Deep in geopolitics and national security. American global dominance b/c America isn’t just the greatest nation on Earth, it’s the last, best hope for humanity.
United States
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Although most Americans want the war in Iran to end, they’re unwilling to make the unconditional concessions Iran has demanded. This poll was taken after the June MoU failed.
🔘 74%: Unacceptable to let Iran to keep its stockpile of enriched uranium.
🔘 80%: Unacceptable for Iran to continue developing its ballistic missile program.
🔘 68%: Unacceptable for Iran to maintain control over Strait of Hormuz.
🔘 60%: Unacceptable for the US to compensate Iran for damage to Iran’s civilian infrastructure.
🔘 47%: Unacceptable to lift diplomatic and economic sanctions against Iran. (48% said it was acceptable).
If you look at the Republican numbers, these concessions become even more unacceptable.
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Comment — If anyone on this administration thinks accepting concessions will help republicans in 2028, then they’re very wrong!
TRUMP REGRETS JUNE MOU?
Citing 2 anonymous sources, WSJ reported:
🔸 Trump in recent weeks has privately criticized the June memorandum of understanding that Vance helped negotiate and questioned whether it was a costly mistake, arguing that it gave Iran critical time to regroup and rake in oil revenues before the US imposed a naval blockade.
🔹 White House official denied that Trump had second thoughts about the MOU and said the negotiators had operated in good faith.
🔹 A spokesman for Vance declined to comment.”
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Comment — Trump reads everything and I’m sure he has read articles criticizing the MoU. Now whether he has actually criticized it privately is a different matter.
Source — wsj.com/world/middle-east/va…
CURRENT STATE OF US CHOKEHOLD OVER IRAN
⭕️ Jul 14 –– US Naval Blockade: stop any all ships coming in or out of Iranian ports, except for humanitarian items.
⭕️ Aug 24 –– Operation Economic Outcast: complete global isolation of Iran through sanctions against any country that gives lifeline to the Iranian regime.
⭕️ Nov 7 –– Task Force Iron Gate: coordinated monitoring, detection, and disruption of Caspian Sea and land border crossings into Iran of weapons, dual-use technology, sanctioned materials, and illegal revenue.
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Comment –– The Naval Blockade is working fine. I suspect we'll be seeing tighter and tighter grip through Economic Outcast and Iron Gate. There's only so much of this squeeze the regime can take.
TRUMP: WE WANT TOTAL VICTORY OVER IRAN, NOT 93%
🔸 America did not start a war with Iran. Iran has been waging war on America since 1979. This should have been taken care of a long time ago. Under this administration we fought back and we won. The question is when we end it. We want total victory, not a 93% victory.
🔹 Dale Garner, a Marine who enlisted after the Iran hostage crisis, was deployed to Beirut on a peace mission. On October 23, 1983, Iranian-backed Hezbollah terrorists detonated a truck bomb at the Marine barracks. 241 American service members were killed, the deadliest day for the Marine Corps since Iwo Jima. Garner was the sole survivor of the men around him. His injuries included catastrophic head wounds, a collapsed lung, a broken back, torn legs, ruptured eardrums, and horrific burns across his body and face. He stood and was recognized.
🔸 Iran operations: began 7 months ago, only a few weeks of active hard fighting, 18 lost. B2 bombers stopped Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. When the conflict is over, and it will be soon, the entire world will be safer and more peaceful.
🔸 The country is more respected now than ever. Two years ago the world was laughing.
Urgent Intel retweeted
U.S. forces continue to work around the clock keeping the Strait of Hormuz open for commercial shipping, strictly enforcing the ironclad naval blockade against Iran, and working with U.S. interagency partners to prevent the IRGC from using land routes and the Caspian Sea to move advanced weapons systems, dual-use tech, sanctioned materials, and illegal revenue streams.
RUBIO 11 YEARS AGO ON IRAN
11 years ago Marco Rubio predicted the dire future if JCPOA was allowed to go through. Everything he said turned out to be true, but a decade later he joined an administration willing to stop Iran from crossing to the point of no return.
IRAN: TALKS WITH US “IMAGINARY” AND “MANUFACTURED.”
Islamic Republic of Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council has called talks with the US manufactured and imaginary.
TRUMP STAYS WITH RAVENS FOR NOW
The President posted on Truth Social indicating that the Middle Eastern countries prefer the status quo (naval & air blockade + sanctions), but that the nuclear issue is nonnegotiable for the US. He indicated the US is locked and loaded but it doesn’t look like force will be necessary.
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Comment — The president chose to stay with the Ravens (Rubio & Bessent) for now as opposed to joining the Hawks (Hegseth, Cooper, Netanyahu). He says the Middle East wants the status quo, but Qatar probably pushed for that only after realizing the president wouldn’t join the Doves (Vance, Witkoff, Qatar & Gulf Allies). So I guess we wait and see what happens.
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TRUMP STAYS WITH RAVENS FOR NOW
The President posted on Truth Social indicating that the Middle Eastern countries prefer the status quo (naval & air blockade + sanctions), but that the nuclear issue is nonnegotiable for the US. He indicated the US is locked and loaded but it doesn’t look like force will be necessary.
………………………………………………
Comment — The president chose to stay with the Ravens (Rubio & Bessent) for now as opposed to joining the Hawks (Hegseth, Cooper, Netanyahu). He says the Middle East wants the status quo, but Qatar probably pushed for that only after realizing the president wouldn’t join the Doves (Vance, Witkoff, Qatar & Gulf Allies). So I guess we wait and see what happens.
THREE CAMPS OF TRUMP'S IRAN ADVISERS –– WSJ reports of cabinet and outside advisers advocating differing options have been calling on Trump to make a final decision.
🔘 Vance, Witkoff, Qatar, Gulf Allies, Outside Advisers: Make a deal to end the war now.
🔘 Rubio, Bessent: Hold the line, tighten the sanctions, and continue the naval blockade.
🔘 Hegseth, Cooper, Netanyahu, Outside Advisers: Return to major combat operations and strike infrastructure. Your "legacy depends on forcing Iran to surrender its nuclear program," allowing you "to boast the political sacrifice was worth the cost."
🕊️ THE DOVES
To avoid imminent strikes and bridge the gap, Qatar's ruling Sheikh spoke with Trump today. Other Gulf officials said "there were signs that both sides were looking for an off-ramp," and they've been trying to arrange a call with Trump or someone high-up.
🔸 The Qatari's 11th Hour Proposal –– Shrink timetable for nuclear preliminary talks from 60 days (June MoU) to 2 days, to move almost immediately into nuclear negotiations. a face-saving way for Trump to begin winding down the war.
🔹 The 2-day proposal is intended to offer a face-saving way for Trump to begin winding down the war.
🔹 It's unclear if Iran would accept the Qatari proposal, but regime officials are expected to return to Doha as soon as Saturday to discuss it.
🐦⬛ THE RAVENS
Tighten sanctions and continue the naval blockade to choke Iran further, put them into a worse position over time through sustained and increasing pressure and coercion, and ultimately forcing better terms or internal strain, rather than stopping now and taking a weak deal or escalating to major strikes immediately.
🦅 THE HAWKS
Pentagon said its job is to develop and execute military options for the president.
🔸 Pentagon official –– Should Trump listen to those advising him to “finish the job,” the Pentagon stands ready to execute his orders swiftly. But he added that the ideal time frame to resume operations begins later this month when additional equipment arrives in the Middle East.
🔹 In about 2 weeks, USS Roosevelt carrier strike group will arrive to the Middle East.
🔹 Later this month, an additional Marine expeditionary unit will join 20 other ships already in the region.
🔹 The US has spent weeks moving air defense to Israel, relocating personnel potentially vulnerable to Iranian attacks, and deployed additional ships, munitions, and troops to the region.
🔸 Hegseth & Cooper to Trump –– The only way to make Iran surrender its nuclear material is for the US to target "Iranian energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities and missile and drone arsenals."
🦉 THE OWLS
Experts have expressed varying views, and at least one organization quoted by the WSJ, the Brookings Institution, has a history of foreign funding from none other than Qatar.
🔸 Suzanne Maloney of Brookings Inst. –– Any options available to Trump “will likely only compound the strategic and economic price that Americans have already paid.”
🔸 Behnam Ben Taleblu of FDD –– Unsure if further strikes will force Iran into a deal, and thinks Trump should instead "hold the line" to allow the sanctions and the blockade to work. He says Trump holds all the cards, "and that winning hand will put the onus of escalation or engagement on the Islamic Republic."
🔸 Gregory Brew of Eurasia Group –– Pushing for a peace deal to end the war will result in a regime less willing to make concessions. Tehran wants to go back to the June MoU to sell oil on the open market and have the Strait opened before any nuclear talks on the nuclear issue even start. He argued that maintaining the status quo may be attractive, "but it also means that Trump commits to continuing the war for the foreseeable future, with oil prices remaining high and Iranian attacks in the strait the new normal.”
WSJ also reported that Trump's officials have told him that no course is without risk: Iran is threatening to expand its retaliation beyond the Middle East if attacked, but if Trump signals an intention to get out, Tehran could extract greater concessions in talks or push for a seizure of the Strait of Hormuz.
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Comment –– Which Camp Will The President Choose?
The Ravens Club
The President currently hangs out at this club. They're well known for being steadfast and calculated. People in this camp have pursued or advocated sustained pressure, blockade, sanctions, or coercion to degrade an adversary and force better outcomes without rushing into full war or accepting a weak deal.
During the Cuban Missile Crisis, President Kennedy imposed a naval blockade on Cuba, using sustained pressure and positioning to force Soviet withdrawal of missiles without invasion or an immediate face-saving deal that looked like retreat. Teddy Roosevelt's "big stick" diplomacy used the credible threat and positioning of naval strength (and economic leverage) to coerce without always needing full-scale war, aiming for favorable outcomes through pressure. Through Operation Pocket Money, Nixon used naval mining and sustained coercion to constrain the North Vietnamese while pursuing negotiations from a stronger position, rather than immediate full withdrawal or unlimited escalation. Eisenhower used heavy containment and pressure on the Soviet bloc by maintaining military readiness and economic measures to constrain them over the long term without rushing into major hot war or accepting the status quo as permanent.
But no member of the Ravens Club has ever encountered an adversary that is both incapable of behaving as a rational actor and lacks the natural instinct of self-preservation as a result of a deeply rooted, incurable disease of the mind. The President can only afford to stay in this camp not much longer. As any shrewd Raven understands, its members have no obligation to stay in the club if the tools offered at the club do not get a member's job done for a sustained period of time. And 47 years is a very, very long time. The economic pressure campaign –– although nothing close to the levels seen today –– has been tried by the President since his first term. Soon, and I mean very soon, the President must leave the Ravens Club and look for membership at the Doves Club or the Hawks Club.
The Doves Club
Surely, though, the President would never consider the Doves Club, right? They are weak and despised! And it is not just their humiliating initiation practice and the stain of shame and ridicule which all members of the Dove Club carry even after death, but the President has himself despised all members of the Doves Club, considering them weak and pathetic.
I need not tell you the number of times and the variety of the vulgar terms the President has used to describe Carter, Biden, and Obama, in particular when it comes to their handling, or should I say appeasement, of the same adversary the President faces today. He despises Hoover too, and is the one president he never wants to be like. His fear of being like Hoover was so great that just this June the President, drunk on Hoover fear, accidentally stumbled into the Doves Club. He was able to escape though, and never went through the full initiation process. I do not think he would ever want to go through that today.
James Buchanan is one member of the Doves Club the President never mentions. There is consensus among American historians that James Buchanan was the worst American president. That is why barely anyone remembers or knows his name. Given Trump's ego, I find it hard to believe that he would be okay joining the Buchanan sub-committee at the Doves Club. I mean, even the other members there don't like Buchanan.
But sometimes it might be better to be unknown and have zero legacy than to be known as the biggest appeaser and the weakest leader in history. Cowardice may be forgiven, but not when one is in a position where their cowardice causes the largest war in history, killing more than seventy million people (3-3.7% of global population). Some men are not built for pressure. Some men are utterly oblivious to the fact that their adversary is using them, and promising things with no intention of ever keeping such promises. One such man is the President of the Doves Club, the former British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, who signed away Czechoslovakia's Sudetenland to Hitler in exchange for a promise of peace. He came home waving the paper, and declared "peace for our time." Eight months later, Germany took the rest of Czechoslovakia, then invaded Poland. Chamberlain believed Hitler could be satisfied with concessions, and that belief cost millions of lives and nearly lost the war before it started.
A great man from the Hawks Club helped save the world from Nazi Germany, and in describing spineless men like Chamberlain, this great man, Sir Winston Churchill, said: "Each one hopes that if he feeds the crocodile enough, the crocodile will eat him last.”
President Donald Trump does not belong in the Doves Club, among the weak, the rejects, and the cowards. This is the club of last resort, the club you go to when no other club will accept you. This club is incompatible with Trump's DNA.
The Hawks Club
We have arrived at the last club, the club of the most strong and admired. This is the club everyone wants to be in, but few are ever allowed to even remotely approach it. History never forgets the men in this club. Their names echo in eternity, for these are men who have achieved great things in their life.
These are the men Trump admires. These are his heroes. They are the ones he has repeatedly tried to compare himself to, and tried to surpass their greatness. He was well on his way to this club, but had to step back momentarily. He understands that the only way to secure his legacy, his greatness, is to confront and resolve the one issue he has talked about more than anything else, and he has done so since the birth year of this issue: The Islamic Republic of Iran.
A man does not keep a 47-year issue bottled up. And he hasn't. Men in Hawks Club are not animals; they always attempt to resolve matters amicably, but they never hesitate to use violence with those who only understand the language of violence.
Trump will handle the Iran matter, one way or the other, but both ways will result in the unequivocal defeat of the greatest terror organization to have ever existed. He will do it for America, he will do it for the world, and you know what? He will also do it for himself. Trump has had many great geopolitical achievements, but for him, this one is also personal. This one will not only earn him an endless membership in the Hawks Club, but also the personal satisfaction of accomplishing a 47 year old goal.
TRUMP — Truth Social post on Dana White (SI/AI): “Alright, listen up, everyone sit down and shut up, right now.”
IRAN BEHIND EURO FRIDGE CYBERATTACK
WSJ reports that US & France believe Iran is responsible for the cyberattack on European supermarket refrigerators and freezers that caused tens of millions of dollars of damage in spoiled food and equipment.
🔸 French FM at G7: Iran would face retribution for the hack.
🔸 The campaign shows hallmarks of Iranian cyber methods.
🔸 Attack attributed to Shahid Kaveh, an affiliate of IRGC's Electronic and Cyber Warfare Command.
⏪ Last Month: Hackers connected to refrigerators and freezers across over 700 supermarkets in France to remotely raise temperatures, causing considerable damage, fires, and food loss.
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Comment — Hopefully the Europeans start realizing that you cannot appease or do business with a terrorist state.
Source –– wsj.com/world/europe/france-….
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RUBIO ON NEGOTIATIONS WITH IRAN:
“Right now, it hasn’t been very productive because the Iranian demands are simply not just unacceptable, but in some cases, outrageous and ridiculous, and really not realistic.” teapaw.org/osinttechnical/status/…
THREE CAMPS OF TRUMP'S IRAN ADVISERS –– WSJ reports of cabinet and outside advisers advocating differing options have been calling on Trump to make a final decision.
🔘 Vance, Witkoff, Qatar, Gulf Allies, Outside Advisers: Make a deal to end the war now.
🔘 Rubio, Bessent: Hold the line, tighten the sanctions, and continue the naval blockade.
🔘 Hegseth, Cooper, Netanyahu, Outside Advisers: Return to major combat operations and strike infrastructure. Your "legacy depends on forcing Iran to surrender its nuclear program," allowing you "to boast the political sacrifice was worth the cost."
🕊️ THE DOVES
To avoid imminent strikes and bridge the gap, Qatar's ruling Sheikh spoke with Trump today. Other Gulf officials said "there were signs that both sides were looking for an off-ramp," and they've been trying to arrange a call with Trump or someone high-up.
🔸 The Qatari's 11th Hour Proposal –– Shrink timetable for nuclear preliminary talks from 60 days (June MoU) to 2 days, to move almost immediately into nuclear negotiations. a face-saving way for Trump to begin winding down the war.
🔹 The 2-day proposal is intended to offer a face-saving way for Trump to begin winding down the war.
🔹 It's unclear if Iran would accept the Qatari proposal, but regime officials are expected to return to Doha as soon as Saturday to discuss it.
🐦⬛ THE RAVENS
Tighten sanctions and continue the naval blockade to choke Iran further, put them into a worse position over time through sustained and increasing pressure and coercion, and ultimately forcing better terms or internal strain, rather than stopping now and taking a weak deal or escalating to major strikes immediately.
🦅 THE HAWKS
Pentagon said its job is to develop and execute military options for the president.
🔸 Pentagon official –– Should Trump listen to those advising him to “finish the job,” the Pentagon stands ready to execute his orders swiftly. But he added that the ideal time frame to resume operations begins later this month when additional equipment arrives in the Middle East.
🔹 In about 2 weeks, USS Roosevelt carrier strike group will arrive to the Middle East.
🔹 Later this month, an additional Marine expeditionary unit will join 20 other ships already in the region.
🔹 The US has spent weeks moving air defense to Israel, relocating personnel potentially vulnerable to Iranian attacks, and deployed additional ships, munitions, and troops to the region.
🔸 Hegseth & Cooper to Trump –– The only way to make Iran surrender its nuclear material is for the US to target "Iranian energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities and missile and drone arsenals."
🦉 THE OWLS
Experts have expressed varying views, and at least one organization quoted by the WSJ, the Brookings Institution, has a history of foreign funding from none other than Qatar.
🔸 Suzanne Maloney of Brookings Inst. –– Any options available to Trump “will likely only compound the strategic and economic price that Americans have already paid.”
🔸 Behnam Ben Taleblu of FDD –– Unsure if further strikes will force Iran into a deal, and thinks Trump should instead "hold the line" to allow the sanctions and the blockade to work. He says Trump holds all the cards, "and that winning hand will put the onus of escalation or engagement on the Islamic Republic."
🔸 Gregory Brew of Eurasia Group –– Pushing for a peace deal to end the war will result in a regime less willing to make concessions. Tehran wants to go back to the June MoU to sell oil on the open market and have the Strait opened before any nuclear talks on the nuclear issue even start. He argued that maintaining the status quo may be attractive, "but it also means that Trump commits to continuing the war for the foreseeable future, with oil prices remaining high and Iranian attacks in the strait the new normal.”
WSJ also reported that Trump's officials have told him that no course is without risk: Iran is threatening to expand its retaliation beyond the Middle East if attacked, but if Trump signals an intention to get out, Tehran could extract greater concessions in talks or push for a seizure of the Strait of Hormuz.
.............................................
Comment –– Which Camp Will The President Choose?
The Ravens Club
The President currently hangs out at this club. They're well known for being steadfast and calculated. People in this camp have pursued or advocated sustained pressure, blockade, sanctions, or coercion to degrade an adversary and force better outcomes without rushing into full war or accepting a weak deal.
During the Cuban Missile Crisis, President Kennedy imposed a naval blockade on Cuba, using sustained pressure and positioning to force Soviet withdrawal of missiles without invasion or an immediate face-saving deal that looked like retreat. Teddy Roosevelt's "big stick" diplomacy used the credible threat and positioning of naval strength (and economic leverage) to coerce without always needing full-scale war, aiming for favorable outcomes through pressure. Through Operation Pocket Money, Nixon used naval mining and sustained coercion to constrain the North Vietnamese while pursuing negotiations from a stronger position, rather than immediate full withdrawal or unlimited escalation. Eisenhower used heavy containment and pressure on the Soviet bloc by maintaining military readiness and economic measures to constrain them over the long term without rushing into major hot war or accepting the status quo as permanent.
But no member of the Ravens Club has ever encountered an adversary that is both incapable of behaving as a rational actor and lacks the natural instinct of self-preservation as a result of a deeply rooted, incurable disease of the mind. The President can only afford to stay in this camp not much longer. As any shrewd Raven understands, its members have no obligation to stay in the club if the tools offered at the club do not get a member's job done for a sustained period of time. And 47 years is a very, very long time. The economic pressure campaign –– although nothing close to the levels seen today –– has been tried by the President since his first term. Soon, and I mean very soon, the President must leave the Ravens Club and look for membership at the Doves Club or the Hawks Club.
The Doves Club
Surely, though, the President would never consider the Doves Club, right? They are weak and despised! And it is not just their humiliating initiation practice and the stain of shame and ridicule which all members of the Dove Club carry even after death, but the President has himself despised all members of the Doves Club, considering them weak and pathetic.
I need not tell you the number of times and the variety of the vulgar terms the President has used to describe Carter, Biden, and Obama, in particular when it comes to their handling, or should I say appeasement, of the same adversary the President faces today. He despises Hoover too, and is the one president he never wants to be like. His fear of being like Hoover was so great that just this June the President, drunk on Hoover fear, accidentally stumbled into the Doves Club. He was able to escape though, and never went through the full initiation process. I do not think he would ever want to go through that today.
James Buchanan is one member of the Doves Club the President never mentions. There is consensus among American historians that James Buchanan was the worst American president. That is why barely anyone remembers or knows his name. Given Trump's ego, I find it hard to believe that he would be okay joining the Buchanan sub-committee at the Doves Club. I mean, even the other members there don't like Buchanan.
But sometimes it might be better to be unknown and have zero legacy than to be known as the biggest appeaser and the weakest leader in history. Cowardice may be forgiven, but not when one is in a position where their cowardice causes the largest war in history, killing more than seventy million people (3-3.7% of global population). Some men are not built for pressure. Some men are utterly oblivious to the fact that their adversary is using them, and promising things with no intention of ever keeping such promises. One such man is the President of the Doves Club, the former British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, who signed away Czechoslovakia's Sudetenland to Hitler in exchange for a promise of peace. He came home waving the paper, and declared "peace for our time." Eight months later, Germany took the rest of Czechoslovakia, then invaded Poland. Chamberlain believed Hitler could be satisfied with concessions, and that belief cost millions of lives and nearly lost the war before it started.
A great man from the Hawks Club helped save the world from Nazi Germany, and in describing spineless men like Chamberlain, this great man, Sir Winston Churchill, said: "Each one hopes that if he feeds the crocodile enough, the crocodile will eat him last.”
President Donald Trump does not belong in the Doves Club, among the weak, the rejects, and the cowards. This is the club of last resort, the club you go to when no other club will accept you. This club is incompatible with Trump's DNA.
The Hawks Club
We have arrived at the last club, the club of the most strong and admired. This is the club everyone wants to be in, but few are ever allowed to even remotely approach it. History never forgets the men in this club. Their names echo in eternity, for these are men who have achieved great things in their life.
These are the men Trump admires. These are his heroes. They are the ones he has repeatedly tried to compare himself to, and tried to surpass their greatness. He was well on his way to this club, but had to step back momentarily. He understands that the only way to secure his legacy, his greatness, is to confront and resolve the one issue he has talked about more than anything else, and he has done so since the birth year of this issue: The Islamic Republic of Iran.
A man does not keep a 47-year issue bottled up. And he hasn't. Men in Hawks Club are not animals; they always attempt to resolve matters amicably, but they never hesitate to use violence with those who only understand the language of violence.
Trump will handle the Iran matter, one way or the other, but both ways will result in the unequivocal defeat of the greatest terror organization to have ever existed. He will do it for America, he will do it for the world, and you know what? He will also do it for himself. Trump has had many great geopolitical achievements, but for him, this one is also personal. This one will not only earn him an endless membership in the Hawks Club, but also the personal satisfaction of accomplishing a 47 year old goal.
US OFFERS REWARDS FOR IRAN NUCLEAR INFO — The State Dept.’s Reward for Justice has offered a reward of up to $20 million for information on Iran’s nuclear program, including info on:
🔸 nuclear scientists & staff
🔸 nukes-related tech/capabilities
🔸 nuke-assoc. orgs & personnel
🔎 First of Its Kind Offer — A quick search on @RFJ_USA X account showed no prior Iran+Nuke-related offers. A search on rewardsforjustice.net also returned no such results. The only other nuclear-related offers appear to have been about Russians and North Koreans.
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Comment — I wonder: why now?
Is the US trying to get confirmation and justification for an attack, or just the opposite, that Iran’s nuclear program is dead?
Or is the US updating its target list for a potential next round of strikes?
Does the Mossad no longer have updated information on this, is the US putting in the extra effort to potentially get information the Israelis don’t have, has the US stopped trusting Israel on this particular issue because of perceived Israeli bias/interest, or is the US simply trying to independently (because of growing anti-Israel sentiment in American domestic politics) acquire such information so that the CIA doesn’t have to say “based on intelligence from Israel” we believe x, y, and z (on which the president will rely to take military action)?
UPDATE: CENTCOM has shared on its X page the reward + “possible relocation” offer posted earlier today by the State Dept.’s Reward for Justice. This is the first time ever CENTCOM has shared a Reward for Justice call for action. Like I said in the post above, there’s something happening, and I’m more inclined now to believe the US is updating and adding to its list of targets for the next round of strikes. teapaw.org/centcom/status/2118856…
Rewards for Justice is offering a reward of up to $20 million and possible relocation for information about Iran’s nuclear program, including its facilities, equipment, and associated personnel, such as those in the scientific community, or the movement of any of the above.
Submit a tip: rewardsforjustice.net/reward…
VANCE PERSONALLY DRIVING NEW IRAN CEASEFIRE + NUKE TALKS
Axios (by Barak Ravid, relying on 2 anonymous sources):
🔸 Past 2 weeks VP JD Vance has been personally in indirect talks with Iran aimed at a new ceasefire & restarting nuclear negotiations.
🔸 Almost-daily calls with Qatar PM Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman + Pakistan Army chief Asim Munir (+ other mediators). Witkoff & Kushner also involved. Discussing a working-level US–Iran technical meeting “in coming days.”
🔸 ~2 weeks ago Vance sent a letter to SNSC Secretary Mohsen Rezaei proposing resume direct talks; Iranian officials say it created positive momentum; Trump insisted the letter was to coordinate humanitarian aid, such as medicine, for Iran.
🔸 Trump for now willing to let diplomacy play; military “ready to launch strikes on a relatively short timetable” if he flips. Today Trump told reporters: “We’re talking to them.”
⏪ CONTEXT ⏪
Vance blamed the midterm losses on the Iran war, which some interpreted as a betrayal of Trump. But Vance has also been widely blamed for the failed June MoU, which collapsed after Iran began striking ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
Before and after the signing of the June MoU, many had publicly warned Vance that it wouldn’t work and that the regime wouldn’t honor its end of the agreement.
But Vance, and others associated with him, including Alex Bruesewitz, began a campaign of what has been described as an indiscriminate labeling of anyone who disagrees with the MoU as a paid Israeli foreign influence agent. Indeed, Vance and Bruesewitz pushed that campaign on both the Joe Rogan Podcast and the Tucker Carlson Show.
The critics of the MoU appear to have been proven right on the issue over and over again.
And yet, Trump’s campaign in Iran wasn’t the only thing Vance blamed for the midterms loss, he also listed America’s relationship with Israel as one of the top 4 reasons for the loss. The President’s son, Donald Trump, Jr, surprised many after he publicly agreed with Vance’s assessment. Recent polling data shows registered Republicans continue to hold strongly favorable view of Israel, which is even more favorable among MAGA voters.
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Comment — Midterm panic is not a strategy. Don’t let the deal camp trade blockade leverage and unfinished objectives for another pause Iran will break the second enrichment restarts. The regime and its enforcement arm, the IRGC, are more than happy to either drag negotiations out until Trump’s term is over, but they’ve said conditions which even the American voters will not accept. Trump should listen to his instincts, and finish the job. An actual win in Iran is the only way any Republican presidential candidate, who was at any point this year associated with Trump’s administration, stands a chance at winning in 2028. There’s still time to fix what Vance and Wiles broke with the initial MoU. Let’s hit the regime hard and coordinate with the opposition leaders so that the Iranians can finally rise up and be the boots on the ground while we provide them with air cover. If Trump is seriously interested in a deal, it’s never going to happen with this regime; he’d have to continue eliminating many more layers of the regime leadership.
teapaw.org/axios/status/211883859…
Vance leads behind-the-scenes push for new Iran deal axios.com/2026/11/06/vance-l…
Urgent Intel retweeted
NEW: The U.S. Treasury has sanctioned eight Canadian money services businesses and associated digital currency wallets under E.O. 13902. The designations target entities across Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal linked to Iranian financial networks.
SUSIE WILES WAS CANNED by Trump because she was the End-The-War & Sign the MoU Leader of the administration. One day before the MoU was signed, a CNN article came out (which I covered then) with a “deeply reported look inside the internal conversations that led to the US-Iran agreement, including Trump officials’ skepticism of Iran honoring its commitments.” Here’s a link to the original article: cnn.com/2026/06/16/politics/…
Today is my last day as White House Chief of Staff.
Serving President Trump in the White House has been the honor of a lifetime. I’m so proud to have been a part of what we’ve accomplished together from securing our border and cutting taxes to strengthening our economy and putting America First.
More than anything, I’m grateful for the extraordinary people I’ve had the privilege of working alongside. While my role may be changing, my commitment to the President and the mission never will.
