participant in the arena of ideas, 3.46 GPA, CFA level 1 (failed)

canal street
Joined February 2017
happy birthday big bro @Drake
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what are we doing
Trevor Milton pricing the Syberjet SJ36 at $14M doing NY to LA nonstop with a projected operating cost of $30,000. A light jet, but at midsize performance.
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nice having lunch with you as well! xitter.cf/partners_road/status/2…
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you know things are going well when your investor letter starts with an "ancient greek maxim"
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they call it the “cheeky pint” podcast yet the guests drink 1/4th of a beer over the course of two hours
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why is everyone calling the revenue gross :/
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do you think they … ?
Great to welcome @jakepaul to the Treasury Department today. Jake’s path from content creator to entrepreneur and professional boxer is a distinctly American story. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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new 75% excise tax on nicotine pouches "to support medicaid and healthcare costs"
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yayyyyyyyyyy
bro theyre gonna do mccarthyism to effective altruists
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can u at least decide to pause ai development during business hours not in the middle of a saturday
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I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years strokin my dick i got lotion on my dick rn im stroking my shit fuck man im a freak fr
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12x 2030 ARR
HERE'S THE ANTHROPIC MODEL: Anthropic will go public at $2T in Oct '26 and will be a $1T ARR company and $10T+ company Dec' 2030 as the winner of AI. Here's how Anthropic gets to $1T ARR in 2030: - 2026E: $125B ARR +14x YoY w/ 5 GW live - 2027E: $266B ARR + 114% YoY w/ 10 GW live - 2028E: $462B ARR +73% YoY w/ 16 GW live - 2029E: $700B ARR +52% YoY w/ 23 GW live - 2030E: $1T ARR + 42% YoY w/ 30 GW live I'm dropping my full Excel model modeling out: - ARR by business model (e.g Consumer, B2B, Enterprise, API) - API business broken down by model type (e.g Fable 5.1, Mythos, Opus, Sonnet) - Training costs and inference cost as a % of revenue - Gross Margin ($ ARR per MW and Cost of Compute per MW) as well as forecasting GW secured. - Net ARR (vs Gross ARR reported by trackers) removing marketplace pay out, Meta, Chinese AI labs - and more I also share the @artemis thesis for WHY Anthropic is the AWS of AI and winner of AI in the enterprise (and open source and ANT / OpenAI can win) Get the full model here: artemis.ai/anthropic-thesis Full Disclosure: I don't have inside information. I took what's publicly available from the July '26 @SemiAnalysis_ model and added my own judgement based on public information and my own world views. I've spent a life time modeling as a former HF and VC analyst. I'll update the model as soon as the S-1 drops.
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this must go hard if you are a bug person whose only goal in life is to get a reservation at 4 charles
I regret to inform you all the the logical end state for restaurant reservations is a bidding system where agents can big against each other for spots they want. Free reservations will no longer be a thing in 3yrs
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and we did
riverroad just hit me on facetime and said let’s change the world this summer
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one of the espn people just said the fiesta bowl was a played at a non neutral site in coral gables. the most unfairly treated team of all time
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