
software engineer | post-growth ecomodernist @fota4climate
Poland
Joined December 2008
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Vox populi według szurów: @GrzegorzBraun_ cieszy się wypromowaniem hashtagu „StopUkrainizacjiPoIski”, nazywając go najbardziej popularnym tagiem w polskim internecie i „trafnym rozpoznaniem politycznej rzeczywistości” przez Konfederację. 🙃
A jak jest naprawdę? Przekonajmy się…
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Radzę przeczytać cały ten wątek, bo tłumaczy całą ideologię ale również modus operandi groyperów.
I tutaj mam przyjacielską przestrogę dla prawicowych kolegów. Nie bójcie się nazywać skrajnie prawicowego ekstremizmu, skrajnie prawicowym ekstremizmem. Bójcie się tego, że ci ludzie kiedyś mogą was zjeść od środka. Dokonać wrogiego przejęcia krok po kroku infekując struktury prawicowego mainstreamu, przesuwając dyskurs w coraz gorsze skrajności.
Prawica musi sama się uzdrowić i przestać dawać platformę takim ekstremom jak Fuentes czy Jaszczur. Inaczej to ona pierwsza padnie ich ofiarą.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
This is a lack of integrity. principles and loyalty.
Vance knew full well that Trump was an idiot the whole time. Yet he shamelessly kissed the ring and defended all of Trump's stupid decisions while praising him as a genius in sickening terms.
Just a few months ago everybody who was against the Iran war - including all of us European allies who tried to warn against it - were suckers and losers.
Now, it no longer serves Vance's career to be viewed as Trump's wingman, so he abandons ship.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Nawet nie wiecie, jak trzeba się ciężko napracować, żeby pomalować Teksas na niebiesko jako republikanin, nawet proponowanie zmian w drugiej poprawce i jezdżenie autem o wadze poniżej dwóch ton z napisem 100% Vegan na zderzaku to by było za mało, żeby tam przerżnąć.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
The reason millennials are so nostalgic is that they briefly experienced a world not entirely controlled by the stupidest people to have ever lived.
This is such utter nonsense.
The reason startups move to the U.S. is capital and scaling possibilities which are better in the U.S. because Europe is fragmented and the US has better/more capital sources who demand European startups move HQ to the U.S.
Stealing our innovation
Peter Thiel's critique of European tech is sharper than most people quote it:
"In the social democratic European societies, it's acceptable to be moderately successful. It's not acceptable to be wildly successful."
That's not a cultural observation. It's a structural diagnosis.
Look at the pattern: Skype sold to Microsoft. Spotify relocated to New York and listed in the US. DeepMind sold to Google before it could compound. Klarna — one of Europe's most valuable fintechs — spent years being investigated and regulated the moment it hit scale.
The moment a European startup gets big enough to matter, the social contract shifts. Regulators, press, and public sentiment move from neutral to hostile. So founders learn to exit early — not because they lack ambition, but because the system taxes it.
Europe produces world-class talent and early-stage innovation. It just doesn't retain the compounding.
The constraint isn't capital. It's the ceiling culture places on acceptable ambition — and founders respond rationally to the incentives they're actually given.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Pierwszy raz możemy doświadczyć, jak ordynarne fejki są produkowane na temat naszego kraju, a nie Hiszpanii, Niemiec, Wielkiej Brytanii czy Francji.
Wszystkie te filmiki są z łatwością łykane przez prawicowe konta i podawane dalej – tak powstaje propaganda na temat Europy.
🇵🇱 A father in Poland struggles to understand what his son, a police officer, is doing...
PM Tusk sent countless police forces into the nation's Constitutional Tribunal Friday, in a brazen takeover.
The police have been there ever since, as have hundreds, if not thousands, of protestors.
The look he gives him: "This is not how I raised you." 😢
Writer: Michael teapaw.org/NatConPatriot/status/2…
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Agree 100% with @_HannahRitchie. It's mad to be in the middle of an energy crisis and the transformation of the energy system, and not have free access to taxpayer-funded data and models. All of it. #FreeTheModels
substack.com/inbox/post/2232…
What I learned from Americans commenting on the situation in Poland on X:
Donald Tusk is carrying out a coup against President Nawrocki. He's being assisted by German police, which obviously means Germany is invading Poland again. But since Germany is in the EU, it must actually be an EU operation, probably personally ordered by Ursula von der Leyen.
Fortunately, the coup has failed because the Polish military remained loyal to the president. Tusk may control the government, but Nawrocki controls the army. That's apparently how Poland works now.
Meanwhile, Poland is preparing a military operation to capture Kaliningrad. So while the EU is trying to overthrow the Polish president, that same president is preparing to invade Russia.
To summarize, Poland is simultaneously being invaded by Germany, experiencing an EU-backed coup, fighting a civil war and preparing to attack Russia.
All this happened over the weekend and somehow nobody in Poland noticed. I'm learning so much about my country from Americans. Can't wait to find out who won the war.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Niech Pan posłucha, mistrzu.
Zapytam jako obywatel, zwykły, nie będący członkiem żadnej partii.
Ten trybunał jest dla takich jak ja - po to, abym miał instytucje, która mnie obroni przed szkodliwym, niekonstytucyjnym prawem. Niezależnie od tego, kto rządzi.
I teraz pytanie - co ja mam zrobić, człowieku, jeśli TK nie działa, moja sprawa tkwi tam kilkanascie lat (jest taki przypadek w trybunale), wobec prezesa TK są zarzuty o łamanie prawa, ale nic z tym nie można zrobić, bo tylko on może zwołać Zgromadzenie Ogólne, które to zbada, a nie zwołuje.
Ja wiem, że Pan ma w dupie generlanie, ale proszę na to spojrzeć z mojej perspektywy. Człowieka, który jest bezsilny w takim wypadku.
Jesteście wszyscy bezczelni i obrzydliwi.
Na czele z prezydentem, który ma to w nosie jeszcze bardziej.
Co taki zwykły obywatel ma zrobić, człowieku, z tym, że rozwaliliście te instytucję. Każdy po trochu, ale akurat Twoi kumple najbardziej.
Co ma zrobić wobec tego bezprawia człowiek, którego sprawa leży w TK kilkanaście pieprzonych lat?
Zgodnie z logiką zawieszeń i ustalania quorum przez panią Korwin-Piotrowską każdy sędzia TK mógłby zawiesić wszystkich pozostałych sędziów TK i ogłosić, że Zgromadzenie Ogólne uzyskało 100% quorum, gdyż był sam obecny, a jest jedynym czynnym sędzią 😂
Taki sędzia mógłby w dalszej kolejności jednoosobowo wydawać wyroki.
Wyobraźcie sobie jakikolwiek zakład pracy, instytucję, gdy każdy pracownik może ogłosić się dyrektorem/Prezesem i podejmować jednoosobowo każdą decyzję dotyczącą podmiotu, a wygra ten kto przyprowadzi ze sobą więcej uzbrojonych ludzi.
Tym bardziej obecność Policji wokół TK i wykonywanie poleceń pani Korwin-Piotrowskiej jest popełnieniem czynu zamachu na konstytucyjny organ państwa z art. 128 kk.
To nie jest anarchia, to nie jest kpina z prawa.
To jest tak odjechane, że po prostu nie mam na to odpowiedniego słowa.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
The Russian goal was to annex “Novorossiya” as a baseline, establish a puppet government in Kyiv even more under their boot than Yanukovych and then probably immediately wheel into Moldova. This is something we know from Russian statements and actions, as well as Lukashenko’s helpful press conference.
They would have hoped that the rapid seizure of urban centers across the country, including the capital, as well as the encirclement and destruction of Ukraine’s most capable units in the Donbas, would have led to a complete capitulation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which they hoped would demobilize or be confined to their bases. With that surrender, they wanted to then install leaders and commanders loyal to to their puppet in Kyiv and watched by GRU/FSB minders to keep an eye on the west and exert control that way.
While in control, they planned to carry out a widespread disappearance campaign targeting Ukrainian political, intellectual and cultural figures. This is something that they’ve conducted in the territories they occupy now.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
🇵🇱 MY TAKE ON WHAT’S HAPPENING IN POLAND
Apologies for being a little inactive this weekend. I’ve been enjoying some Halloween festivities, but I wanted to address the situation in Poland.
No, there is no established coup d’état taking place.
What we’re witnessing is the latest escalation of a constitutional crisis dating back to 2015, during which successive governments and presidents have disregarded constitutional rulings, challenged judicial independence and pushed the boundaries of their authority.
Donald Tusk’s government is now attempting to undo the damage caused by the previous PiS administration. And there are legitimate reasons for doing so.
But trying to restore the rule of law through legally questionable methods is hardly a good way to restore confidence in it.
The latest attempt to remove the Constitutional Tribunal’s leadership is controversial, and its legality deserves scrutiny, regardless of which political side you support.
And one more thing: No, that viral video does not show a large convoy of German police heading to Warsaw to intervene.
The footage was circulating days before Friday’s confrontation, and the identifiable police vehicle was travelling away from Warsaw.
What the German police were actually doing there remains unclear. I’d genuinely be interested to find out.
Poland has a serious constitutional problem. It deserves serious reporting, not exaggerated claims of coups and foreign interventions.
Sędziami Trybunału Konstytucyjnego mojego kraju są:
Stanisław Piotrowicz (2019)
Wojciech Sych (2019)
Jakub Stelina (2019)
Rafał Wojciechowski (2019)
Bartłomiej Sochański (2020)
Bogdan Święczkowski (2022)
Magdalena Bentkowska (2026)
Dariusz Szostek (2026)
Marcin Dziurda (2026)
Krystian Markiewicz (2026)
Anna Korwin-Piotrowska (2026)
Maciej Taborowski (2026)
Sławomir Patyra (2026)
Maciej Berek (2026)
Wakat (1 miejsce)
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
It is not just Russian forces trying to oust the centrist government in Poland.
It is also coming from the US. And last night's dramatic events in Warsaw are part of that. davekeating.substack.com/p/a…
Polish PM Donald Tusk:
For years, there have been organizations and politicians in Poland who want to destroy democracy and the rule of law.
And it is no coincidence that they find support among pro-Russian forces around the world.
And today, in this conflict, they are benefiting from the support of an army of Russian bots on the internet.
They have even received public compliments from the Kremlin's chief ideologue.
The worst part about the ongoing coup d'état in Poland is that I can't repost sarcastic posts because my Western followers wouldn't get the irony.
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Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
Przejrzałem Twittera anglojęzycznego i amerykańskiego.
Zarzuty zamachu stanu i ataku na niezależną instytucję są szczególnie popularne wsród ludzi, którzy twierdzą, że atak na Kapitol był pokojowym protestem.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
The events at the Constitutional Tribunal in Warsaw last night were not elegant but the alternative was to concede an unconstitutional transformation of Poland into a presidential republic.
Poland continues to be ruled by a coalition government elected by parliament.
The stand off around Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal is about restoring rule of law to an institution which had been politicised by the populist government which lost power in the election of 2023. Its president repeatedly broke the law by steering politically sensitive cases to hand-picked judges. It failed to pass its own budget,
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
The pro-Russia crowd are now simultaneously criticising Ukraine for being Western proxies and also for not obeying Western orders. 🤷♂️
Similarly with the Baltics, they can never make their mind up about whether we are puppets of Washington/Brussels/NATO or leading them all into confrontation with Moscow.
Huh. It’s as if everyone has agency and smaller countries are willing to always stand firm on their support for a rules-based world.
Mateusz Sienkan retweeted
The situation in Poland is much simpler than all the talk of a “coup” suggests.
PiS, Jarosław Kaczyński’s party, which backed current President Karol Nawrocki, refused to recognise three lawfully elected Constitutional Tribunal judges back in 2015, together with then-President Andrzej Duda. Those judges were Roman Hauser, Andrzej Jakubecki and Krzysztof Ślebzak. PiS installed its own picks in their seats: Henryk Cioch, Lech Morawski and Mariusz Muszyński. Even after the Tribunal confirmed that the original three had been lawfully elected, PiS and Duda refused to respect its ruling. They put their own political interests above the court’s decision.
Yes, the previous PO–PSL coalition had also broken the rules by electing two additional judges before it was entitled to: Bronisław Sitek and Andrzej Sokala. But when the Tribunal ruled against those appointments, the coalition accepted the decision. Borys Budka even apologised on behalf of PO. PiS never complied with the ruling concerning the three lawfully elected judges. That difference matters. One side accepted an unfavourable ruling. The other refused to obey it.
The court’s membership changed over the years. Cioch and Morawski died in 2017 and were replaced by Jarosław Wyrembak and Justyn Piskorski. Muszyński’s nine-year term ended in December 2024. Other judges’ terms ended too. Seats became vacant, and new judges needed to be elected.
Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal judges are elected by the Sejm, the lower house of parliament, for nine-year terms. Donald Tusk’s governing coalition currently holds a majority there. That majority has the constitutional right to elect judges to fill those vacancies. PiS losing its parliamentary majority did not give it the right to block that process indefinitely.
The Sejm elected eight new judges. President Nawrocki accepted the oaths of three: Magdalena Bentkowska, Dariusz Szostek and Sławomir Patyra. But he refused to accept the oaths of the other five: Krystian Markiewicz, Maciej Taborowski, Marcin Dziurda, Anna Korwin-Piotrowska and Maciej Berek. They eventually took their oaths without him present, formally addressing them to the president.
The oath is required by law. But it does not give the president a personal veto over parliament’s choice of judges. He is required to accept their oaths. The Tribunal itself ruled on this back in 2015. In October 2026, the Venice Commission backed that interpretation and supported allowing judges to take their oaths without the president physically present if he blocks the process, provided the necessary formalities are followed.
Yet the leadership of the very same Tribunal where PiS had unlawfully installed its own judges refused to let the new judges do their jobs. The court’s president, Bogdan Święczkowski, insisted that they could not serve unless they took their oaths in Nawrocki’s presence. The president blocked the normal procedure, and the Tribunal’s leadership used that blockage to keep them out.
On October 30, Anna Korwin-Piotrowska announced the temporary suspension of Święczkowski and his deputy, Bartłomiej Sochański, and assumed leadership of the Tribunal. Lawyers dispute whether she had the legal authority to suspend them in that way. That specific step deserves legal scrutiny. It does not erase the obstruction that led to it.
I support Tusk’s efforts to end this obstruction, and I don’t buy the claims of a coup. PiS does not get to unlawfully install its own judges, refuse to respect court rulings, and then demand that everyone treat the situation it created as untouchable.
Tusk is right to push back. Judges elected by the Sejm should be allowed to do their jobs. The president has constitutional duties, not a personal veto over the court’s membership. And PiS has no permanent claim to Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal.
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