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PI

@PredictIt

Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome

 Washington, DC
Predictit.org
Joined November 2013
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9.5KMedia
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📉 79% this morning. 63% now. Traders on PredictIt have cooled on Pete Hegseth being impeached this year, after Speaker Mike Johnson said Republicans “have the votes” to table Massie’s articles. On Monday, it was 89%. Will the House move forward?
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@PredictIt14h
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth takes questions at the Pentagon today, his first briefing in six months and a day after Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) filed articles of impeachment against him. Traders have Hegseth impeached this year at 79%, down from 89% Monday morning.
PredictIt graphic on navy with a color photo of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaking into a microphone at a Pentagon briefing, the Pentagon seal behind him, above a navy panel. Kicker: Impeachment watch. Pete Hegseth impeached in 2026: 79 percent, down 10 points since Monday. Headline: Hegseth takes the podium. Massie filed articles Monday.

ALT PredictIt graphic on navy with a color photo of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaking into a microphone at a Pentagon briefing, the Pentagon seal behind him, above a navy panel. Kicker: Impeachment watch. Pete Hegseth impeached in 2026: 79 percent, down 10 points since Monday. Headline: Hegseth takes the podium. Massie filed articles Monday.

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📉 Anna Kelly just dropped 78 points. Next White House press secretary, per traders on PredictIt: Anna Kelly: 11% Elizabeth Pipko: 9% Scott Jennings: 6% Danielle Alvarez: 6% Kelly was near 90% over the weekend. Now no one is above 11%, and the White House has been without a press secretary for 75 days
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AOC: President or Senate? Traders are almost split. Which office will she announce a run for by the end of 2027, per traders on PredictIt: President: 54% Senate: 48% (▲ from 43% a week ago) New York’s Senate seat up in 2028 belongs to Chuck Schumer.
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Mary Peltola just jumped 26 points. Traders now give her a 94% chance of clearing 50% of first-choice votes in Alaska’s Senate race. That would mean no ranked-choice count on Nov. 18. The race has not been called.
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Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) keeps his job as House GOP whip, CBS News reports, making him Jordan’s No. 2 in the minority.
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@PredictIt7h
🚨NEW: Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) will lead House Republicans in the minority. He beat Steve Scalise 106-73 in a secret ballot, Politico reports. It was his third try at leading Republicans on Capitol Hill. Traders had Jordan as the favorite all day, at 68% this morning. Who called it in the replies? 👇
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🚨NEW: Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) will lead House Republicans in the minority. He beat Steve Scalise 106-73 in a secret ballot, Politico reports. It was his third try at leading Republicans on Capitol Hill. Traders had Jordan as the favorite all day, at 68% this morning. Who called it in the replies? 👇
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🚨 The House could vote on Pete Hegseth’s impeachment today. Republicans plan a motion to table it, which would set the articles aside. Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), who was undecided, now says he opposes impeachment. Traders still give an 89% chance the House passes articles of impeachment before 2027
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Mississippi’s last mail ballots are due today, and so is the count of affidavit ballots. Scott Colom (D) led Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) by 2,574 votes Monday morning with 97% counted, per the AP. Traders have Colom at 99%. Counties certify Friday. This a done deal, right?
Mississippi Democratic Senate candidate Scott Colom

ALT Mississippi Democratic Senate candidate Scott Colom

Mississippi Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

ALT Mississippi Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

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Mississippi Senate → predictit.org/markets/detail… When the race is called → predictit.org/markets/detail… Senate seats → predictit.org/markets/detail… Prices as of 5 a.m. ET.
2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Mississippi Senate race?

2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Mississippi Senate race?

Find out which party will win the 2026 Mississippi Senate race. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more!...

predictit.org
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Who’s the next Cabinet member out? Traders still say Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, at 67%, up from 60% Monday. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is at 20% and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 20%. Rubio hit 69% last Thursday after a Bloomberg report.
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, official portrait

ALT Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, official portrait

Screenshot of the market tracking which Trump Cabinet member will leave office first. Pete Hegseth is top of the charts at 67%.

ALT Screenshot of the market tracking which Trump Cabinet member will leave office first. Pete Hegseth is top of the charts at 67%.

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Next Cabinet member out → predictit.org/markets/detail… Prices as of 5 a.m. ET.
2026 White House Odds | Who will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?

2026 White House Odds | Who will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?

See real-time odds for 2026 Cabinet turnover. Buy and sell shares on who will leave office next. Start trading on PredictIt today.

predictit.org
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House Republicans pick their leader for the next Congress by secret ballot this afternoon: 🔴 Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan (OH) 🔴Majority Leader Steve Scalise (LA) Scalise won the closed-door vote for Speaker by 14 votes in 2023 but never got the gavel. What's your prediction?
PredictIt leadership card on navy, two halves, with color cut-out photos of Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) on the left and Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) on the right. Kicker: Minority leader, today. Headline: Round two. Secret ballot. Jim Jordan, Judiciary Chair, R-OH. Steve Scalise, Majority Leader, R-LA.

ALT PredictIt leadership card on navy, two halves, with color cut-out photos of Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) on the left and Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) on the right. Kicker: Minority leader, today. Headline: Round two. Secret ballot. Jim Jordan, Judiciary Chair, R-OH. Steve Scalise, Majority Leader, R-LA.

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Next House minority leader → predictit.org/markets/detail… Next Senate minority leader → predictit.org/markets/detail…
2027 Predictions | Who will be the first House Minority Leader in the next Congress?

2027 Predictions | Who will be the first House Minority Leader in the next Congress?

Find out who will be the next Minority Leader in the House of Representatives. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2027 election predictions, politics,...

predictit.org
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BREAKING 🚨: Will Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang testify publicly before Congress before 2028? @realDonaldTrump said on Monday the FBI was investigating the affair between Huang and an alleged Chinese spy. #nvidiaceo #congress #testify
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Nvidia CEO market: predictit.org/markets/detail…
Jensen Huang Odds | Will Jensen Huang testify publicly before Congress before 2028?

Jensen Huang Odds | Will Jensen Huang testify publicly before Congress before 2028?

Find out whether Jensen Huang will publicly testify before Congress. Get the latest 2028 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with the latest election predictions, and...

predictit.org
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Will Pete Hegseth make it to New Year’s? Traders have him leaving office this year at 47%. Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) told CNN there’s “a high probability” he won’t make it to Dec. 31. The Pentagon says Hegseth is “100% committed” to staying through the end of Trump’s term.
PredictIt chart on navy. Kicker: Cabinet watch. Headline: Will Hegseth make it to New Year’s? Pete Hegseth out in 2026: 47 percent, up 26 points since mid-October. Line chart of the last 30 days: around 20 percent in mid-October with a one-day jump to 54, a climb to 60 on Nov. 4 and 5, then swings between 39 and 57 before 47 this morning.

ALT PredictIt chart on navy. Kicker: Cabinet watch. Headline: Will Hegseth make it to New Year’s? Pete Hegseth out in 2026: 47 percent, up 26 points since mid-October. Line chart of the last 30 days: around 20 percent in mid-October with a one-day jump to 54, a climb to 60 on Nov. 4 and 5, then swings between 39 and 57 before 47 this morning.

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Hegseth out in 2026 → predictit.org/markets/detail… Next Cabinet member out → predictit.org/markets/detail… Prices as of 5 a.m. ET.
Pete Hegseth Odds | Will Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?

Pete Hegseth Odds | Will Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?

Find out whether Pete Hegseth will leave office in 2026. Get the latest 2026 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 Election predictions, and more! You can even...

predictit.org
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Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth takes questions at the Pentagon today, his first briefing in six months and a day after Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) filed articles of impeachment against him. Traders have Hegseth impeached this year at 79%, down from 89% Monday morning.
PredictIt graphic on navy with a color photo of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaking into a microphone at a Pentagon briefing, the Pentagon seal behind him, above a navy panel. Kicker: Impeachment watch. Pete Hegseth impeached in 2026: 79 percent, down 10 points since Monday. Headline: Hegseth takes the podium. Massie filed articles Monday.

ALT PredictIt graphic on navy with a color photo of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaking into a microphone at a Pentagon briefing, the Pentagon seal behind him, above a navy panel. Kicker: Impeachment watch. Pete Hegseth impeached in 2026: 79 percent, down 10 points since Monday. Headline: Hegseth takes the podium. Massie filed articles Monday.

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Hegseth impeached in 2026 → predictit.org/markets/detail… Hegseth out in 2026 → predictit.org/markets/detail… Prices as of 5 a.m. ET.
2026 Impeachments | Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

2026 Impeachments | Will Pete Hegseth be impeached in 2026?

Trade on whether Pete Hegseth will be impeached in 2026. See live odds, buy and sell shares and follow the latest on PredictIt.

predictit.org
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Which Senate race was the closest of 2026? A day ago, traders on PredictIt said Alaska. Now they say Iowa: Iowa: 57% Alaska: 41% (▼22) Alaska is still counting, with a ranked-choice tabulation set for Nov. 18 if no one clears 50%. 👇
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Blending in with the press at the Capitol today. 
Saw a lot of familiar faces.
 Last week, they were market prices. Today, they’re senators.
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🚨Steve Scalise just dropped 29 points. Next House minority leader, per traders on PredictIt: Jim Jordan (R-Ohio): 78% Steve Scalise (R-La.): 20% House Republicans vote Tuesday. In 2023, Scalise beat Jordan in the secret ballot for speaker. Traders don’t expect a repeat. 👇
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The new Senate class is in the building. How many seats will Democrats control? On PredictIt, traders give a 97% chance it’s 56 or more. On Election Day, they favored 55. Getting to 56 means winning both Mississippi and Alaska, still being counted. 👇 📸 Bex Connor
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NEW: Pope Leo drew an estimated 2.5 million people in Buenos Aires today, the biggest crowd of his papacy, on the first papal visit to Argentina since 1987. Will he meet President Trump before the year ends? Traders on PredictIt say 13%, up 11 points today.
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🚨Netanyahu went from favorite to 5% in two weeks. Who will be Israel’s next PM, per traders on PredictIt: Eisenkot: 84% Lieberman: 6% Netanyahu: 5% On Election Day, traders had Netanyahu at about 68%. Now Gadi Eisenkot has the mandate to form a government, with a Dec. 6 deadline. 👇
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The road to 56 runs through Friday. Traders give Democrats a 94% chance of 56 or more Senate seats, which takes both races still counting: Mississippi: Scott Colom (D) 99%, up 2,574 votes Alaska: Mary Peltola (D) 96%, up a couple hundred Mississippi counties certify Friday.
PredictIt price list on navy. Kicker: Still counting. Headline: The road to 56 seats runs through Friday. Senate seats, Democrats 56 or more: 94 percent. Mississippi Senate, Scott Colom (D): 99 percent. Alaska Senate, Mary Peltola (D): 96 percent.

ALT PredictIt price list on navy. Kicker: Still counting. Headline: The road to 56 seats runs through Friday. Senate seats, Democrats 56 or more: 94 percent. Mississippi Senate, Scott Colom (D): 99 percent. Alaska Senate, Mary Peltola (D): 96 percent.

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Senate seats → predictit.org/markets/detail… Mississippi Senate → predictit.org/markets/detail… Alaska Senate → predictit.org/markets/detail… Peltola first-round majority, 68% → predictit.org/markets/detail… Prices from 7 a.m. ET.
2026 Midterm Predictions | How many Senate seats will Democrats control after the midterms?

2026 Midterm Predictions | How many Senate seats will Democrats control after the midterms?

Find out how many Senate seats the Democrats will control after the 2026 midterms. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions,...

predictit.org
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