Goldbug + silverbug = PMbug. Owner/admin of https://xitter.cf/t.co/Ddld93GlQx. Promoting sound money, liberty, memes and sometimes terrible jokes.

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Joined November 2011
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UK Silver Flow 2021 to Jul 2026 - This shows the monthly NET imports/exports between the UK (LBMA) and major silver markets. A single silver bar represents a range from 0.1 to 100 metric tons. So for example, 4 silver bars represents a monthly total that is in the range of 300.1 to 400 metric tons. It gets a bit hectic after late 2024 and you might need to pause the video in places to fully absorb everything that was happening. Alas, I didn't have an unlimited budget for making this or I would have also incorporated some temperature gauges for LBMA vaulted ETF/ETP silver and/or LBMA silver vault stock free float totals for the complete picture. The UK customs data was drawn from @GoldFishCharts website and the music is by Angine de Poitrine.
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Oct 26 Gold & Silver Markets Morning Snapshot All quotes🚫taxes/duties for apples to apples comparisons. All quotes ~7am ET except as noted. Gold 🇮🇳 MCX Futures $4,062.75 (~$48.47🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot)🔥🔥🔥 🇮🇳 IBJA Spot $4,027.28 (~$13.00🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot)🔥🔥 🇨🇳 SFE Futures $4,022.36 ($12.75🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)🔥 🇨🇳 SGE Spot $4,009.87 ($0.26🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)👀 🇬🇧 LBMA Spot $4,014.28 🇺🇸 COMEX Oct26 Futures $3,993.50 (~$3.12🔻🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 18:00 Oct 25) Silver 🇨🇳 SFE Futures $60.81 (@ 03:30) 🇨🇳 SGE Spot $60.67 ($6.66🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)🔥 🇮🇳 MCX Futures $56.19 🇮🇳 IBJA Spot $55.27 ($1.35🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot)🔥 🇬🇧 LBMA Spot $53.92 🇺🇸 COMEX Oct26 Futures $53.71 (~$0.22🔻🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 17:06 Oct 23) Oct 26 Silver Vaults (ozt) SFE🔻124K SFE 5 DMA run rate = 214d (🔻from 248d) @ 207K ozt/day (🔼from 179K ozt/day)
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What's happening in Ghana is highly significant, because its #gold production is in the process of being removed from Western ownership (98%) and put into local ownership. NB Ghana ranks as the world's 5th largest producer. xitter.cf/business/status/211334…
Ghana is weighing if local companies are best suited to take over some of the big mines in Africa’s largest gold producer as it decides whether to renew leases for a major Gold Fields operation, a top government official said bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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China Shenzhen Shuibei Weekend Packed with Crowds Netizens Joke: Thought They Were Giving Away Free Eggs With gold prices dropping significantly and the weekend holiday coinciding, many people rushed to buy gold. According to media reports, on October 24 the Shenzhen Shuibei market was extremely crowded, with the scene packed to the brim. On social media, large numbers of netizens posted about it, joking that “there are more people buying gold than at the vegetable market,” “Is the Shuibei market giving away free eggs today?” and “Buying gold at Shuibei on the weekend is like shopping at the vegetable market.” These topics sparked widespread heated discussion. Via HK01 News #Gold #Silver
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I've seen variations of the claim below - that the USA has been exporting gold to China to keep trade deficits down several times over the last week or so. I don't watch the gold flows as closely as I watch the silver flows, but I had some time this morning, so I looked into it. In 2025, the USA's gold flows were basically a wash. USA imported ~600 metric tons from London from December 2024 through April 2025 during the "great tariff risk mitigation" event. Once the tariff policy was officially clarified and the risk disappeared, the USA started exporting gold while the LBMA was reportedly T+60 on gold deliveries. From March 2025 through December 2025, the USA exported ~630 metric tons of gold to the UK and Switzerland. The USA has exported a net of ~373 metric tons of gold so far in 2026 (through August). The major exports (total, not net) break down as follows: ➡️China + Hong Kong ~71mt ➡️Switzerland ~220mt ➡️UK 112mt Switzerland gold exports for Jan-Aug 2026: ➡️China + Hong Kong ~239mt ➡️UK ~461mt UK gold exports for Jan-Aug 2026: ➡️China + Hong Kong ~212mt China + Hong Kong imported 522mt from the USA, Switzerland and the UK combined from Jan-Aug 2026. It certainly appears as if China has absorbed all of the USA's 2026 gold exports through August, but China has imported much more than just what the USA has exported. Thanks to @goldfishcharts for the import/export data.
Why would the US start Importing GOLD, when they have done nothing but, export Gold to China for the last 6 months, to keep record trade deficits down. They have a treasury, deficit and interest bill problem, all three are worsening, very little free resources for much else? @KingKong9888
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India has issued permits to import 6,500 tonnes of silver over the next 6 months. If they have started importing that silver, it's not flowing into the MCX yet. 5 day moving average of silver (KG) vault flows is accelerating and the run rate for their remaining vault stock is looking critical again.
Oct 24 Gold & Silver Vaults (ozt) Gold GLD🚫 (shares down 1.4M) COMEX🔻60K👀 MCX🔼1K COMEX withdrawals are currently 15.8% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA run rate = 812d (🔻from 1,003d) @ 28.7K ozt/day (🔼from 23.3K ozt/day)👀 MCX 5 DMA run rate = ♾(=from♾) @ 2.3K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔻from 2.6K ozt/day DEPOSIT) Silver PSLV🚫💤 SLV🔼452K (still yo-yoing between 430M and 432M ozt) COMEX🔼499K MCX🔻393K🔥 COMEX withdrawals are currently 83.8% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA [R] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 452K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔼from 395K ozt/day DEPOSIT) COMEX 5 DMA [E] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 870K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔼from 760K ozt/day DEPOSIT) MCX 5 DMA run rate = 23d (🔻from 31d) @ 140K ozt/day (🔼from 119K ozt/day)🔥
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As of the end of September, the LBMA likely had less than 4,000 metric tons of liquid free float (actually available) silver vault stock. The COMEX had more than 8,000 metric tons of free float (I have no idea how much is actually liquid). Who is India going to buy their 6,500 metric tons from? 🍿
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Oct 24 Gold & Silver Vaults (ozt) Gold GLD🚫 (shares down 1.4M) COMEX🔻60K👀 MCX🔼1K COMEX withdrawals are currently 15.8% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA run rate = 812d (🔻from 1,003d) @ 28.7K ozt/day (🔼from 23.3K ozt/day)👀 MCX 5 DMA run rate = ♾(=from♾) @ 2.3K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔻from 2.6K ozt/day DEPOSIT) Silver PSLV🚫💤 SLV🔼452K (still yo-yoing between 430M and 432M ozt) COMEX🔼499K MCX🔻393K🔥 COMEX withdrawals are currently 83.8% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA [R] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 452K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔼from 395K ozt/day DEPOSIT) COMEX 5 DMA [E] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 870K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔼from 760K ozt/day DEPOSIT) MCX 5 DMA run rate = 23d (🔻from 31d) @ 140K ozt/day (🔼from 119K ozt/day)🔥
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Is this smoke, a fire, or a nothingburger? I'm not entirely sure what is going on here but I do know one thing. If you don't hold it, you don't own it. Counterparty risk is nothing until it is something and then it is everything.
The scam continued in 2024 $31,239,525 funneled from Kinesis to Allocated Bullion Exchange (ABX) While Kinesis KVT security token investors have been wiped out Where does the money come from? Why isn't the Coughlin crime family in jail? 🤡🎪
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Oct 23 Silver Market Morning Snapshot 🇨🇳 SFE Futures $61.12 (@ 03:30) 🇨🇳 SGE Spot $60.73 ($6.81🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)🔥 🇮🇳 MCX Futures $56.32 🇮🇳 IBJA Spot $55.39 ($1.40🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot)🔥 🇬🇧 LBMA Spot $53.99 🇺🇸 COMEX Oct26 Futures $54.39 (~$0.25🔻🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 15:45 Oct 22)* * Oct, Nov & Dec EFP spreads all moved more negative yesterday afternoon and this morning. The Dec EFP spread actually flipped slightly negative! Looks like immediate availability is at a premium these days. All quotes🚫taxes/duties for apples to apples comparisons. All quotes ~7am ET except as noted. Vaults (ozt): PSLV🚫💤 SLV🚫 COMEX🔻64K MCX🔻221K🔥 SFE🔼212K COMEX withdrawals are currently 83.6% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA [R] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 395K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔻from 464K ozt/day DEPOSIT) COMEX 5 DMA [E] run rate =♾(=from♾) @ 760K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔻from 893K ozt/day DEPOSIT) MCX 5 DMA run rate = 31d (🔼from 28d) @ 119K ozt/day (🔻from 136K ozt/day)🔥 SFE 5 DMA run rate = 248d (🔼from 147d) @ 179K ozt/day (🔻from 300K ozt/day) SGE 5 WMA run rate = ♾(=from♾) @ 43K/week DEPOSIT (🔼from 14K/week DEPOSIT) (as of Oct 16)
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Full report available here: pmbug.com/threads/silver-mar…
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* context:
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Oct 23 Gold Market Morning Snapshot 🇮🇳 MCX Futures $4,067.64 (~$42.61🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot)🔥🔥🔥 🇨🇳 SFE Futures $4,030.66 ($9.63🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)🔥 🇨🇳 SGE Spot $4,025.96 ($4.93🔼🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 03:30)🔥 🇬🇧 LBMA Spot $4,025.03 🇺🇸 COMEX Oct26 Futures $4,033.00 (~$5.00🔻🇬🇧 LBMA Spot @ 12:48 Oct 22) 🇮🇳 IBJA Spot $4,035.19 (~$10.16🔻🇬🇧 LBMA Spot) All quotes🚫taxes/duties for apples to apples comparisons. All quotes ~7am ET except as noted. Vaults (ozt): GLD🔻82K (shares down 4.2M!) COMEX🔻61K👀 MCX🚫 COMEX withdrawals are currently 11.4% of Oct26 delivery requests COMEX 5 DMA run rate = 1,003d (🔻from 1,632d) @ 23.3K ozt/day (🔼from 14.3K ozt/day)👀 MCX 5 DMA run rate = ♾(=from♾) @ 2.6K ozt/day DEPOSIT (🔻from 3K ozt/day DEPOSIT)
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Full report available here: pmbug.com/threads/gold-marke…
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As of the end of September, the LBMA likely had less than 4,000 metric tons of liquid free float (actually available) silver vault stock. The COMEX had more than 8,000 metric tons of free float (I have no idea how much is actually liquid). Who is India going to buy their 6,500 metric tons from? 🍿
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The LBMA has confirmed their end of September vault stock numbers and their report came in 310 metric tons over my baseline and 677 metric tons over my "realistic" estimates. That's a huge divergence!
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6,500 metric tons / 6 months = ~1,100mt/mo That's massive compared to what India normally imports (it's making up for the import restrictions imposed back in May), but not inconceivable as India did manage a 4 month stretch with similar demand back in 2022:
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India is opening the floodgates (supposedly). We'll see how that buying demand affects London and New York... 🍿
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I was warning about the LBMA running low on free float vault stock in January just before the huge price slam. Seems like every time physical vault stock gets stressed, there is a slam on price to discourage investment demand.
The 1-month silver lease rate is at its highest level in two months! In a market where paper silver is many times larger than physical silver, a deleveraging event like today will push the price lower. But this is temporary. Otherwise, the lease rate would be crashing too.
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🚨 Silver spoofing in plain sight?Today there were 103 futures contact buy orders sitting at $55.20. They vanished the moment price approached the level.Classic spoofing: massive bids to create the illusion of support — then pulled before anyone can hit them.Same game, different day. 📉#Silver #Spoofing #Futures
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