Electrical engineer. Care about: physics, problem solving,CR epistemology, climate,green power,AGI, software,economy,politics. Triathlon,hiking. Views personal.
Joined April 2011
- Tweets14.7K
- Following396
- Followers904
- Likes33.2K
Pinned Tweet
With a possible exception of underlying laws of physics, everything that exists is evolutionary. In character and by origin.
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Jensen Huang should have spent more time studying @nntaleb. Trying to maintain a reputation as a family man and a wholesome guy is what made him fragile. If he instead went down the Elon Musk route and cared nothing for his reputation, he would have been antifragile in this situation. Now he might lose half his shares, his job, and his reputation for acting like the rockstar he was not supposed to be. Elon’s reputation not only survives attacks, criticism and controversy - it becomes stronger by it. Elon is antifragile. Jensen Huang, however, decided to brand himself as a good guy, but only played a part.
That’s why he became fragile, and will most likely be asked to stand down.
I guess there are worse jobs than mine.
And bosses.
🚨Los pilotos que soltaron esta bomba fueron informados de que tenían una probabilidad del 50/50 de regresar a casa. Rusia mantuvo este metraje en secreto durante 59 años
Es la mayor explosión que los humanos hayan realizado jamás, de unos 50 megatones. La onda de choque aún alcanzó su avión y lo lanzó hacia abajo casi un kilómetro. Mira el destello
Fue lanzada el 30 de octubre de 1961, sobre Novaya Zemlya, una isla en el Ártico. La bomba pesaba unos 27 toneladas y medía 8 metros de largo. Ni siquiera cabía dentro del avión, por lo que retiraron las puertas del compartimento de bombas y la llevaron a medio salir
Para dar tiempo a la tripulación de escapar, cayó con un paracaídas gigante. El avión estaba pintado de blanco para reflejar el calor
Detonó a unos 4 kilómetros del suelo, miles de veces más potente que Hiroshima. Para entonces, el bombardero estaba a más de 100 kilómetros de distancia, y la explosión aún lo alcanzó
Originalmente fue diseñada para 100 megatones. Los ingenieros la redujeron a la mitad, porque la versión completa habría esparcido una enorme lluvia radiactiva y no habría dejado ninguna oportunidad a la tripulación
Uno de los físicos detrás de ella, Andrei Sakharov, más tarde luchó contra las pruebas nucleares y ganó el Premio Nobel de la Paz.
#UrgenteCOMPARTAN #RTMasivo
3
307
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Today marks Remembrance Day across the Allied nations of the First World War.
That includes Serbia, where the conflict began in July 1914. It lost almost 1/4 of its entire population from 1914 to 1918, a higher proportion than even the USSR during the Second World War.
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Today’s WW1 battlefield… Mount Cer in western Serbia. The autumn colours are incredible! And yes, of course I went to the Savić distillery. The manager was so pleased that an Englishman was writing a book about WW1 in Serbia that he gave me a bottle of šljivovica!
When mechanised agriculture and fertilisers first dropped and got deployed, I imagine that some farmers felt the hype as we do now about AI: one feels suddenly superpowerfully productive, the ideas for what can now get to be done are endless. Golden age is starting.
And all of that actually happened, hyperproductivity took over and even fringe ideas got realised. It's just that also profit margins collapsed (or stayed minimal), and most farmers were pushed out of the business or left it. No monopolies emerged, no agriculture tycoons became billionaire celebrities.
In the long run, the outcome was that we got affordable food, solved hunger and almost everyone took off to doing better things. From those things we now subsidise low-earning agriculture sector.
Where's the parallel? Mighty tools available to anyone. Productive users, but having no moat. Hence, benefits of competition pass on entirely to customers.
1
3
101
Ova hapšenja i akcije postojeće državne administracije po broju i dubini svakako su prevazišla sva moja očekivanja. I verujem da je dosta ljudi time zadovoljno jer su tražili pravdu
Ipak pitam se da li je realno da su isti ljudi koji su ignorisali svo zlo koje se dešavalo odjednom u ovolikom broju postali profesionalci kakvima zamena izgleda ni ne treba
Bojim se da se u dobroj meri radi o nečem drugom. Šta ako u nameri da operu svoje nečinjenje oni sada brže bolje postupaju po svakoj temi koja je iritirala javnost, kakve god da dokaze imaju? Jer hapšenje je udarna vest a dokazi su dosadna proceduralna tema
Problem sa tim je da li će od svih ovih hapšenja i obustava aktivnosti moći da se sutra napravi slučaj, ili će sve da se završi oslobađanjima po nedostatku dokaza, i još možda i plaćanjem odštete uhapšenima. Toga je bilo i ranije
Omašio sam u nekim procenama vezanim za srpsku politiku pa se nadam da i ovde grešim. Ipak ovde postoji mogućnost da ljudi koji su napravili zemlji istorijski problem selektivnom primenom zakona tokom 14 godina mogu u odlasku da naprave još jednu peripetiju društvu samo da bi umanjili svoj lični problem odgovornosti. Ovoliki sporovi u važnim segmentima privrede mogli bi da dubiozama parališu mnoge povezane aktivnosti na duži period ako se ne pripreme kako treba i potom razvlače i ne rešavaju
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Let me be blunt. Those who are afraid of AI feel deep down that they are impostors & have no edge. If you have a 1) clear mind, 2) a deep, not just cosmetic, undertanding of your specialty, 3) and/or are original enough to reinvent yourself when needed, AI will be your friend.
Facts stranger than fiction.
How can this even be in a human society?
grok says that the post is not exaggerated.
Turkmenistan's dictator had billions in gas money. His people got poverty. His statue got gold, and it turned all day to follow the sun.
He renamed January after himself and April after his mother. Then he renamed the word for bread after her too. Then he closed every hospital outside the capital.
His name was Saparmurat Niyazov. In 2005 a TV crew got into his country, and the video below shows what one man can build when nobody can say no.
And nobody could. He made himself president for life, and every year his parliament stood up to cheer him.
With that power came the money: gas worth tens of billions of dollars, all of it under his personal control. A watchdog said about $3 billion sat in a German bank. The bank denied it.
So he built for himself. A $12 million tower for his gold statue. A marble mosque in his home village with lines from his own book on the walls.
That book was the Ruhnama. Children learned it at school. You needed it for a driver's license.
Ordinary people got his book, not his money. Before the hospitals closed, he had already fired 15,000 health workers.
That lasted until he died in 2006. The man who took over was his health minister, a dentist. The dentist moved the statue that followed the sun out of the center, then put up a gold statue of himself on a horse.
The face on the gold changed. Who got the gold didn't.
So was Niyazov just one madman with too much money, or does a country this rich in gas always end up with one man at the top?
2
7
393
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Josip Broz Tito built Yugoslavia's socialist economy on a supposedly clever premise: worker self-management. Factories would be run by elected workers' councils rather than central planners in Belgrade. Western intellectuals practically wept with admiration. Here, finally, was socialism with a human face.
But the math never worked.
Worker-managed firms systematically chose higher wages over capital reinvestment, because workers capturing today's income had no personal stake in machinery that would outlast their tenure. The incentive to maintain and expand productive capital simply vanished.
Yugoslav firms borrowed heavily from state banks to cover the gap, and those banks lent freely because the political cost of bankruptcy was too high for any official to absorb. Inflation ran at 30% annually through most of the 1980s, eventually hitting 2,665% in 1989. You didn't need to theorize about the collapse; you could read it on the price tags.
Tito papered over the structural rot with Western loans. Yugoslavia accumulated $20 billion in foreign debt by his death in 1980. That borrowing bought political legitimacy, but not productive capacity. When global interest rates spiked under Volcker's Fed, the debt service alone crushed the economy.
The decentralization of Tito's model also contained a fatal political logic. Each of Yugoslavia's six republics developed its own economic fiefdom, protecting regional industries from competition with other regions. Six separate planning bureaucracies fought over the same shrinking pie. Slovenia and Croatia, the most productive republics, grew resentful of transfers flowing south and west.
Property rights remained collectivized throughout. No worker actually owned his share of the firm, which meant he couldn't sell it, pledge it, or use it to signal genuine economic preferences. Prices carried noise instead of information. Capital flowed toward political favor rather than toward producers with better ideas.
Socialism doesn't work, whether it's centralized or decentralized.
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Banks arguably has the best vision for the future
In Ian Banks' Culture books, the Culture is a civilization of compute abundance. Each General System Vehicle is a loose sandbox environment practicing different ideologies, and citizens freely move between ships to experience different lifestyles.
Want communal life? There's a ship. Ultra-orthodox religion? Another. Beach chilling? One famous for its beaches.
With enormous compute, you don't need to trade off who decides the trajectories. Just launch another docker station for another rollout. In that world, your autonomy is backed by the compute.
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Superb from @KemiBadenoch 👉
Eto kad ne sluša....
💩 Lukashenko reveals why Vučić lost! Former President of Serbia simply didn't listen to his advice
"I told them, I kept telling them: do this, do that. But you did almost the exact opposite. Well, look what happened," the dictator said.
For once, his advice might actually have been worth listening to. The mustachioed dictator has been tormenting Belarusians for over 30 years and knows exactly how to cling to power at any cost.
87
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
Saudis are providing a more responsible analysis of Israel’s war against Hamas than many members of Congress.
Za sve koji razmišljaju o uvođenju kontrole renti, i cena uopšte.
Velika je razlika između dobrih namera i stvarnih ishoda, i zato politike treba usvajati informisano o rezultatima ranijih pokušaja.
I evo ti (i svima koje zanima) skorašnja velika meta analiza velikog broja studija koja zaključuje isto
iea.org.uk/wp-content/upload…
1
8
454
Vladimir Milosevic retweeted
As the so called "student protesters" burn and loot Western Europe.
In Serbia, the actual student protesters, clean their subways.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Serbia does not have any operational subways or a metro.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belgrade_…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transport…
💯
SNS uopšte nije dovoljno izgubio podršku da bi pao. 40% ljudi je sasvim ok sa svim što smo proživeli i u šta nam se zemlja pretvorila, i spremno je bilo i na kraj demokratije kakav bi usledio.
Vučić je samo toliko duboko i drsko podelio zemlju na "mi i oni", da su "oni" ovaj put izašli u broju kakav odavno nije bio niti će opet biti.
Druga je stvar što će sada SNS pasti na 5-25% podrške, u zavisnosti od budućnosti Vučića lično. To je standardni pad podrške gubitniku u zemlji slabih institucija gde 35% stanovništva prima novac od države direktno, i desilo se već i 2000 i 2012.
Jednom kada takav pad podrške prestane da bude stadardna posledica poraza, znaćemo da imamo jake institucije, ili da smo značajno smanjili državne rashode.
Ово да је Вучић изгубио пропагандно тло под ногама, у смислу да је његова пропаганда постала неефикасна, јесте тачно. Поготово је значајна ова дистинкција између радикалне и перфидне пропаганде, оличене у РТС-у и људима који су је тамо водили.
Све остало у овом објашњењу је погрешно. Вучић није изгубио ни перцепцијско, ни економско, ни идеолошко, ни међународно тло под ногама. Напротив, све је то остало углавном на истом нивоу као и у претходном периоду. Управо зато је СНС освојио готово идентичан број гласова (1,7 милиона) као на изборима 2023. године.
Једино што се суштински променило јесте антирежимско бирачко тело, које се увећало за више од 600.000 гласова и концентрисало око једне изборне листе. Другим речима, објашњење изборног резултата 25. октобра треба тражити искључиво у консолидацији опозиционог бирачког тела и начинима на које је једна анти-режимска листа успела да мобилише бираче који су претходних десет година били политички пасивни.
2
16
5,432