Delivering multi-asset research & strategy https://xitter.cf/t.co/FzBZGI5oDM
New York
Joined November 2012
- Tweets2.9K
- Following217
- Followers4K
- Likes2.4K
Pinned Tweet
Rationale is my research service that provides actionable trade ideas and in-depth market analysis across equities, FX, futures, ETFs, and crypto.📊📉
Subscribe now for exclusive trade ideas👇
rationaletrading.com/
$US10Y real yield weekly update. After the symmetrical triangle breakout, the yield pulled back and is finding support at the pattern high. If this continues, pressure on precious metals and long duration equities would increase.
Update on the US10Y real rate weekly chart!
For those interested in macro dynamics, understanding how real rates impact other financial instruments is crucial. Real rates are one of the most important macro variables to monitor. They represent the return an investor actually receives after adjusting for inflation, making them the primary driver of capital allocation decisions across asset classes.
To understand the relationship between yields and inflation expectations check the quoted post.
$IJH - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF daily chart formed a 4 month-long H&S top.
If it breaks out above the right shoulder (74.35), the pattern acts as a top failure. If it breaks below the neckline (71.55), the pattern acts as a top reversal.
$RDVY - First Trust Rising Dividend Achievers ETF daily chart formed a 3 month-long H&S top.
If it breaks out above the right shoulder (80.43), the pattern acts as a top failure. If it breaks below the neckline (78.44), the pattern acts as a top reversal.
Trade Ideas Equities: SIG(NYSE), LW(NYSE), OGS(NYSE), DIN(NYSE), CORZ(NASDAQ), VFC(NYSE), CPA(NYSE)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
Trade Ideas Equities: GOLD(NYSE), WWW(NYSE), ARW(NYSE), HUBS(NYSE), HPE(NYSE)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
Trade Ideas Equities: MA(NYSE), NU(NYSE), FANG(NASDAQ), SNX(NYSE)
open.substack.com/pub/roygul…
Trade Ideas Equities: W(NYSE), FDS(NYSE), URBN(NASDAQ), PACB(NASDAQ)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
Trade Ideas Equities: W(NYSE), FDS(NYSE), URBN(NASDAQ), PACB(NASDAQ)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
Trade Ideas Equities: GEV(NYSE), BCPC(NASDAQ), SPOT(NYSE), PEGA(NASDAQ), VIST(NYSE)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
$IEZ - iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF) potentially breaking down from a descending triangle while crude pushes toward $100.
That divergence matters!!!
Oil equipment companies get paid when producers drill more. Producers only drill more when they believe high prices are here to stay. Right now crude is high because of war, not demand. If tensions ease, the price drops. Oil companies know this, so they’re not hiring the construction crews. So producers aren't spending, and the equipment names are reflecting that.
Crude is priced for war. Equipment stocks are priced for peace.
Trade Ideas Equities: W(NYSE), FDS(NYSE), URBN(NASDAQ), PACB(NASDAQ)
rationaletrading.com/p/trade…
