Musk on last week's Q3 call: he'd "be surprised if it takes longer than Q1" for EU-wide approval. Here's what has to happen. FSD (Supervised) TAD is approved in 10 EU countries, 14.3% of the EU's population. EU-wide approval needs a qualified majority: 15 of 27 countries, with 65% of the population. The EU vehicle committee discussed it on 6 Oct, with no vote. The earliest possible vote is in December. Germany, 18.5% of the EU's population on its own, backs a swift approval. A yes in December would put Q1 within reach.