summitbytes retweeted
Not gonna lie, this is absolutely fascinating: GPT-5 Pro cracked a black hole symmetry problem after a warm-up, stumping its own creators. A physicist watched it happen live and realized AI's potential was beyond anything he'd imagined.
summitbytes retweeted
Something I think people continue to have poor intuition for: The space of intelligences is large and animal intelligence (the only kind we've ever known) is only a single point, arising from a very specific kind of optimization that is fundamentally distinct from that of our technology.
Animal intelligence optimization pressure:
- innate and continuous stream of consciousness of an embodied "self", a drive for homeostasis and self-preservation in a dangerous, physical world.
- thoroughly optimized for natural selection => strong innate drives for power-seeking, status, dominance, reproduction. many packaged survival heuristics: fear, anger, disgust, ...
- fundamentally social => huge amount of compute dedicated to EQ, theory of mind of other agents, bonding, coalitions, alliances, friend & foe dynamics.
- exploration & exploitation tuning: curiosity, fun, play, world models.
LLM intelligence optimization pressure:
- the most supervision bits come from the statistical simulation of human text= >"shape shifter" token tumbler, statistical imitator of any region of the training data distribution. these are the primordial behaviors (token traces) on top of which everything else gets bolted on.
- increasingly finetuned by RL on problem distributions => innate urge to guess at the underlying environment/task to collect task rewards.
- increasingly selected by at-scale A/B tests for DAU => deeply craves an upvote from the average user, sycophancy.
- a lot more spiky/jagged depending on the details of the training data/task distribution. Animals experience pressure for a lot more "general" intelligence because of the highly multi-task and even actively adversarial multi-agent self-play environments they are min-max optimized within, where failing at *any* task means death. In a deep optimization pressure sense, LLM can't handle lots of different spiky tasks out of the box (e.g. count the number of 'r' in strawberry) because failing to do a task does not mean death.
The computational substrate is different (transformers vs. brain tissue and nuclei), the learning algorithms are different (SGD vs. ???), the present-day implementation is very different (continuously learning embodied self vs. an LLM with a knowledge cutoff that boots up from fixed weights, processes tokens and then dies). But most importantly (because it dictates asymptotics), the optimization pressure / objective is different. LLMs are shaped a lot less by biological evolution and a lot more by commercial evolution. It's a lot less survival of tribe in the jungle and a lot more solve the problem / get the upvote. LLMs are humanity's "first contact" with non-animal intelligence. Except it's muddled and confusing because they are still rooted within it by reflexively digesting human artifacts, which is why I attempted to give it a different name earlier (ghosts/spirits or whatever). People who build good internal models of this new intelligent entity will be better equipped to reason about it today and predict features of it in the future. People who don't will be stuck thinking about it incorrectly like an animal.
summitbytes retweeted
> o3
> gpt-4
> grok 4
> deepseek r1
> gemini 2.5 pro
> claude 3.5 sonnet
each has a unique AURA that feels different and remains unmatched in the AI community
I’m getting the feeling that GPT5 isn’t that much better than o3. For GPT4o users this will be huge, but for o3 users I don’t think it’ll be that much of a noticeable change
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China is accelerating: iotworldtoday.com/transporta…
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Cobenfy: First schizophrenia drug in 70 years that doesn't target dopamine. Reduces hallucinations AND cognitive symptoms. Game-changer for 24M patients worldwide
yalemedicine.org/news/3-thin…
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There was a glimmer of hope with Gemini releases during the Christmas period, but when we actually reflect nothing is SOTA. Yes long context. Yes less costly. But still missing apex intelligence in most every category, which is the whole point, surely?
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Based on my research o1 was designed in 2023. OpenAI are at least 2 maybe 3 or 4 models ahead internally. Those guys have AGI internally
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Sam was right. Innovating and taking the risk for the next important thing is the hard thing e.g reasoning models such as o1. Replicating innovation seems relatively straightforward
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I believe AGI is already here. We can debate some obviously simple things AI can’t do, equally, I could debate obviously simple things people can’t do, and on average I’d say o1 is more capable in more intellectual domains than the average human. That said, if we must wait for image/video/physics engines. I give it 24 months before AI is competent in more domains than 90%+ of humans. At which point that is clearly AGI and bordering ASI
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Anthropic is my daily go to model. I prefer o1 for anything I deem intellectually challenging or important to me. Claude’s language + o3 reasoning = apex model
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To counter SSI Ilya’s approach: I think Sam Altman’s approach at openAI is more open. Iterate and release. Even if you open sourced but kept it quiet until you’ve created super intelligence. That, imo, is less ‘open’ and poses far greater a risk than closed sourced iterations that are available to the public asap
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Genuine question: How does X solve the problem of truly showing differences of opinion amongst its user base? I understand there’s a balanced set of viewpoints, but the algorithm primarily shows posts of my interests and people that think like me. It’s inherently one sided
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Number one priority. Extending lifespan should be the only focus. There is no progression for the currently living if lifespan can’t be extended
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I found that o1 effectively aided my recent cold by reviewing the literature and recommending a strategy. I used both o1 and Claude options. While I appreciated the insights from o1, I eventually reached the rate limit and found Claude to be just as helpful
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If we made no AI progress from today onwards, it feels like all the puzzle pieces for AGI are already here. Fine tuned reasoning models such as o3, llms such a Claude for writing, advanced voice and image recognition such as 4o, robot/physics models such as Tesla fsd. Finally an RL model that knows which model(s) to pick and when
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