Looking on with self-interested curiosity are left-of-center politicians around the world — including those now governing in London, Paris, Madrid and Ottawa — who have watched Lula deftly maneuver the global financial crisis and pandemic, the rise of the post-materialist identity-driven left and populist-nationalist right. Now they are all waiting to see whether it was just Lula’s unique history and charisma that held together the broad coalition they envied. "Lula is bigger than the PT, bigger than the left,” said pollster Mauricio Moura, who has worked for candidates across Brazil’s political spectrum. “What the post-Lula left will look like is a big incognito.”