BTC New Low? BTC at the 38.2% Fib. Bearish divergence. Overbought momentum. Pattern since breaking $100K — bounce, stall at the 38.2%, new low. Same setup. Right now. Full breakdown in this week's letter along with EUR/USD, USD/JPY and Crude. Link in bio. For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Dollar hit an 18-month high last week. Payrolls missed badly — 29K vs 90K consensus. Dollar barely moved. That's worth paying attention to. Full breakdown in this week's letter — link in bio.

BTC — Still Stuck Same levels. Same resistance. Vol at its lowest since January. 65,000/67,000 zone has been the ceiling since breaking $100K. Pattern hasn't changed. Sitting and waiting might be the right play — but when vol this compressed breaks, it moves fast. 57,742 is the July low. That's the line on the downside.

BTC at 64,250. Same spot as last week. 38.2% Fib resistance holding. Pattern since breaking $100K — bounce, stall, new low. Momentum neutral. No catalyst. No conviction. 57,742 is the July low. That's the line.

First joint US-Japan FX intervention in 15 years. The last one was 2011 — and they were selling yen, not buying it. Two governments confirmed Monday. Both said they're not done.

BTC double-topped exactly at the resistance zone we flagged last week. Pattern holding all year: bounces off new lows retrace to the 38.2% Fib, then roll over into another new low. Full levels — plus EUR, JPY, Gold, and Crude — in tomorrow's letter. meridiancompass.beehiiv.com

BTC — Sub 50k Coming? 61.8% Fib has been tested twice — Feb and June 5th low at 59,101. Both times it held. Rally stalled just shy of the 38.2% Fib at 68,156. Momentum approaching overbought while price fades. 68,156 is the level. If the June 5th low gives way — 50k is next.

EUR/USD — back to zero May 4th close: 1.1608. Today: 1.1608. Eleven days, 2.3% of movement, right back where we started. Rally stalled at the 38.2% Fib. Hasn't closed above the 20dma since mid-April. Big resistance cluster at 1.1670/80 if it gets there. Support at 1.1540/50 then 1.1500. No bias here until something breaks.

Leading up to BOJ selloff, I mapped out the exact USD/JPY playbook in advance. Weak shorts were front-running BOJ intervention at 160.00... those get squeezed then the BOJ steps in. Playbook was all mapped in advance and then real time. Full breakdown in the free weekly letter → meridiancompass.beehiiv.com

EUR/USD volatility is the most compressed it's been since January. Last time this happened — 4% rally in under 2 weeks. Get these setups in real time: → Private feed: join.meridian-compass.com/ma… Free weekly newsletter: meridiancompass.beehiiv.com

EURUSD still in consolidation mode. Looks to be setting up for a reversal as momentum is moving back towards overbought. Can't see anything upcoming that will push EUR outside it's established range.

EUR/USD has been range-bound since the beginning of April without a breakout catalyst. Mean reversion model kicking in. Shared real time at- join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

Last week I flagged the exact USD/JPY setup — squeeze through 160, then intervention. Played out to the pip. Live analysis in the private feed and weekly newsletter. join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

154 pips in under 24 hours. EUR/USD and GBP — both flagged in real time to the Meridian Compass private feed. Both delivered. The same analysis I provide to hedge funds — daily — now available to retail traders. join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

BTC double top + bearish engulfing at the 50% Fib (78,977). Also printed a bearish divergence. Watching 74,500 next. Full analysis + real-time levels in the private feed → join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

USD/JPY pushed above the upper Bollinger Band and failed, printing a bearish reversal bar on the 4-hour yesterday. Momentum has started to turn lower from overbought — looks vulnerable to a move back toward 158.30. Real-time breakdown here join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

EUR/USD rejected the 61.8% with a bearish engulfing and overbought momentum last week. Looking for further weakness near term Watching 1.1682 / 1.1630 / 1.1578 on the downside. Full breakdown ↓ join.meridian-compass.com/ma…

The market isn’t reacting to Iran the way it “should.” USD strength failed to extend, and price action is becoming more two-way. That’s what a positioning-driven market looks like — not a conviction-driven one. Full breakdown in today’s weekly brief.

For weeks, the market has been fading USD on the assumption that Iran would move toward resolution. That shift wasn’t headline-driven — it built gradually through positioning. Now we’ve had another escalation, and USD still isn’t responding cleanly. That tells you this is more about positioning than conviction. The real question now: does the market keep fading these moves… or does that behavior finally break? I’ll break this down in tomorrow’s note. meridiancompass.beehiiv.com

1.1825 the next key level in EURUSD. Its the 61.8% Fib of the recent high to low move. We are seeing position adjustment since the USD became disconnected from Oil trade. Full breakdown in yesterday's weekly brief: meridiancompass.beehiiv.com