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Tim P

@tproehm

work on AI where it meets real work: talent, operations, decisions. Long-time practitioner, not a commentator. Views my own.

 Hamburg, Germany
linkedin.com/pulse/tax-base-problem-nobodys-talking-ai-debate-tim-oliver-pr%C3%B6hm-6uht
Joined February 2010
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65% of Germany's social security is funded by work-related taxes. The AI debate talks endlessly about jobs disappearing. Nobody talks about what happens to that 65%.
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People keep framing this as a choice. It isn't. The collision between AI-driven labor displacement and payroll-based social systems is already in motion. We just haven't hit the moment where the math becomes undeniable.
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linkedin.com/pulse/tax-base-…
The Tax Base Problem Nobody's Talking About in the AI Debate

The Tax Base Problem Nobody's Talking About in the AI Debate

We spend a lot of time debating whether AI will take jobs. We spend almost no time asking what happens to government budgets if it does.

linkedin.com
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🧵 1/ The AI-replaces-jobs debate has a massive blind spot. Everyone's arguing about whether AI takes our jobs. Almost nobody is talking about the fact that the workers are already disappearing.
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5/ Here's what keeps me up at night: AI augmentation works best when the human in the loop has deep domain expertise. Remove that expertise through retirement without replacement, and the AI system's value degrades too.
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6/ The real workforce question isn't "humans vs. AI." It's: Which humans, augmented by which AI, deployed where, and developed how? That's not a technology decision. That's a talent intelligence decision. Heading to #TLIA London next week and @ProcureCon Europe after that. This is the conversation.
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1/ The AI job debate is missing the plot. The white-collar workforce is already shrinking from both ends: ↓ Experienced people retiring at historic rates ↑ AI automating the entry-level roles that train replacements The middle is getting crushed.
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2/ The numbers: • 6,000 Boomers leave the U.S. workforce daily • Germany: -3.9M working-age people by 2030 • Entry-level tech hiring: down 50%+ • Consulting grad intakes: cut 20-30% • 41% of orgs never capture retiring employees' knowledge
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3/ AI augmentation works best when the human in the loop has deep expertise. Remove that expertise through retirement without replacement, and the AI degrades too. The question isn't humans vs. AI. It's who's left to work with the AI. Almost nobody is planning for this.
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Digital transformation has swept across the contingent workforce ecosystem. Join @tproehm's #CWSSummit roundtable on AI & tech's role in talent supply chain efficiency. bit.ly/3RvnC15
Image from Diane Barker (@DianeBa54497457)
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Digital transformation has swept across the contingent workforce ecosystem, driving next-gen programs to rethink the technology needed to support their evolving talent needs. @tproehm hosts a roundtable at the #CWSSummit on how AI & other tech drive talent supply chain efficiency
Image from KellyOCG (@kellyocg)
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Kelly's @tproehm talks digital innovation on the latest @staffingtec podcast: mykelly.me/3EHYYn5
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What do BBQ, automation, t-shirt quotes, staffing automation, and Alexa all have in common? The latest episode of the You Own the Experience podcast with @RobMannFL, @lonelycaligop, and me: bit.ly/3Ch7XKU
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#BullhornEngage Tech Stacks - so important in the recruiting world. Let's see what makes these company's stacks sing!
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So glad that conferences are finally happening in person again!!! Looking forward to two days in #Boston with @Bullhorn at #bullhornengage
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