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There is only one coin has value and it is BTC

United States
Joined December 2011
来点 $SOXX Hopium
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woc大奇迹日
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这段时间重新回看邹佩轩写的书,A股的估值其实是按照公司业绩天花板做终值定价的DCF模型。回看旭创,现在算PE够便宜吧。但是景气度投资都是反过来看的,不是先算最近的增速然后推算之后的终值,再折现回来。应该反倒是,先看天花板,然后推算你的增速得有多少。所以反倒是PE越高代表预期越强。
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Trump这人拿钱还真办事?
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一早醒来全部割在最低点,发张赚钱图改改运
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WeebXBT retweeted
North Korea in 2031 if DeFi is allowed to exist for 5 more years
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所以说之前看druck的13F买 $PURR 是有原因的
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不是,现在炒股的人都不看earning call的Q&A了吗?张嘴就来
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液冷(or 散热)是对的
Vertiv $VRT is up 16% after a strong Q3 beat and a higher full-year outlook, with organic orders more than doubling YoY. CEO Giordano Albertazzi: “We are in the middle of the largest infrastructure buildout and it’s accelerating.” Organic sales grew 55%, while adjusted operating margin expanded 290 basis points to 25.2%. Higher volumes and manufacturing productivity helped adjusted operating profit grow 83%, outpacing sales growth. The revised full-year revenue and adjusted EPS forecasts are both above consensus. Q4 guidance also came in modestly ahead of expectations. Management says it is shortening new-product development cycles from years to months while expanding capacity to meet changing data center requirements. Adjusted free cash flow increased 50% to $652M, and Vertiv maintained a net cash position while continuing to invest in capacity.
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大A最好的机会就是中美产业共振,无论是投机还是景气度都是最好的。猛猛干植物人!
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植物人真的太夸张了,感觉乱涨
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不单单是猴子,朋友跟我说胖猴子更加稀缺(大概是为了测试减肥药)
Citrini says the real preclinical bottleneck is monkeys, which take four years to breed and are harder to scale than memory supply “There’s a huge shortage of monkeys and the the you can’t really, that’s probably the most important thing for pre-clinical testing." "And I know a lot of people are going to be like morally opposed to this, but I’ll just say one thing, which is for the, you know, the medicine is closer than ever before to a world where it really is, I say closer than ever before, that doesn’t mean this is going to happen tomorrow or within the next two years or what, but closer to a world where in silica or on on a computer you can simulate, say, like toxicology studies, right, and and reduce the need for animal testing." "I know that sounds counterintuitive because it’s, okay, well, why are you like investing in this company that that does animal testing? Well, the reason for that is in order to get closer to that world, what you need is more data, right? Like you need, you need more experimental data from animal testing, and monkeys are irreplaceable, right?" "Unless you want to do them in humans. If you want to get as close as possible to humans, obviously the answer is monkeys. And it’s it’s harder to expand the capacity of monkeys than it is to increase the supply of memory, right? Like the the the time it takes, I think it’s four years to to breed these these monkeys.”
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$MRNA 的研究团队也太幽默了哈哈哈哈
$MRNA with the single most hilarious possible outcome in this study. EFS HR 0.58. Down the the hundredth, EXACTLY what *NEO*-adjuvant treatment with pembro yielded against adjuvant pembro (the nerfed comparator $MRNA studied against) in SWOG S1801. What does this mean in English? $MRNA’s drug is showing the exact same benefit versus adjuvant pembrolizumab as NEOadjuvant pembrolizumab did. Even more simply? If you just give patients a few doses of the pembrolizumab BEFORE you cut their cancer out, you do what $MRNA does for you, except with just the free tumor that’s already inside your body. No need to pay for this $400K drug. And this makes rational sense, right? The whole point of $MRNA’s vaccine is to produce stuff that looks like the tumor. You know what looks A LOT like the tumor does? THE FREAKING TUMOR!!!!!! Absolutely poetic that $MRNA produced the EXACT HR benefit as neoadjuvant pembro did. Truly, the most hilarious possible outcome. Now can we move on from this bullshit? $MRK and $MRNA should feel free to study their vaccine against the REAL standard of care now - NEOadjuvant immunotherapy. From my perspective, this has been total fugaze, and an amateurish pump and dump worthy of much lesser enterprises.
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你说Opex的时候刚好大涨,怎么会这么巧?
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老段的泡泡又加速向下了😅😅
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之前提过 $PONS ,当时认为这个标的在未来预期已经打满的情况下,赔率有限。但现在价格越跌,实际上呈现出来的赔率就越来越好了。如果认为RH Chain可能在未来有一个比较好的心智占领,就像是当时Base一样,那么 $PONS 一直都会是一个比较好的选择,况且这还是这个牛熊转换里面全所现货上线的标的之一。
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卧槽这个roadster会喷气会飞!
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今日办公室思考: 所有风险资产在昨天北美开盘到亚洲白天都呈现不同程度的抛售,不仅是美股,还包括韩股,中国A股还有加密货币等等。催化剂是来自于昨晚的CPI mom过热带来的程序化抛售,当时我也看到盘面上呈现出bond yield📈stock📉的情况。其实可以注意到,债券市场已经开始定价利率回落,债券空头目前的拥挤程度过高,10月初时我已经关注到MOVE指数已经开始回落,而且昨日由于程序化交易带来的收益率抬升目前甚至已经回落到更低的水平,从资金交易的结果来看,将亚洲白天时段的继续下跌归咎于利率/通胀问题似乎站不住脚。如果继续交易债券收益率与股票收益率的相关性,那么意味着市场已经开始进入”交易衰退“的情况,即债券收益率下降&股票价格下降,那这个结果在我看来和显示实际情况相差太多,这么来看的话当前确实是进入到非理性的恐慌抛售中。 对于抄底的主题,这个就看个人理解了,我基本很少会选择当下最强,基本上我都是会选之前强势当下转弱的标的/主题(即基于概念动量的弱转强),就比如之前在A股选择的mrna相关,AI短剧,冷却还有有色,都是在9月有大幅度调整。因为说实话做动量追逐我确实很难在第一波就能买中,这个几率基本上很低。不选股的话其实我很早就选择了微盘的量化,虽然7月初到现在也就20%收益,但对比大盘来说已经很好了。加密里面也是一样,目前还保持高位强势的我大概率是不会选的,因为既然都是调整,我相信市场大部分人会选择有肌肉记忆选择调整多有空间的,这样赔率高,符合加密的市场特性。
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