today, one year ago, I decided to create this account
here’s a quick recap of the year:
- started this account because I was vibecoding a SaaS (basically a ChatGPT wrapper)
- uni started again, and I got into the fintech ecosystem since I’ve always been interested in investment banking and the vc world
- took a deep dive into prediction markets after seeing their real potential
- started posting about prediction markets and saw more growth
- paid for X premium just becsause it let me write longer posts
- got affiliated with Kalshi Ecosystem and created @kalshidata (shoutout to @analystworking & @aulijk)
- started growing it by sharing daily highlights on volume, trades, market share, etc
- bounced back at uni after some bad midterm exams
- finished the first semester in late January
- stopped being a kalshi eco affiliate (they removed the badges)
- joined @arespro as an affiliate to focus on prediction markets
- left @arespro after realizing they were focused on memecoins
- kept growing @kalshidata
- had some good calls and meetings with cracked and experienced people
- uni started again
- competed in @forumdotmarket’s trading competitions (placed 2nd and 3rd in a few weeks) – very bullish on attention markets btw
- more calls that led nowhere
- got an offer to sell @kalshidata
- uni took up a lot of my time, especially with lab sessions and final projects
- finished uni
- grew @kalshidata to 1.3k+ followers
and today it’s officially been a year since I started this account on twitter
it’s been a great journey so far and I want to thank @Kalshi for the opportunity they gave me, which allowed me to grow within the prediction markets industry by “building” @kalshidata (@dkposts developed the web – kalshidata dot com)
I’m not really sure what my next steps will be, maybe joining a startup while I’m still at uni or building something of my own, but we’ll see
I’m always happy to chat, so feel free to shoot me a DM
Kalshi is lowkey doing 22.4% of last year’s total notional volume in a single day
last year’s total: $23.8B
yesterday’s total: $5.33B
we now take this as “normal”, but putting it into perspective…
this is wild
JUST IN: @Kalshi hits a new All-Time High of roughly $5.33B in Daily Predictions Volume
it was in late september
i came across a creator’s page that already had some viral videos but there was no clear understanding of what was working or what was most likely to take off
the account was averaging 8-12k views per day posting once or twice daily, without a large follower base
we looked at the data to see if there was a pattern behind the videos getting +100k, +200k, or even +300k views
we identified a clear pattern, developed a strategy around it and put it into action
and here are some of the results from the last 40 days:
- +2M views posting 1-2 times per day
- +8.6k profile visits
- +61.1k likes
- 118 comments (not much tbh)
- +13.4k shares
we’ve increased views by almost 428%, profile visits by 500%, likes by 314%, and shares by over 673%
some of you will probably think these are tiny numbers, but it is what it is
the strategy worked and we’re both happy with the results
in case you didn’t notice:
@Kalshi launched stock perps yesterday, pushing its daily perps volume to a new all-time high of roughly $2.2B
perps accounted for roughly 37.4% of @Kalshi’s total volume yesterday
perps will eventually surpass predictions in terms of volume
the question is when
JUST IN: @Kalshi sets a new record of roughly $5.87B in Daily Total Notional Volume
october was huge for prediction markets
$123.6B in total trading volume, up 58% MoM from September's $78.1B
a few highlights:
- @Kalshi: $98.2B (+61% MoM)
- @Polymarket: $20.3B (+55% MoM)
- @Kalshi now accounts for 79% of total volume
another all-time high
and the growth doesn't seem to be slowing down
a little rebrand
KalshiData is becoming @cincdata
what started as a page tracking Kalshi’s growth is now expanding to cover the entire prediction markets industry
more platforms, more metrics, more insights
same mission: making the growth of prediction markets easy to track and understand
DMs are open
Kalshi raised but lowkey keeps breaking new records
will the @kalshidata page eventually get saturated from sharing so many records as Kalshi continues expanding into new markets?
JUST IN: @Kalshi has set a new record of roughly $428M in Daily Crypto Volume
what about making the bookmarks search feature AI-powered @elonmusk?
sometimes i remember what a bookmarked post was about but not exactly what it said
being able to tell grok what I’m looking for and have it search through my bookmarks would make finding them way easier and faster
@nikitabier make this happen
yo @meconemarkets when can i start shorting europe?
we need a europe decline index asap



























