
不撓不屈 Investing/trading. Writing Japan Special Situations. Head of Markets @laevitas1. Prev: JPM, Orca Global, Presto
Tokyo
Joined September 2021
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I wrote about Metal Art (TSE:5644).
A failed take-private of a 110-year-old metal-forging company, where the bidder named its adversary and published the model of its own defeat.
japanspecialsituations.subst…
My daily routine of doomscrolling used car websites has been interrupted.
皆様に、今夜に対応して頂きたい大至急のお願いです。
多くのウェブサイトで使用されているPHPに関し、PHPのセキュリティチームが、重大な2件の脆弱性に関する注意喚起を行っています。
公開しているウェブサイトでPHPを使用しているか確認し、今夜、10月21日午後11時(日本時間)に公開される修正パッチについて、可及的速やかに適用できるよう準備をお願いします。
修正パッチを速やかに適用することが困難な場合は、例えばウェブサイト等を一時的に停止させることも、リスクを低減させるための有効策の一つと考えられます。
国家サイバー統括室のXアカウントでも関係する情報を発信していますので、そちらも参考にして下さい。
国家サイバー統括室(注意・警戒情報)(@cyber_forecast) / X
Japanese stocks, weekly performance:
TOPIX -0.95%
Gainers: Pharmaceutical (+6.05%), Automobiles & Transportation Equipment (+4.32%), Commercial & Wholesale Trade (+3.72%).
Losers: Steel & Nonferrous Metals (-9.42%), Electric Appliances & Precision Instruments (-6.32%), Machinery (-2.63%).
Not very bullish for $META
Japanese stocks, weekly performance:
TOPIX +0.34%
Gainers: Foods (+3.29%), Automobiles & Transportation Equipment (+2.13%), Raw Materials & Chemicals (+1.99%).
Losers: Banks (-2.98%), Steel & Nonferrous Metals (-2.69%), Energy Resources (-1.39%).
Japanese stocks, weekly performance:
TOPIX -0.91%.
Gainers: Steel and Nonferrous Metals (+5.13%), Electric Appliances and Precision Instruments (+3.33%), Machinery (+0.61%).
Losers: Financials (Ex Banks) (-5.40%), Pharmaceutical (-5.03%), Energy Resources (-4.97%), Real Estate (-4.81%).
1/ Crazy velocity in the current bond sell-off.
30Y yield up 35bp in the last 7 sessions.
Since 1987 (beginning of my TradingView data), that is the 98.95th percentile of all 7-session moves, with only 90 out of 8,556 larger.
3/ On that basis, this is the 6th-largest non-overlapping 7-session bond sell-off since 1987.
The five larger episodes ended in:
> Mar-20
> Apr-94
> Sep-19
> Nov-01
> Jun-07
4/ The broader sell-off itself isn't nearly as unusual: 30Y yields are +37bp over 20 sessions and +58bp over 60.
Big moves but ~94th and ~92nd historical percentiles respectively.
So most of the interesting part happened in the last week or so: 35bp of the 37bp 20-session move happened in the last 7 sessions.
So, yes, bonds have been selling off for a while but whats now interesting is the change in velocity.
>forced to liquidate $16bn position
>will “learn the necessary lessons”
>immediately starts bidding tech stocks
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