$FFH Prem Watsa's signature quotes
"Work as hard as you can, as though everything depended on you. Pray as hard as you can, as though everything depended on God."
"For what shall it profit a man if he shall gain the whole world and lose his own soul?"
$LIFCO -12%, despite insider buying ahead of results
FCF +21% cagr since 2014 IPO (17% since 2019)
rev +8% (6% M&A, 2% organic, 1% FX)
lost a customer who moved to non-EU suppliers (1 off?)
slower M&A this yr (8 deals so far)
1x leverage (plenty room for M&A)
3%+ FCF (not cheap)
Was Canadian asset manager Connor, Clark & Lunn (CC&L) taking a short position on $VIT-B against a long position on $CSU? The VIT-B short position (shorted Oct 2, bot back on Oct 7) didn't work in CC&L favour. CC&L has taken VIT-B shorts on and off in the past.
$VIT-B Vitec
Q3 sales +15%
organic: +4% (CPI price increases), +6% w/ Q1 M&As
10Y sales cagr +19%
Q4 M&As: ZMartek, AtermIT
COO role eliminated
CEO working directly w/ VPOs
CFO absorbing some support functions
margin tailwind: AI lowers R&D %sales
CC&L exited short pos
$CSU peer
$VIT-B Vitec
Q3 sales +15%
organic: +4% (CPI price increases), +6% w/ Q1 M&As
10Y sales cagr +19%
Q4 M&As: ZMartek, AtermIT
COO role eliminated
CEO working directly w/ VPOs
CFO absorbing some support functions
margin tailwind: AI lowers R&D %sales
CC&L exited short pos
$CSU peer
Imagine government servants do this...
Politicians don't get a paycheck for running a deficit. Tie their salaries to the budget: zero surplus, zero pay.
Copart $CPRT new CEO pay package looks on the surface like textbook alignment, but there are some caveats.
The structure is basically...
- Jay Adair takes a $1 salary, no bonus and no new equity for 10 years.
- He gets instead one 20M-share option in four tranches, with strikes at $26.27, $35.03, $43.78 and $52.54. The option has a 5-year cliff, a clawback if he leaves early, and his gains are locked up until year 10.
So basically...
- Stock flat → he earns $0.
- Stock 2x → he earns ~$263M.
My "concern" is the timing of the option issue, which evidently impacts the existing holders more than it does the recent holders.
Jay Adair came back as CEO on July 31, with the stock near multi-year lows around $28, down from ~$52 in mid-2025. The strikes are anchored to the depressed price in which he (opportunistically?) became CEO.
This ultimately means that...
- Tranche 1 pays on any rebound, so many shareholders might still be underwater while he makes millions (this has no simple solution as setting the bar at ATH would also not be fair)
- The “ambitious” top strike of $52.54 is roughly where the stock already traded in 2025...
- “Doubling the stock” mostly means getting back to where it was without any new value creation
- Over 10 years, a 2x is roughly ~7% a year
Now, a founder-family CEO taking $1 and betting everything on the stock is rare and definitely better than nothing, but the design matters too and reality is more nuanced than it appears.
As designed, Jay Adair could earn hundreds of millions simply by returning Copart to where it was before he came back.
Still subject to shareholder approval!
$LMT
total backlog +63%
book-to-bill 4x
led by PAC-3 contract
multiyear contracts protect threat-led demand
building ahead of customer requirements on autonomous aircraft
inflation-linked price escalators, cash-flow neutrality, & long durations minimize risk of budget cuts
This is exactly why doing nothing in investing is hard. In behavioral finance, this struggle is driven by the action bias—our evolutionary impulse to respond to stress or uncertainty by doing something, even when the optimal move is patience.
Five years after joining #LumineGroup, Lifecycle Software doubled in size.
In this After Acquisition video, CEO Liz Parry reflects on what permanent ownership has meant for the business's customers, financial performance, and leadership team.
Liz, who has been with Lifecycle for more than ten years, is joined by former CEO Kelvin Chaffer, now CEO of Neural Technologies, to discuss the decisions, opportunities, and long-term approach that helped drive Lifecycle's growth.
Lifecycle Software provides online charging, billing, and business support software to mobile network operators, MVNOs, and IoT providers.
Watch the conversation here: luminegroup.com/case-studies…
Constructive debates among wise investors are valuable, but there’s a fine line between productive discussion & endless rabbit holes. Overdiscussing a thesis wastes time. Check our egos, recognize when a debate has run its course, move on! What’s your debate threshold?
AI agents r entering enterprise workflows, using customer data to unlock value that could surpass the on-prem-to-cloud shift. <1% of enterprise data captured in frontier models, banks & insurers need secure, deterministic outputs. The solution? Bring the model to the data!
$CSU
$CSU Volaris is building a growing ecosystem of security vertical software firms, converging cyber & physical security into a single platform!
"Customers no longer want 20 vendors if they can have the option of managing just 1."
“We’re watching these developments like a hawk."
$CSU Optimal Blue buys Usherpa to provide mortgage originators with tools to win more biz by connecting eligibility, pricing & borrower engagement.
founded & led by a husband-&-wife duo
$10-25m rev
CSU wasnt mentioned in the news, outsiders wont even know it is now part of CSU!
Valsoft invests $5m series A in Apero, which serves thousands of hospitality venues, extends its reservation technology with an AI receptionist built for Québec restaurants that takes bookings by phone around the clock.
Restaurant reservation is a crowded space, no?
$CSU peer
Software is dead? Be selective! Main Capital Partners’ Software 50 Nordics 2026 highlights a thriving sector, w/ recurring rev growing, international expansion, & improving efficiency. The Nordics continue to stand out as one of Europe’s most attractive software mkts.
$CSU peer






























