 house seats minimum this election. We still need to pass national redistricting reform. We have until 2030 to do so but we should probably do it right now.
Dems should get rid of the filibuster next year instead of waiting for a trifecta in 2029 and I'll explain why. Looking at the map, we'll likely hold the house and senate until at least 2030. If Dems win the presidency that's 2 years with a trifecta. That's not a lot of time./1
We also need to pass legislation beyond just institutional reforms that will address voter's material concerns with the economy, prices, energy, healthcare, housing, the war, etc. Even if Trump vetoes most of those./8
Even if dems get a senate supermajority in 2028 you can't delude yourself into thinking we shouldn't get rid of the filibuster. Everything about the recent history of the last 2 dem presidents suggests not doing to would be a catastrophic mistake and lead to a failed presidency.
I owe some people an apology for thinking states like Mississippi and South Carolina were too red to ever flip on the senate level.