Founder of @igarape_org, @secdev and @bioverselabs | Entrepreneur | Author | TED speaker | [email protected] | Posts are my own

Canada and Brazil
Joined January 2010
#Brazil has once again made the world a more decent, more beautiful place. A victory for workers, women, Black and Indigenous communities, farmers, entrepreneurs and everyone defending our forests and our rights. Hard work lies ahead. We are ready. 🇧🇷
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Robert Muggah retweeted
Derrotamos a Meta. Derrotamos as bets. Derrotamos os EUA. Derrotamos a milícia. Derrotamos a Faria Lima. Derrotamos a turma do Vorcaro. Derrotamos Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula é tetra, e de virada. Isso é HISTÓRIA, e cada uma e cada um de vocês ajudou a escrever 💗
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#Lula’s victory is an extraordinary moment for #Brazil, with consequences far beyond its borders. It is a huge victory for democracy and human rights, and a reason to believe that decency still has political force. 🇧🇷 ❤️
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Latest models suggest Lula may take it by a whisker. A long 60 minutes ahead!
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Brazil’s second round is looking chaotic. Bus shortages and alleged voter obstruction across 10 states. A court ordered the arrest of Salvador’s transport secretary. The Supreme Court’s extended nationwide voting to 7pm, an unprecedented move. A messy end to a bitter campaign.
🤖 Made with AI
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ESPETACULAR! Olha como já está Copacabana com Lula ❤️🇧🇷 #LulaEmCopacabana #RJComLula 🎥 Cadu Maia
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A rare diplomatic breakthrough at #UNTOC today. Brazil and a wide coalition approved a resolution to negotiate a treaty to fight #environment crimes like illegal #logging, illicit #mining and #wildlife trafficking. The Americans, Iranians, Saudis and Russians tried to block it.
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#Lula has real late momentum. @DataFolhaUOL moved from Flávio 52–48 on Oct 8 to 50–50 on Oct 22. @quaestpesquisa also has the race inside the margin of error. The runoff has compressed dramatically since the first round. (1/3)
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Rejection may now matter as much as persuasion. @DataFolhaUOL has both candidates at 48% rejection, while @quaestpesquisa puts Flávio at 52% and Lula at 47% after Lula’s rejection fell six points in a week. The late campaign is increasingly about who voters dislike less. (2/3)
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What coincides with #Lula’s late recovery? The #6x1 reform, a stronger #digital operation including the “#ExércitodoLula” network now above 8m followers, and fresh scrutiny of Flávio’s finances and associates. Still a (steep) climb, but the campaign environment has shifted. (3/3)
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Which clubs a government joins is becoming an index of its geopolitics. I tracked +190 alliances since 2000. They've tripled since 2016 - some hedge and others are instrumentalist. The #UK's most connected, followed by #Germany, #Canada, #France, #Japan and the #US. @unfoundation
Clubs are having a moment in the international system. Chaotic times are prompting countries to build smaller alliances at record pace. @robmuggah, founder of @igarape_org and @secdev, analyzes who's on the list: bit.ly/4sgede0
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#Brazil’s runoff is tightening. Flávio Bolsonaro still holds a narrow polling edge, but #Lula's closed the gap and improved sharply on rejection. PT’s digital operation is surging too. With 4 days left, turnout may matter more than persuasion. Right now its a toss-up.
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So #Musk capped #Starshield connections by drone speed, crippling some #Ukrainian strike and interceptor drones. #Trump signed-off. One billionaire can weaken a country’s defenses and shape a war. That concentration of #geopolitical power is dangerous. foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/20…
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#Nigeria’s imported #Ebola case shows how quickly an outbreak can cross #Africa. The patient is isolated in #Abuja, with 44 contacts identified. As we wrote earlier this month, wider spread is possible, but not inevitable. Rapid contact tracing is key. flashnote.secdev.com/p/congo…
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European #protests are the product of a decade in which housing grew less affordable, the promise of work less secure and expectation of upward #mobility weakened. Many young #Europeans believe they are paying for decisions in which they had almost no say. flashnote.secdev.com/p/class…
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Alberta has delivered a blow to separatism. Roughly 76% voted to stay in Canada, against 24% seeking a path to independence. Secession is on the political back burner (but not gone). A win for Canadian unity and a bitter pill for MAGA enthusiasts dreaming of a 51st state. 🇨🇦
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#Democracy on the ballot in #Brazil this month. #Copacabana, October 18 2026.
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