Tewordos Shang-Das

In all seriousness, it is *always* possible to model an economy with as stable a growth rate as India's with a "synthetic control" at any year, which will subsequently fail to generalize, and the model failing to generalize is not evidence of a shock. If anything, an honest enumeration of all such models provides strong evidence of "Modi good". Grier's paper simply picks one of the rare points on this histogram to the left of 0. Such crackpot nonsense being promoted by innumerate journalists is expected; but economists like @tylercowen promoting this is just an indictment to modern academia.

In addition to the paper, we release: THE GRIERIAN PROOF MACHINE. Apply Grier's methods to prove ANY +ve or -ve effect of ANY event on ANY economy. How did Harambe's death affect Pakistan's economy? Find out today at tshangdas.github.io/ or read: tshangdas.github.io/paper.pd…

And none of this should be surprising. Why, based on Grierian economic methods, our prophet Kevin Grier's birth itself wrecked the British economy. And his PhD? Zimbabwe. Such were the costs paid by to produce a man of his intellectual calibre.

You may be skeptical. Rest assured, Grierian methods have the endorsement of experts such as @dhume, @JustinSandefur, @saurabhchandra, @tylercowen, @sandygrains, @seemay. We must accept it: the Modi multiverse is real, Pewdipie’s diss-track boosted the Indian economy and International Gorillay was a documentary. The alternative would be that every one of these "experts" is an innumerate impostor who has never understood how anything works.

Finally, we apply Grier's exact methodology to model the economic impacts of various events in Indian and world history, and make startling new discoveries: - Post-Pokhran sanctions on India actually massively benefited the Indian economy - Deshdrohi (2008) wrecked the Indian economy but enriched Mongolia. Thus @kamaalrkhan is the legitimate successor to the Mughal dynasty. - Pakistani film International Gorillay (1990)—in which three Pakistani brothers hunt down Supervillain Salman Rushdie in the U.K. and slay him with flying, glowing Qurans—greatly enriched the Pakistani economy at the expense of the British one, thus demonstrating that the movie was in fact based on real events. - Pewdiepie’s diss-track “Bitch Lasagna” (2018) against the Indian music company T-series boosted the Indian economy. However, this came at the expense of Sri Lanka.

Like seriously, look at this: 93.3% of the 90 best fits they could've chosen would've supplied a "pro-Modi" narrative; yet, against all odds, they did it. They found Narendira Gandhi. It is a statistical miracle. We could make a religion out of this.

Going further, we enumerate the entire **Grierian Landscape** (or Modi multiverse) of Synthetic Indias compatible with Grier's methodology. This makes Grier’s discovery of his “Synthetic India” all the more impressive. When we select the best 90 fits out of this pool, their fit does not even make the cut, as its pre-2014 fit error is 2.07%, above the 90-fit cutoff of 2.03%. The fact that Grier and Grier managed (completely randomly, certainly without malpractice) to locate an anti-Modi model out of a sea of pro-Modi models is nothing short of a statistical miracle.

Unable to accept that economists of unstained integrity such as @ez_angus and @rgrier88 themselves could have written a paper with such an obvious lack of statistical rigor, we propose a resolution to the apparent paradox: SCHRÖDINGER'S MODI! We claim (to rescue Grier's academic reputation): Prime Minister Narendra Modi is not one man, but a composite figure assembled by an enigmatic Indian seer “Modivyasa” from from an ensemble of Indian leaders named Narendra inhabiting different Tegmark Level-III universes.

NEW PAPER: INTO THE MODIVERSE: Exercises in Grierian economics. Grier's groundbreaking work uses a "Synthetic India" (38% Ethiopia, 28% China, 25% Bangladesh) and proves Modi's India underperformed "Synthetic India". Inspired by this, we construct a new Synthetic India: 30% Bangladesh, 31% Ghana, 28% Eswatini... but Modi's India outperforms this Synthetic India by $1203 per year!